factcheck

King Charles III has set out the government's law-making plans in a speech to Parliament.
Despite furious speculation about his leadership, Sir Keir Starmer has said he will "get on with governing" and the speech outlines his agenda for the next parliamentary session.
Here, BBC correspondents analyse some of the potential new bills Sir Keir's government wants to pass.
Digital ID limps on - it was once heralded a "silver bullet" in the battle against illegal immigration, and now as "one way" for employers to check the credentials of new hires.
It is not compulsory, and could help people who have no other official form of identification like a passport or driving licence, the King said in his speech.
Last year Sir Keir Starmer told me he hoped the scheme would lead to people saving money on ID checks when taking on big financial commitments like a mortgage – needless to say, this did not go down very well with the ID verification industry.
Despite a distinctly lukewarm reception from the public so far, support from the top for digital ID has never fallen off the agenda. Let's not forget it started life in the form of a national ID card under former prime minister Tony Blair in the early 2000s.
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The U.S. digital asset industry is pressing Congress to move faster on crypto market structure legislation as regulatory competition intensifies globally. On April 23, 2026, the Blockchain Association, the Crypto Council for Innovation, and over 90 organizations — with total support exceeding 100 when including Stand With Crypto chapters — urged the Senate Banking Committee to advance a markup of the CLARITY Act, arguing that a federal framework is now essential for market certainty, consumer protections, and long-term U.S. competitiveness.
In a joint letter to Senate Banking Committee leaders, the coalition stated that current momentum in Washington should translate into formal legislative action. The signatories included exchanges, venture firms, infrastructure providers, advocacy groups, and digital asset firms and organizations, including Coinbase, Circle, Kraken, Andreessen Horowitz, Chainalysis, Uniswap Labs, and Ripple.
The letter noted that the committee’s work follows years of bipartisan engagement across congressional offices and federal agencies. It also argued that agency activity alone cannot provide a lasting solution for the sector. The coalition warned against a return to “regulation by enforcement,” which it said created prolonged uncertainty for builders and market participants. It added:
The industry is positioning market structure as a foundational issue rather than a narrow compliance requirement. The letter explains that a comprehensive federal framework would clarify regulatory jurisdiction, introduce disclosure standards tailored to digital assets, and establish consistent rules across all 50 states. It also outlines key priorities, including maintaining consumer rewards linked to payment stablecoins, enabling oversight by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) for tokenized financial instruments, safeguarding decentralized technology developers and service providers, and enhancing disclosure and token certification processes.
For crypto firms, investors, and developers, those issues affect where products launch, how businesses scale, and whether capital remains in the U.S. or moves offshore. For policymakers, the stakes include jobs, innovation, and the country’s strategic position in digital finance.
The broader argument in the letter is that the U.S. can still set the global standard if Congress acts while bipartisan engagement remains active. The coalition said the country’s leadership in financial markets has historically depended on clear rules, strong institutions, and openness to innovation. It used that point to position market structure legislation as a decision with near-term and long-term consequences for the digital asset economy. The letter concluded:
That outlook gives the issue relevance beyond the crypto sector, because the Senate’s next move could influence how digital assets are regulated, developed, and integrated into U.S. financial markets.
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In the crypto world, we’re living in a "graveyard" of creative content. Every time you open Binance Square, you find yourself staring at a broken record being replayed daily in a "copy-paste" style, where AI is used to paint a reality that doesn’t exist..
1. Engineering the illusion 🏗️
We see completely "fabricated" posts; flashy images suggesting revolutionary updates and fake global partnerships. Always remember: just because it looks fancy doesn’t mean it has market value...

I’ll admit, I’m a little late to the party with this review. I’ve spent the last few days sitting with my notes from the recent AMA, trying to digest everything that was shared. But honestly? The insights were so impactful that I felt I had to put them into words. For me, and I suspect for many other listeners, the speaker provided a much-needed reality check on how markets actually move and the hidden dangers of the "speed-first" culture in crypto
The Great Illusion: Social Influence vs. Macro Liquidity
One of the biggest "aha!" moments came when the speaker dismantled the idea that social media sentiment is the primary driver of market direction. In a world where we spend hours refreshing our feeds, it’s easy to think that a viral tweet or a trending hashtag is moving the needle
The reality is much colder: Macro liquidity is the ocean, and social media is just the spray on top
The Misinformation Trap: Speed vs. Accuracy
The conversation then shifted to a more dangerous trend: the weaponization of information. In crypto, we are obsessed with being "early." We want to catch the move before anyone else does. But that speed is exactly what bad actors exploit
We’re seeing a rise in viral tweets that are either completely fabricated, taken wildly out of context, or designed solely to farm engagement revenue. The speaker’s warning was clear: The market’s biggest risk right now isn’t volatility, it’s misinformation.
The AI Frontier: Seeing is No Longer Believing
Perhaps the most sobering part of the AMA was the discussion on AI. We are already seeing AI-generated videos that look incredibly convincing. As this technology improves, the line between a "real source" and a "deepfake" will practically disappear
If you aren't verifying your sources today, you are essentially gambling on a hallucination. The "motto" to live by moving forward? Verify, don't just trust
Final Thoughts: The New Playbook
If I had to boil down the learnings from this session, it would be this: Accuracy beats speed every single time
Winning in this market requires a disciplined approach to information. We need to stop chasing the noise of social media and start focusing on sound macro logic and rigorous fact-checking. Speed might get you into a trade faster, but only accuracy will keep your portfolio alive in the long run
What about you? Has a "fake news" headline ever caught you off guard, or are you already a master of fact-checking? Let’s keep the conversation going, the more we share our processes, the stronger we become as a community 📈🌊
Replay : https://www.binance.com/en/square/audio/replay?id=39933918288601
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Berezin spoke with David Lin on The David Lin Report, as equity markets posted a brief gain on reports of possible Iran ceasefire talks. He was skeptical the rally would hold.
I kind of see the path of the stock market being like that,” Berezin said, comparing equities to a bouncing ball descending a staircase. “It’ll bounce up for a while, but ultimately it’ll end up lower than where it started.”
The Nasdaq had already pulled back roughly 7.5% year to date at the time of the interview, with a trough decline of about 12% making it the worst start to a year since 2022. Berezin explained that stocks remain expensive, trading around 20 times forward earnings on peak profit margins. He called cash his preferred asset class for now.
On oil, Berezin pointed to the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly 20% of global oil supply passes, and noted that approximately 10% of world supply is currently being disrupted. Demand for oil is highly inelastic, he explained to Lin, meaning prices would likely need to double or triple to reduce consumption by 10%.
If we have a sustained decrease in global oil production of around 10%, then it’s very easy to see oil prices going to $200,” he said. Berezin added:
He noted that commodity traders have not followed equity investors into the recent rally, with oil prices remaining elevated above $100 a barrel. Berezin said that gap is a warning sign, given that commodity markets tend to be better informed about where energy prices are heading.
Recession probability for Europe and Japan sits closer to 50%, Berezin said, partly because higher oil prices hurt their terms of trade more than the United States. The dollar benefits in the short term from elevated crude, he added, but faces structural headwinds: a still-expensive valuation by purchasing power parity, decades of current account deficits, and central banks diversifying away from dollar reserves. He argued that gold stands to benefit from that diversification trend over the coming months and years, after a correction driven partly by retail profit-taking.
On the Iran conflict itself, Berezin said a negotiated resolution remains the base case but warned that a power vacuum following the killing of key Iranian leadership makes near-term compromise harder. He insisted that tougher political figures tend to rise in such environments, which works against a quick off-ramp.
The conversation shifted to artificial intelligence (AI) and its impact on the broader tech sector. Berezin detailed that the disruption has moved well past software and now threatens social media companies. He argued that AI agents may increasingly deliver content directly to users, reducing the value of platforms like Instagram and Youtube from destinations to mere content repositories.
On AI hardware, Berezin pointed to a Wall Street Journal report on Caltech research showing sharply lower computational costs for large language models (LLMs). He drew a parallel to internet infrastructure: data transmission has grown at a cumulative pace of roughly 500,000% over 25 years, yet spending on that infrastructure has fallen as a share of GDP. He said AI could follow a similar path, rendering the projected trillions in data center spending unnecessary.
The irony could be that we end up with an AI-empowered world, but we don’t need like trillions of dollars in data centers to get there,” he said.
That scenario, Berezin remarked, would be bearish for copper and base metals in the short term but potentially bullish over the long term, since genuine AI-driven productivity gains would eventually create demand for physical resources that remain finite.
Asked about anticipated 2026 IPOs including SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic, Berezin said Anthropic was his pick if pressed, citing its positioning in business AI services and the advantage it would gain from lower compute costs. He also cautioned that a heavy IPO wave often signals a sector top.
He pushed back firmly on warnings from Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei that AI could eliminate half of all entry-level white-collar jobs and push unemployment to 10% to 20% within five years. Berezin stressed that economists know that productivity gains translate into income gains in equilibrium, and that any resulting inequality would likely trigger a fiscal and monetary policy response that prevents unemployment from rising sharply.
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Having explored foundational tools like oscillators, moving averages, and Fibonacci retracement, it’s time to delve into Elliott Wave Theory for analyzing bitcoin prices. This advanced technical analysis method focuses on identifying recurring price patterns, or “waves,” driven by market psychology. Understanding Elliott Wave offers a unique lens to anticipate bitcoin’s volatile cycles and potential trend reversals by mapping its distinct impulse and corrective wave structures.
Elliott Wave Theory, developed by accountant Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1930s, is a technical analysis method based on the observation that crowd psychology drives financial markets in predictable, repetitive cycles. Forced into retirement by illness, Elliott meticulously studied decades of stock market data and concluded that prices move in distinct, fractal patterns reflecting swings between optimism and pessimism. He detailed his findings in “The Wave Principle” published in 1938.
The theory identifies two primary wave types. Impulse (or motive) waves consist of five sub-waves (labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5) and move in the direction of the main trend. Within this structure, waves 1, 3, and 5 advance the trend, while waves 2 and 4 represent smaller pullbacks.
Corrective waves consist of three sub-waves (labeled A, B, C) and move against the main trend, acting as interruptions. A core tenet is the fractal nature of these patterns. This means the same basic wave structures – five waves up followed by three waves down in a bull market, or vice versa in a bear market – repeat across all timeframes, from minute charts to multi-decade charts.
Analysts also frequently observe relationships between wave lengths adhering to Fibonacci ratios (like 38%, 50%, or 62% retracements). Bitcoin’s well-documented volatility and cyclical price movements make it a frequent subject for Elliott Wave analysis. Traders apply the theory to identify potential trend direction, continuation points, and reversals within the cryptocurrency’s price charts.
Applying Elliott Wave Theory to bitcoin (BTC) trading follows a structured process. First, traders identify the primary trend – whether bitcoin is in a bullish (uptrend) or bearish (downtrend) phase. This sets the context for labeling the waves.
Next comes the crucial step of labeling the waves according to their position and characteristics. In an uptrend, traders look for a developing five-wave impulse pattern upwards (1-2-3-4-5), expected to be followed by a three-wave corrective pattern downwards (A-B-C). The reverse applies in a downtrend.
Bitcoin traders use this wave identification to spot potential entry and exit points. Common strategies include looking for entry opportunities during the pullbacks of Wave 2 or Wave 4 within an uptrend impulse pattern, aiming to capitalize on the anticipated strong moves of Wave 3 or Wave 5. Traders often consider exiting long positions as Wave 5 matures or when the corrective A-B-C pattern begins. Conversely, corrective waves (A-B-C) signal caution for trend-following positions.
Analysis typically involves examining multiple timeframes. A five-wave impulse pattern visible on a weekly bitcoin chart might contain smaller, complete five-wave patterns within it on daily or hourly charts. This multi-scale analysis helps traders align their strategies with different time horizons.
Key rules help maintain consistency in wave counting: Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1; Wave 3 cannot be the shortest among waves 1, 3, and 5; and Wave 4 must not overlap with the price territory of Wave 1. Violation of these core rules invalidates the wave count.
However, applying Elliott Wave Theory effectively requires significant practice. The interpretation can be subjective, leading different analysts to see different wave counts on the same bitcoin chart. Its probabilistic nature, rather than deterministic, means it suggests possibilities, not certainties.
Therefore, Bitcoin traders are generally advised to use Elliott Wave analysis in conjunction with other technical indicators – such as moving averages, oscillators like the relative strength index ( RSI), or volume analysis – for confirmation of signals and improved decision-making. It provides a framework for understanding market structure and psychology, but its application demands skill and disciplined risk management, especially in the fast-moving crypto markets.
As mentioned earlier, one of the inherent problems with Elliott Wave Theory lies in its deeply subjective nature—pinpointing where one wave concludes and another begins is often a matter of interpretation rather than empirical precision. Given that financial markets don’t arrive conveniently labeled, traders are left to lean on pattern recognition, contextual inference, and individual discretion when counting waves—a process that frequently spawns contention, even among seasoned analysts, with some critics dismissing the entire theory as little more than financial fortune-telling.
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Bitcoin briefly reclaimed $79,000 late Sunday following reports that Iran had submitted a proposal to the U.S. aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Market data show the cryptocurrency rose from just under $78,000 to a session high of $79,490 within three hours. It stayed above $79,000 until the early hours of April 27, when it plummeted to $77,500, effectively wiping out the gains made hours earlier.
The retreat erased more than $30 billion from bitcoin’s value and dragged its market capitalization back to $1.55 trillion. The price volatility, which Coinglass data showed exceeded 2.63%, resulted in approximately $56.8 million in bitcoin short liquidations over 12 hours, compared to $38 million in longs.
As reported by several media outlets, Iran delivered its proposal via Pakistani mediators, suggesting an extended ceasefire and the reopening of the strait in exchange for a pause in the U.S. naval blockade. While the U.S. Military’s initial strikes and pressure campaign may not have achieved desired results, the naval blockade of Iranian ports has seemingly turned the tables by depriving the country of a vital revenue source.
By seeking an end to the blockade and an extension of the ceasefire, Iran signaled it may be ready to make a giant concession to end a war that has devastated the global economy. However, some observers noted that Tehran’s proposals appear to relegate a key issue that led President Donald Trump to launch strikes: the nuclear program. The Strait of Hormuz and the U.S. blockade, they say, are products of the war that both parties might use to exit a conflict that lacks a clear off-ramp for the U.S.
While Middle East tensions have fueled bitcoin’s rise in recent weeks, some analysts believe the price action indicates the cryptocurrency is exiting a bear market. Michaël van de Poppe, founder of MN Fund, said a breakout above $84,000 and $87,000 would be evidence that “we’re done with the bear market.”
If you look at the statistical impact of the previous crash to $60,000, there’s been only one scenario where the markets have hit new lows: the fourth quarter of 2022 during the FTX collapse,” van de Poppe said.
Although he conceded a cataclysmic event similar to FTX could happen again, van de Poppe asserted that, statistically, a new all-time high is typically reached in less than 12 months following such a collapse.
As of 3:30 a.m. EDT on April 27, market data show bitcoin has gained approximately 15% since the start of the month. The rally has helped narrow the cryptocurrency’s year-to-date losses to 11%, down from a peak of more than 20% seen at the end of March
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It was another session of see-saw price action for bitcoin on April 29, as the leading digital asset swung from a base just above $76,000 to a peak of $77,800 before tumbling just below the $75,000 mark. This late-day volatility followed the Federal Reserve’s widely anticipated decision to leave interest rates unchanged.
The cryptocurrency’s movement appeared to mirror global equities, continuing a broader market trend of marginal daily losses that had persisted since Monday. According to daily chart data, bitcoin remained range-bound near $76,200 until late Tuesday, when it ignited the first of two significant rallies within a 24-hour window. The initial surge propelled the asset past the $77,000 psychological threshold, where it consolidated for several hours.
However, a second wave of buying pressure beginning around 5:30 a.m. EDT drove the price to a brief high of $77,882 before a sharp sell-off effectively erased the session’s progress. By 1 p.m. EDT, bitcoin was trading near $75,100, representing a 1.3% decline over 24 hours—a move that flipped its weekly performance into negative territory. Despite the immediate retracement, the asset remains on track to close April with double-digit gains, even as its market capitalization remains throttled at $1.52 trillion.
In his final press conference as Federal Reserve chair, Jerome Powell—who has recently faced personal broadsides from Trump administration officials—justified the Federal Open Market Committee’s hold stance by citing escalating Middle East tensions and “sticky” energy inflation. With Brent crude prices rebounding to levels seen before the U.S.-Iran temporary ceasefire, economists are sounding the alarm that the window for a “soft landing” is rapidly closing, raising the specter of a global recession
Still, reports that the Trump administration intends to maintain a strict blockade on Iranian oil signal that a diplomatic resolution remains elusive. In fact, after the latest talks proved to be a damp squib, the rhetoric from Washington has turned increasingly hawkish. Figures such as retired four-star Gen. Jack Keane are reportedly advocating for kinetic action as the primary lever to force Tehran back to the negotiating table.
However, analysts warn that a resumption of strikes on Iranian targets would almost certainly trigger a regional conflagration, with retaliatory strikes likely targeting critical energy infrastructure across the Gulf states.
Meanwhile, analysts warn that even tentative signs of easing around the Strait of Hormuz will no longer be enough to stabilize market sentiment. The market, they assert, is no longer trading only the risk of Middle East conflict; it is beginning to price the possibility that the global energy market could revert to a regime dominated by price wars and market-share competition.
According to a Bitunix analyst, this shift matters significantly for bitcoin and the crypto economy.
This shift matters through the inflation and liquidity channel,” the analyst explained. “A renewed rise in energy prices would directly constrain the market’s ability to price aggressive Federal Reserve easing. BTC may still maintain a relatively strong risk-asset structure in the short term, but if elevated oil prices persist for longer, expectations for future liquidity conditions could once again come under pressure.”
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Bitcoin regained its stride Monday, bouncing back above $80,000 after early morning jitters tied to Middle East tensions. Though the top cryptocurrency dipped to a session low of $78,203 around 6:30 a.m. EDT, it surged past $80,500 by midmorning, effectively erasing its losses and reclaiming momentum from Sunday night’s rally.
Prior to that intraday dip, bitcoin had surged to a commanding $80,617, marking a fresh three-month peak. This aggressive rally pushed the asset’s total market capitalization north of the $1.6 trillion milestone—a psychological breakthrough that solidified the narrative that the industry has finally emerged from its latest “ crypto winter.”
While several factors fueled the rise, some analysts tied the initial surge to reports that the U.S. Navy would escort shipping vessels stranded in the Strait of Hormuz. The risky move by the U.S. followed a weekend of sharp rhetoric between Washington and Tehran; the latter seized control of the vital shipping channel shortly after hostilities began.
While the blockade increased pressure on Iran, its refusal to give in to U.S. demands to reopen the strait to commercial ships has caused oil prices and inflation to rise. With the war increasingly unpopular at home, the Trump administration—eager to placate voters ahead of the midterm elections—began deploying warships to flashpoints to launch the escorts. U.S. officials revealed Monday that two American-flagged vessels had already passed through without incident.
However, reports of attacks on shipping vessels and claims by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps that it repelled advancing U.S. Navy ships rattled markets. Although U.S. Central Command dismissed the Iranian version of events, the situation has clearly escalated. A fire at the Fujairah oil terminal and claims by the United Arab Emirates that it intercepted missiles launched from Iran underscored the growing danger.
For shipping companies, the latest episode suggests that unless the two belligerents reach a permanent peace agreement, normal transit through the channel will not resume. As a resolution stalls, economists say the prospects of a global recession are growing.
Following the skirmishes, oil prices rose, with Brent crude briefly reaching $115 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate jumping 3.3% to $105 per barrel. On Wall Street, the main indices were marginally lower at the time of writing after taking heavy losses earlier in the day. Bitcoin, conversely, reversed its early morning losses to bring its 24-hour gains back above 2%.
The price action saw nearly $270 million in leveraged bitcoin positions wiped out, with liquidated shorts accounting for close to $212 million. Overall, volatility across the cryptocurrency market resulted in $384 million in short bets and $170 million in long positions being liquidated.
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Niseko is the world's first crypto ski resort on the island of Hokkaido. It is popular among tourists, especially from Australia and China, and has been actively developing infrastructure related to cryptocurrencies in recent years.
What's happening there?
• In 2017, Niseko began accepting bitcoins as payment for accommodation, food, and equipment rentals.

How exactly can cryptocurrency be destroyed???
How is this possible?
Cryptocurrencies operate on the basis of decentralized blockchain networks, where numerous nodes support and verify transactions. However, if all nodes are destroyed or turned off, the network will cease to exist.