BTC Insight

Bitcoin is currently in a phase of uncertainty.

The price movement in the last 24 hours is only ±0.5% — a sign that the market is still hesitant to take direction.

The big picture is as follows:

Institutions still believe in the long-term narrative of BTC.

The historical cycle still provides hope for significant upside.

But in the short term, selling pressure and fund flows have not been supportive.

Positive Factors 📈

BlackRock still positions Bitcoin as the main investment theme for 2025 → a signal of confidence that has not faded.

Florida pension funds buy MicroStrategy shares worth $47 million → a “subtle” way for public institutions to increase exposure to BTC.

The 4-year cycle pattern indicates BTC has the potential to emerge from a flat phase, with an optimistic target of 115K–125K in early 2026, and some even suggest a scenario of 180K.

Risks to Watch Out For ⚠️

BTC has underperformed compared to gold, which set an ATH → the market has not fully viewed BTC as a safe haven.

There is a thick supply zone in the 94K–120K area → many long-term holders are ready to sell when prices rise.

Recent fund flows are inclined to exit → selling pressure is still real, not just noise.

Community Sentiment: Divided.

Some are cautious due to holiday liquidity and the potential for further declines.

Others focus on 2026 as a significant rebound moment.

📌 Conclusion:

The bullish narrative is still alive, but the timing is not favorable.

The market now is more suitable for observation, not aggression.