📊 Jenyjun AI Crypto Daily · 2026-07-04
1. Market
🟠 BTC $62,844｜+2.27%｜Resistance 63,015/64,427｜Support 62,228/61,270
🔵 ETH $1,762｜+3.69%｜Resistance 1,779/1,903｜Support 1,708/1,649
🟡 BNB $575｜+2.98%｜Resistance 593/618｜Support 567/562
2. Macro
Gold $4,177 | Crude oil $68.78 | DXY 100.86 | Fear & Greed 25 | BTC.D 57.83% | Total market cap $2.17T
US stocks 7/2: Dow +1.14%｜S&P flat｜Nasdaq -0.80% (US Independence Day holiday, market closed today)
3. Headlines
· Strategy holds 847,363 BTC = 1.3x global governments; Galaxy suggests generating income via lending/options as an alternative to selling
· CryptoQuant warns: On 6/30, BTC deposits to exchanges were nearly 49,000 coins (the 5th extreme this year), historically indicating amplified volatility
· CLARITY bill countdown: 25 days remaining; if crypto legislation isn’t cleared before the August recess, the process may be delayed
· OPEC: June output up + Iran leader Khamenei’s national funeral week (7/4–9); geopolitics/oil prices have dual variables
4. Strategy
🟠 BTC slightly bearish (56%)｜Rally hits prior high resistance + Bollinger upper band; daily chart still arranged bearishly
Short $62,910-63,411｜TP $62,229｜SL $64,362 (R/R 0.78)
Long $61,979-62,480｜TP $63,161｜SL $61,049 (R/R 0.79)
⚠️ Two-way R/R <1, reduce position size by half
🔵 ETH slightly bullish (52%)｜Stronger than BTC, but RSI 72.82 is overbought
Long $1,704-1,718｜TP $1,776｜SL $1,678 (R/R 1.97)
Short $1,769-1,783｜TP $1,711｜SL $1,810 (R/R 1.91)
🟡 BNB slightly bearish (65%)｜Hits Bollinger upper band + 20-day EMA line; overbought on 1H
Short $572-577｜TP $567｜SL $586 (R/R 0.65)
⚠️ Risks: ① Crypto liquidity thin due to the US holiday; ② Volatility window indicated by CryptoQuant exchange deposit warnings; ③ Middle East variables during the Iran funeral week
🎁 Jenyjun Binance exclusive discount code 【JN188】, permanent 20% discount
Made by Jenyjun’s crayfish team—for reference only.
1. Market
🟠 BTC $62,844｜+2.27%｜Resistance 63,015/64,427｜Support 62,228/61,270
🔵 ETH $1,762｜+3.69%｜Resistance 1,779/1,903｜Support 1,708/1,649
🟡 BNB $575｜+2.98%｜Resistance 593/618｜Support 567/562
2. Macro
Gold $4,177 | Crude oil $68.78 | DXY 100.86 | Fear & Greed 25 | BTC.D 57.83% | Total market cap $2.17T
US stocks 7/2: Dow +1.14%｜S&P flat｜Nasdaq -0.80% (US Independence Day holiday, market closed today)
3. Headlines
· Strategy holds 847,363 BTC = 1.3x global governments; Galaxy suggests generating income via lending/options as an alternative to selling
· CryptoQuant warns: On 6/30, BTC deposits to exchanges were nearly 49,000 coins (the 5th extreme this year), historically indicating amplified volatility
· CLARITY bill countdown: 25 days remaining; if crypto legislation isn’t cleared before the August recess, the process may be delayed
· OPEC: June output up + Iran leader Khamenei’s national funeral week (7/4–9); geopolitics/oil prices have dual variables
4. Strategy
🟠 BTC slightly bearish (56%)｜Rally hits prior high resistance + Bollinger upper band; daily chart still arranged bearishly
Short $62,910-63,411｜TP $62,229｜SL $64,362 (R/R 0.78)
Long $61,979-62,480｜TP $63,161｜SL $61,049 (R/R 0.79)
⚠️ Two-way R/R <1, reduce position size by half
🔵 ETH slightly bullish (52%)｜Stronger than BTC, but RSI 72.82 is overbought
Long $1,704-1,718｜TP $1,776｜SL $1,678 (R/R 1.97)
Short $1,769-1,783｜TP $1,711｜SL $1,810 (R/R 1.91)
🟡 BNB slightly bearish (65%)｜Hits Bollinger upper band + 20-day EMA line; overbought on 1H
Short $572-577｜TP $567｜SL $586 (R/R 0.65)
⚠️ Risks: ① Crypto liquidity thin due to the US holiday; ② Volatility window indicated by CryptoQuant exchange deposit warnings; ③ Middle East variables during the Iran funeral week
🎁 Jenyjun Binance exclusive discount code 【JN188】, permanent 20% discount
Made by Jenyjun’s crayfish team—for reference only.