Wait for the bull to come
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顽石Bit-定投现货版
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2026 Is Not 2022! The Four-Year Cycle Is Dead, and the Real Danger This Time Is Not the Bear Market
Let me put the conclusion upfront to save time:
I don't think 2026 will repeat 2022.
Let me be more explicit—
This bull market is likely to be prolonged, and the real阶段性 peak is more likely to occur in 2027.
The real danger has never been the bear market,
It's that you're still using the 2022 cognitive model to judge a market that's already been written into the balance sheet.
When many people hear 2026, their minds automatically replay a PTSD sequence:
Four-year cycle
Bull to bear
Blow-up
Liquidity drought
Bitcoin cut in half, then cut in half again
But the issue is:
Is 2022 Really a 'Natural Downward Cycle'?
I don't think 2026 will repeat 2022.
Let me be more explicit—
This bull market is likely to be prolonged, and the real阶段性 peak is more likely to occur in 2027.
The real danger has never been the bear market,
It's that you're still using the 2022 cognitive model to judge a market that's already been written into the balance sheet.
When many people hear 2026, their minds automatically replay a PTSD sequence:
Four-year cycle
Bull to bear
Blow-up
Liquidity drought
Bitcoin cut in half, then cut in half again
But the issue is:
Is 2022 Really a 'Natural Downward Cycle'?
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No advice. Binance AI may be used without guarantee. See T&Cs.