Written by: 0xTodd
I didn't expect the last post to spark everyone's discussion desire. In essence, we are talking about the same thing, but everyone has slightly different descriptions of the values.
Everyone has heard a saying: the gap between people can sometimes be larger than the gap between a person and a dog. However, this saying originated before this round of AI.
Today, I’ll try to discuss this in a quantifiable way. The numbers are just my spontaneous thoughts, meant to make you smile, so please don't take it too seriously.
Assuming a primary school student's understanding is 10 points, a PhD is 60 points, a university professor is 75 points, and Einstein is 100 points.
10 points and 100 points are indeed too different, a difference of 10x, saying it is the difference between humans and dogs is not wrong.
And the AI cognition in 2025 is at least worth 40 points. Considering AI is a generalist, while doctors and professors are generally specialists, in fact, AI is worth at least double, so it can be valued at 80 points.
Then there is:
- Elementary student +AI=90 points
- Doctor +AI=140 points
- University professor +AI=155 points
- Einstein +AI=180 points
After AI emerged, the gap between elementary students and Einstein still has an absolute value of 90 points, but the relative value has changed from 10x to 2x.
This is my view, AI is narrowing the gap between humans.
Some may raise objections: No, elementary students definitely cannot compare with university professors in AI development.
It's like in One Piece, characters have different levels of development regarding Devil Fruits. Similarly, with the rubber fruit, Luffy who can open 1 gear definitely cannot beat Luffy who can open 4 gears years later (novice vs seasoned expert).
Indeed, if AI is worth 80 points:
- Those who do not know how to use it (for example, occasionally asking a question) can only exert 20 points;
- Those who are very good at using AI (for example, high-intensity Vibe Coding) can even overclock to get 100 points.
So:
- Elementary student +AI novice=30 points
- Einstein +AI expert=200 points
The gap has changed from 90 points to 170 points, so with AI, the difference between people has actually widened!
This is the view of the two teachers, Lao Bai and Alvin. What they said is not wrong.
However, I still want to say that my views and those of the two teachers seem to be in conflict, but the core is actually similar. Why is that?
Because I assume AI will continue to evolve:
First, become smarter;
Second, it becomes easy to get started.
Now 2025 is just a transitional year. As time goes on, it will become easier and easier to become a Prompt Engineer, the threshold will become lower and lower, and it will become 'as long as you can talk', learning how to use AI will definitely become easier, not harder.
Let's assume that after AI becomes smarter, it might reach 240 points, and the development levels from low to high are 200, 240, and 280 points.
So:
- Elementary student is 10+200=210 points
- Einstein is 100+280=380 points
The gap between the two is 170 points, but it has lost even 2x, only 1.8x remains. The absolute value gap has increased, but the relative value has decreased.
So what about in 10 years? A super optimistic assumption, let's assume AI's cognitive evolution reaches around 1000 points.
So at this point:
- Elementary school student 1010 points
- Einstein 1100 points
(If that day really comes) even Einstein cannot bridge the gap with elementary school students.
Everyone thinks that after the emergence of AI, it has instead widened the gap between humans. I think this is just a *temporary state*, because AI has just emerged, and currently everyone has varying degrees of development in AI.
But AI has replaced writers, replaced artists, replaced dancers, replaced artists... these professions are falling one by one. Are you still worried that AI cannot replace the training teachers who 'teach how to fully develop AI potential'?
Come on, this is their main business.
In the future, the average human utilization of AI development potential will be 80%-120%, which will be the norm, not an exception.
The smarter AI becomes, the smaller the role of humans, and the smaller the gap between people.
It's like two martial arts masters suddenly discovering that they are allowed to use their shoulders to carry rocket launchers to bombard each other. After practicing punches for 10 years, and the other practicing swords for 15 years, what difference does it make?