🚨 THE BIGGEST BTC EXPIRY IN HISTORY: $23.6B SET TO UNWIND! 🚨
Listen up, fam! This Friday, we aren't just looking at another monthly close—we’re witnessing a historic event in the derivatives market. Roughly $23.6 billion worth of Bitcoin options are set to expire, making this the largest single-day expiry in the history of $BTC .
As a trader with 15+ years in the game, I’ve seen how these massive "triple witching" events can turn the charts into a blender. Here’s what you need to know to stay ahead of the game:
📊 The Numbers You Need
Notional Value: ~$23.6 Billion (Over 268,000 contracts).
Max Pain Point: ~$96,000. Historically, prices tend to gravitate toward this level as market makers hedge their positions to minimize losses.
Current Sentiment: The Put/Call ratio is sitting around 0.38, showing that the market is still leaning heavily bullish despite recent sideways action.
⚠️ What to Expect: The "Weird" Phase
When this much liquidity is on the line, price action starts moving "weird" on purpose. Expect:
Stop Hunts & Wicks: Sudden, sharp moves designed to liquidize over-leveraged long and short positions before the final settlement.
Thin Liquidity: Since this is a holiday week, trading volumes are naturally lower, meaning any single large order can cause outsized volatility.
The Post-Expiry "Reset": Once these contracts roll off on Friday, the heavy hedging pressure from institutions usually fades, allowing for a much cleaner trend to emerge for the New Year.
💡 Pro Strategy
Don't get caught in the Equilibrium trap (the $88k–$90k range). If you aren't already positioned, sometimes the best trade is no trade until the dust settles. If we reclaim the $92,000–$96,000 zone post-expiry, it’s a massive signal that the bulls are back in control for 2026.
What’s your play? Are you hedging your bags or waiting for the post-Friday breakout? Let’s discuss below! 👇
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