👉 $BTC bear phase may be close to ending — January could be the turning point… market is setting up 🔥
What matters now is not the panic already seen, but how long the market stays in this phase and what flips it.
In 2022, after leverage broke and macro pressure stayed tight, Bitcoin did not bounce quickly. Price stayed heavy near the lows for ~42–46 days. Selling pressure faded slowly, confidence came back only after time did its work.
The current setup is showing clear similarities.
🔸 ETF outflows created steady sell pressure
🔸 Leverage got wiped after the ATH run
🔸 Macro pressure still exists—no rate cut yet, Fed fully data dependent
🔸 Risk appetite cooled, but capital didn’t exit the system
This looks very similar to early–mid 2022 pressure, not the final collapse, but enough to stretch the bottom phase.
⏰ Now the timing:
BTC touched ~$80k on Nov 21–22, 2025.
Current price is around $87k.
That puts the market ~32 days into the bottom phase.
In 2022, bottoms didn’t form in days.
They formed after weeks of range, boredom, and frustration.
That’s why a 42–60 day window fits the current structure if history rhymes — especially with macro clarity still pending.
🤔 What decides the next move:
🔸 $100k is the confirmation level
🔸 Acceptance above it (daily closes + holding) ends the bear tag
🔸 Until then, chop and slow moves are normal
👉 Macro trigger to watch closely:
🔸 November CPI & jobs data was good for crypto, but price didn’t bounce hard due to no rate cut
🔸 That makes December CPI & jobs data (announced in January) very important
👉 If data comes supportive:
🔸early data-driven pump
🔸January announcement bounce
🔸Fed rate-cut hype into February
That combo can be the fuel BTC needs to push through resistance.
👇Bottom line:
Pressure feels familiar.
Timing is lining up.
If history rhymes, the BTC bear phase may end around January, not much later.
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