The dealer shouts “bulls are invincible,” while the chips quietly say “I’m leaving first.” The rest of us bulls are just standing there dumbfounded: How did I fall in love again?
$ZBT Don't be fooled by the words “the dealer is bullish” today. The most critical phrase in the 1-hour signal is actually “divergence in chips.” In plain language: prices can be pushed up, but the chips are being distributed outward. The main force is not in a hurry to take you on a ride; it’s more like they are using the rise to extract liquidity and then complete the handover/distribution at key positions. So the structure you see now leans more towards “bull-bear melee + high probability of plundering,” which means first they pull up, then they crash down, then they pull up again, and then they crash down again, specifically to harvest those who chase the highs and sell the lows.
The upper bearish pressure zone is clearly defined.
0.1044-0.1059
0.1073-0.1102
is the first layer of 'trap zone', the most common script is that the price rushes in or even pierces a bit, making you think it's about to take off, but the volume can't keep up, the K-line leaves a long upper shadow, and the retreat speed is very fast, followed by a wave of downward killing that directly confuses the newly entered long positions. At this time, you'll find that the market suddenly becomes very 'slippery', and stop losses are easily hit; if it wants to act even more convincingly, it will give you a secondary rush higher, and then when you think 'a pullback is a buying point', it turns and crashes down, taking the chips from your hands - this is the typical harvesting rhythm of the 'chip divergence period'; if it truly wants to strengthen, it must do two things: first, effectively stand above 0.1102 with increased volume and at least form a 'pullback does not break' structure above 0.1073-0.1102 (not just a spike going up).
Second, during the pullback, if the trading volume shrinks and support is stable, it can't just waterfall on the first pullback, otherwise it’s a false strength; once it truly stabilizes, the following
0.1211-0.1223
0.1274-0.1300
It's a harder 'selling window', the closer you get to these intervals, the more cautious you should be, because the main force likes to complete stage distributions when everyone shouts 'breakthrough new highs'. If you are a short-term trader, you should consider 'taking profits first' when approaching these intervals, rather than fantasizing about a straight rise.
Conversely, the lower capital accumulation zone is only one section.
0.0705-0.0718
It means that once the above trap fails and triggers a stampede, the real capital support is more likely to appear at a deeper position, which is also the reason the signal directly gives 'empty warehouse risk aversion/not recommended to enter' - it doesn’t mean it must fall, but the odds of entering the market now are very poor: a lot of pressure above, distant support below, and the middle is just the 'vacuum zone' that operators love to manipulate.
So the smartest approach today is not to predict ups and downs, but to focus on key behaviors: when rushing to the range of 0.1044-0.1102, if there is a surge in volume that does not sustain, a rapid decline, many upper shadows, or continuous failures to break higher, then the probability of a trap is high, don't stubbornly hold on; if it can indeed stabilize above 0.1102 with confirmation on a pullback, then it’s not too late to talk about following; if there is a sudden acceleration downward, market jumps, or continuous large declines, then don’t think about “catching the bottom to prove yourself”, wait until it approaches the area of 0.0705-0.0718 which feels more like where “capital is willing to take” to observe the strength of support; in summary: ZBT today is a dangerous market of “many signals bullish but chip divergence”, don’t be the fuel at the juncture set by the main force, better to miss out than to make a mistake.
