đď¸ Trump and the Federal Reserve: Has the "independence" ended?
đ Direct answer: NO. Independence has NOT ended.
đ But it is under the greatest political pressure in decades.
Let's get to the hard facts đ
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𧨠1ď¸âŁ "Trump controls the Fed" â â FALSE
â He cannot order rates.
â He cannot fire the president of the Fed for monetary policy.
â He cannot command the FOMC.
âď¸ Legal fact:
The Fed is independent by law. Period.
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𧨠2ď¸âŁ "The independence of the Fed is over" â â NOT TRUE
âď¸ The institutional structure remains intact:
⢠Dual mandate (inflation and employment).
⢠FOMC voting.
⢠Legal protection against direct interference.
đ There is no institutional break.
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𧨠3ď¸âŁ What IS real (and does matter) â â ď¸ BRUTAL POLITICAL PRESSURE
âď¸ Trump does three real and verifiable things:
⢠Publicly attacks the Fed.
⢠Indicates he wants a pro-cut president.
⢠Attempts to condition market expectations.
đ This does NOT change the law, but it DOES change the climate.
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𧨠4ď¸âŁ Can Trump influence indirectly? â â YES
âď¸ How he does it (legally):
⢠Appointing future aligned governors.
⢠Using public discourse to pressure.
⢠Politicizing the narrative of high rates.
đ Indirect influence â control.
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𧨠5ď¸âŁ Is this new? â NO
đ Nixon, Reagan, and others also pressured the Fed.
â The difference with Trump: he does it unfiltered and in public.
đ More noise, not more power.
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đ§ FINAL VERDICT (UNFILTERED)
đĽ REAL
⢠The Fed remains independent
⢠Trump does NOT control rates
⢠Political pressure is intense and visible
⢠The market starts to anticipate cuts
đ¨ SMOKE / MANIPULATION
⢠"End of independence" â
⢠"Fed taken over by Trump" â
⢠"Cuts guaranteed by decree" â
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đŁ BRUTAL CONCLUSION
The independence of the Fed did NOT die,
but it is under constant political fire.