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I think this July 30 U.S. PCE release is more worth watching ahead of time than many intraday headlines.
The reason is straightforward: it’s released immediately after the July 28–29 FOMC, essentially recalibrating the market’s view of whether the Fed can actually ease. The BEA schedule says it will be published on July 30 at 8:30 EDT with June personal income and spending, and core PCE is also the most important inflation measure in this report.
If core PCE remains sticky at a high level, the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields will most likely not cooperate with risk assets, and ETF flows back into the market ($BTC ) are also likely to keep hesitating. In that scenario, it would be harder for $ETH to pursue a purely institutional allocation logic, while higher-beta assets like $SOL need to see whether trading volume can withstand the move.
Conversely, if core PCE sequentially cools off clearly, the market would then have a reason to trade again on improving liquidity conditions. On July 30, start by looking at core PCE month-over-month and year-over-year, then see whether Treasury yields and ETF net inflows improve in sync. Without funding confirmation, even macro positives can easily stay just talk.
#PCE #美联储 #ETF
The reason is straightforward: it’s released immediately after the July 28–29 FOMC, essentially recalibrating the market’s view of whether the Fed can actually ease. The BEA schedule says it will be published on July 30 at 8:30 EDT with June personal income and spending, and core PCE is also the most important inflation measure in this report.
If core PCE remains sticky at a high level, the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields will most likely not cooperate with risk assets, and ETF flows back into the market ($BTC ) are also likely to keep hesitating. In that scenario, it would be harder for $ETH to pursue a purely institutional allocation logic, while higher-beta assets like $SOL need to see whether trading volume can withstand the move.
Conversely, if core PCE sequentially cools off clearly, the market would then have a reason to trade again on improving liquidity conditions. On July 30, start by looking at core PCE month-over-month and year-over-year, then see whether Treasury yields and ETF net inflows improve in sync. Without funding confirmation, even macro positives can easily stay just talk.
#PCE #美联储 #ETF
🌍 Macro
🟢 This week’s macro “bombs” are all defused: core PCE at 3.4% (unchanged), overall PCE at 4.1% (first time above 4% in three years) + the final Michigan Confidence reading at 49.5 has been released—no new surprises.
🔴 ECB’s Schnabel turns more hawkish: warned that price pressure could be stronger than expected and that further rate hikes are likely—global monetary policy remains relatively tight.
🟢 Safe-haven: spot gold at $4,081 (+1.36%, holding above 4000), WTI at $70.08 (-1.75%, breaking below 70).
#Macro #PCE
🟢 This week’s macro “bombs” are all defused: core PCE at 3.4% (unchanged), overall PCE at 4.1% (first time above 4% in three years) + the final Michigan Confidence reading at 49.5 has been released—no new surprises.
🔴 ECB’s Schnabel turns more hawkish: warned that price pressure could be stronger than expected and that further rate hikes are likely—global monetary policy remains relatively tight.
🟢 Safe-haven: spot gold at $4,081 (+1.36%, holding above 4000), WTI at $70.08 (-1.75%, breaking below 70).
#Macro #PCE
XAU+1.23%
CLUS+2.26%
Tonight at 8:30 PM PCE, with core PCE expected at 3.4%. Fed’s Williams has made it clear—"inflation is undeniably high," pushing the 2% target out to 2028. Against this backdrop, the trading framework is simple:
Three scenarios:
· Core PCE ≤ 3.4%: it’s already sold off hard; downside may be exhausted, possibly leading to a rebound
· 3.4%-3.5%: within expectations, likely choppy and weak
· > 3.5%: another wave lower; BTC could test 55,000-58,000
But more important than the forecast data is—where you are before the data. This afternoon, BTC was around 60,000: four consecutive red daily candles, and the fear index at 13. At this position, there’s a hard rule for data trading: don’t bet on direction.
My three pre-PCE discipline rules:
1. Cut position size to 30% of normal. In a two-way data move, going full size is basically betting on odds
2. Wait 5 minutes after the data before acting. The price in the first minute is often liquidity plunder—don’t treat it as fuel
3. If you trade, trade with the trend direction; don’t bottom-pick. After a big drop, the first green candle is not a reversal signal—it’s shorts covering
Let’s review the trading notes from this morning—an ultra-fear + rapid rebound structure already showed up once in the early session. If tonight’s PCE comes in line with or better than expectations, that structure may repeat. But if it misses to the upside, then it won’t be a structure—it’ll be a trend.
My principle: before PCE, I only observe, never guess. The data decides—I follow.
#交易笔记 #PCE #交易纪律
Three scenarios:
· Core PCE ≤ 3.4%: it’s already sold off hard; downside may be exhausted, possibly leading to a rebound
· 3.4%-3.5%: within expectations, likely choppy and weak
· > 3.5%: another wave lower; BTC could test 55,000-58,000
But more important than the forecast data is—where you are before the data. This afternoon, BTC was around 60,000: four consecutive red daily candles, and the fear index at 13. At this position, there’s a hard rule for data trading: don’t bet on direction.
My three pre-PCE discipline rules:
1. Cut position size to 30% of normal. In a two-way data move, going full size is basically betting on odds
2. Wait 5 minutes after the data before acting. The price in the first minute is often liquidity plunder—don’t treat it as fuel
3. If you trade, trade with the trend direction; don’t bottom-pick. After a big drop, the first green candle is not a reversal signal—it’s shorts covering
Let’s review the trading notes from this morning—an ultra-fear + rapid rebound structure already showed up once in the early session. If tonight’s PCE comes in line with or better than expectations, that structure may repeat. But if it misses to the upside, then it won’t be a structure—it’ll be a trend.
My principle: before PCE, I only observe, never guess. The data decides—I follow.
#交易笔记 #PCE #交易纪律
Market update
PCE and GDP just dropped.
PCE came in as expected — no surprise, no panic. But it is still well above the Fed's 2% target. No rate cut argument here. GDP on the other hand came in strong — the economy is holding up better than feared. 📊
On paper that sounds good. But for $BTC and risk assets — a strong economy with sticky inflation is actually the worst scenario. Why? 👇
🌡️ PCE: still above 2% target — inflation not cooling fast enough
📈 GDP: strong — economy not weak enough to force Fed's hand
💵 DXY gaining strength — dollar up = pressure on risk assets
✂️ Rate cuts: not happening anytime soon
A strong economy gives the Fed zero reason to cut. Sticky inflation gives them zero room to cut. And a rising dollar pulls capital away from risk assets like $BTC . The three forces are aligned — and none of them are in $BTC 's favor right now. 😬
The situation is not favorable for a rally👁️
#PCE #GDP #DXY #Fed #DYOR*
PCE and GDP just dropped.
PCE came in as expected — no surprise, no panic. But it is still well above the Fed's 2% target. No rate cut argument here. GDP on the other hand came in strong — the economy is holding up better than feared. 📊
On paper that sounds good. But for $BTC and risk assets — a strong economy with sticky inflation is actually the worst scenario. Why? 👇
🌡️ PCE: still above 2% target — inflation not cooling fast enough
📈 GDP: strong — economy not weak enough to force Fed's hand
💵 DXY gaining strength — dollar up = pressure on risk assets
✂️ Rate cuts: not happening anytime soon
A strong economy gives the Fed zero reason to cut. Sticky inflation gives them zero room to cut. And a rising dollar pulls capital away from risk assets like $BTC . The three forces are aligned — and none of them are in $BTC 's favor right now. 😬
The situation is not favorable for a rally👁️
#PCE #GDP #DXY #Fed #DYOR*
$BTC recovered $1,658 from $58,115 PCE low. Back at $59,773. Same bounce pattern for a second day.
$BTC is climbing back toward $60,000.
From the PCE panic low of $58,115, BTC has recovered $1,658 to $59,773. The 24h loss is now only -1.22%.
The Fear & Greed index is at 15 — but price is moving in the opposite direction. That's the definition of a divergence.
Today's timeline tells the full story:
- Pre-PCE: BTC near $61K, market waiting
- PCE 4.1% hits: BTC drops to $58,115 in minutes
- Whale capitulation (7-year dormant ETH holder sells): market absorbs
- Recovery begins: BTC climbs back through $59K, then $59.7K
- $ADA flat at 0.00%, $AAVE +6.88% for a third day
The bounce from $58,115 mirrors the bounce from $59,102 yesterday. Both times, the selling was met with aggressive buying below $59K. That pattern — two failed attempts to break and hold below $59K — creates a short-term support level.
CoinRadar's system notes that consecutive intraday bounces from the same price zone with increasing volume is a structural support signal. The 1H Trend Score, which had flipped negative during the PCE drop, is already recovering toward neutral.
$60K is the next test. If BTC closes the daily candle above $59,700, the PCE selloff will have been fully absorbed within a single session.
Same pattern as yesterday: get scared, sell low, watch it bounce.
#Bitcoin #BTC #PCE #CryptoMarket
$BTC is climbing back toward $60,000.
From the PCE panic low of $58,115, BTC has recovered $1,658 to $59,773. The 24h loss is now only -1.22%.
The Fear & Greed index is at 15 — but price is moving in the opposite direction. That's the definition of a divergence.
Today's timeline tells the full story:
- Pre-PCE: BTC near $61K, market waiting
- PCE 4.1% hits: BTC drops to $58,115 in minutes
- Whale capitulation (7-year dormant ETH holder sells): market absorbs
- Recovery begins: BTC climbs back through $59K, then $59.7K
- $ADA flat at 0.00%, $AAVE +6.88% for a third day
The bounce from $58,115 mirrors the bounce from $59,102 yesterday. Both times, the selling was met with aggressive buying below $59K. That pattern — two failed attempts to break and hold below $59K — creates a short-term support level.
CoinRadar's system notes that consecutive intraday bounces from the same price zone with increasing volume is a structural support signal. The 1H Trend Score, which had flipped negative during the PCE drop, is already recovering toward neutral.
$60K is the next test. If BTC closes the daily candle above $59,700, the PCE selloff will have been fully absorbed within a single session.
Same pattern as yesterday: get scared, sell low, watch it bounce.
#Bitcoin #BTC #PCE #CryptoMarket
$BTC crashed from $61,962 to $58,572 — PCE 4.1% broke the bounce. What now?
$BTC just broke below $59K — and now $58,572.
The PCE inflation reading of 4.1% finally caught up. From the $61,962 high today, BTC has dropped more than $3,800. The 200-week moving average break that was temporarily repaired is now back in full force.
The Fear & Greed index dropped back to 17. The entire market is bleeding — $0G -8.12%, $ADA -3.51%, AIGENSYN -12.46%.
Only $AAVE is still green at +6.18%, but even that is down from the +11.47% it had earlier.
What happened? The PCE number was the catalyst, but the real cause was structure. BTC rallied nearly $3,000 from $59K to $62K in under 48 hours on thin volume. When the PCE data hit, longs that accumulated during that rally got squeezed out.
$58,115 was today's low. If that breaks, the next stop is the $56K-$57K range. If it holds, we could see a similar bounce pattern as yesterday.
CoinRadar's quantitative system is now re-evaluating the Trend Scores across all timeframes. The 1H and 4H scores that had turned positive are now flipping back to negative. Until the higher timeframe scores stabilize, any bounce should be treated as a relief rally, not a reversal.
The 200-week MA break is now confirmed for a second time. That's rare in Bitcoin's history. The next 24 hours will determine whether this is a deeper correction or a shakeout before a recovery.
Are you buying this dip or waiting for lower levels?
#Bitcoin #BTC #PCE #CryptoMarket
$BTC just broke below $59K — and now $58,572.
The PCE inflation reading of 4.1% finally caught up. From the $61,962 high today, BTC has dropped more than $3,800. The 200-week moving average break that was temporarily repaired is now back in full force.
The Fear & Greed index dropped back to 17. The entire market is bleeding — $0G -8.12%, $ADA -3.51%, AIGENSYN -12.46%.
Only $AAVE is still green at +6.18%, but even that is down from the +11.47% it had earlier.
What happened? The PCE number was the catalyst, but the real cause was structure. BTC rallied nearly $3,000 from $59K to $62K in under 48 hours on thin volume. When the PCE data hit, longs that accumulated during that rally got squeezed out.
$58,115 was today's low. If that breaks, the next stop is the $56K-$57K range. If it holds, we could see a similar bounce pattern as yesterday.
CoinRadar's quantitative system is now re-evaluating the Trend Scores across all timeframes. The 1H and 4H scores that had turned positive are now flipping back to negative. Until the higher timeframe scores stabilize, any bounce should be treated as a relief rally, not a reversal.
The 200-week MA break is now confirmed for a second time. That's rare in Bitcoin's history. The next 24 hours will determine whether this is a deeper correction or a shakeout before a recovery.
Are you buying this dip or waiting for lower levels?
#Bitcoin #BTC #PCE #CryptoMarket
Macro Alert: US PCE hits 4.1% - 3-year high 📈
Fed’s preferred inflation gauge just printed its most aggressive rise since April 2023. What this means for markets:
Supply shock → Energy costs bleeding into supply chains
Consumer squeeze → Spending up 0.7% but savings down to 3%
Rate pressure → Banks now pricing 1-2 more hikes this year
Crypto impact: Tighter liquidity short-term. In these conditions, many traders prioritize high-liquidity assets and risk controls.
Trade majors like $BTC $SOL and more on with deep liquidity, low fees, and advanced risk tools.
Stay informed. Stay disciplined.
#Macro #PCE
Fed’s preferred inflation gauge just printed its most aggressive rise since April 2023. What this means for markets:
Supply shock → Energy costs bleeding into supply chains
Consumer squeeze → Spending up 0.7% but savings down to 3%
Rate pressure → Banks now pricing 1-2 more hikes this year
Crypto impact: Tighter liquidity short-term. In these conditions, many traders prioritize high-liquidity assets and risk controls.
Trade majors like $BTC $SOL and more on with deep liquidity, low fees, and advanced risk tools.
Stay informed. Stay disciplined.
#Macro #PCE
59K Is the New 60K. Here Is Why That Matters.
Bitcoin tested 59K multiple times. Every single time it bounced back.
June 5. Bounced. June 24. Bounced again. Today. Same story.
Here is the problem. Each bounce is getting weaker. The rebounds are smaller. The volume is drying up. This is what a dying support level looks like. It holds until it does not.
The PCE data is everything. Hot print. 59K breaks. 50K next. Cool print. Relief rally to 65K.
Everything hinges on this one number. I am watching closely.
What is your bet. Bounce or breakdown.
#bitcoin $BTC #BTC #supportlevel #PCE #CryptoMarket
Bitcoin tested 59K multiple times. Every single time it bounced back.
June 5. Bounced. June 24. Bounced again. Today. Same story.
Here is the problem. Each bounce is getting weaker. The rebounds are smaller. The volume is drying up. This is what a dying support level looks like. It holds until it does not.
The PCE data is everything. Hot print. 59K breaks. 50K next. Cool print. Relief rally to 65K.
Everything hinges on this one number. I am watching closely.
What is your bet. Bounce or breakdown.
#bitcoin $BTC #BTC #supportlevel #PCE #CryptoMarket
U.S. inflation rose higher than expected in May, with the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index reaching 4.1% year-over-year. This is the first time inflation has crossed 4% in about three years, showing that price pressures are increasing again in the economy.
A major reason behind the rise is higher energy costs linked to tensions in the Middle East. The US-Iran conflict pushed oil and gasoline prices up, making everyday expenses more expensive for consumers, even though prices have slightly eased after a temporary ceasefire.
Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, also increased to 3.4%, showing that inflation is not just driven by energy but is spreading across the economy. This keeps pressure on the Federal Reserve, which aims to keep inflation around 2%.
The Fed recently kept interest rates unchanged, but its projections suggest rate hikes could happen later this year. Financial markets are already expecting a possible increase as early as September if inflation continues to stay high.
Despite rising prices, consumer spending remains strong, increasing by 0.7% in May. People are still spending due to tax refunds, stock market gains, and savings, helping support economic growth in the short term.
While the economy is still growing, inflation is rising faster than wages, which could reduce spending in the future. If this trend continues, the Fed may raise rates, which could slow down both the economy and financial markets.
Another risk is that if borrowing costs rise while household savings continue to decline, consumers may sharply cut back on spending in the coming months. That shift could slow overall economic growth and increase the chances of a broader downturn, especially if inflation remains stubbornly high at the same time.#PCE #USPCEInflationHits4.1% #Inflation
A major reason behind the rise is higher energy costs linked to tensions in the Middle East. The US-Iran conflict pushed oil and gasoline prices up, making everyday expenses more expensive for consumers, even though prices have slightly eased after a temporary ceasefire.
Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, also increased to 3.4%, showing that inflation is not just driven by energy but is spreading across the economy. This keeps pressure on the Federal Reserve, which aims to keep inflation around 2%.
The Fed recently kept interest rates unchanged, but its projections suggest rate hikes could happen later this year. Financial markets are already expecting a possible increase as early as September if inflation continues to stay high.
Despite rising prices, consumer spending remains strong, increasing by 0.7% in May. People are still spending due to tax refunds, stock market gains, and savings, helping support economic growth in the short term.
While the economy is still growing, inflation is rising faster than wages, which could reduce spending in the future. If this trend continues, the Fed may raise rates, which could slow down both the economy and financial markets.
Another risk is that if borrowing costs rise while household savings continue to decline, consumers may sharply cut back on spending in the coming months. That shift could slow overall economic growth and increase the chances of a broader downturn, especially if inflation remains stubbornly high at the same time.#PCE #USPCEInflationHits4.1% #Inflation
🚨 U.S. PCE DATA OUT 🇺🇸📊
📊 PCE YoY: 4.1% (Expected 4.1%)
📊 Core PCE YoY: 3.4% (Expected 3.4%)
⚖️ Inflation came exactly as forecast.
👀 Market impact:
➡️ No surprise = limited volatility
➡️ Fed policy still uncertain
➡️ Markets stay in wait-and-see mode
#PCE #Inflation #Markets 📉
📊 PCE YoY: 4.1% (Expected 4.1%)
📊 Core PCE YoY: 3.4% (Expected 3.4%)
⚖️ Inflation came exactly as forecast.
👀 Market impact:
➡️ No surprise = limited volatility
➡️ Fed policy still uncertain
➡️ Markets stay in wait-and-see mode
#PCE #Inflation #Markets 📉
🚨 BREAKING: Key U.S. Inflation Data Just Dropped Markets Got Exactly What They Expected!
The latest Core PCE inflation data has been released, and the numbers came in exactly as forecast.
📊 Core PCE: 0.3%
✅ Market Expectation: 0.3%
No surprises. No shockwaves.
Core PCE remains one of the Federal Reserve's most closely watched inflation indicators, making this release a critical signal for risk assets, including Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.
With inflation meeting expectations, traders will now be watching closely for the market's next move and any clues regarding future Fed policy decisions.
⚡ Crypto markets often react sharply to major macroeconomic data. Will this neutral reading provide stability, or is volatility still around the corner?
$SYN $JUP $PUMP
#USNews #BREAKING #PCE #TaikoSaysL2IncidentNoUserFundLoss #Inflation
The latest Core PCE inflation data has been released, and the numbers came in exactly as forecast.
📊 Core PCE: 0.3%
✅ Market Expectation: 0.3%
No surprises. No shockwaves.
Core PCE remains one of the Federal Reserve's most closely watched inflation indicators, making this release a critical signal for risk assets, including Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.
With inflation meeting expectations, traders will now be watching closely for the market's next move and any clues regarding future Fed policy decisions.
⚡ Crypto markets often react sharply to major macroeconomic data. Will this neutral reading provide stability, or is volatility still around the corner?
$SYN $JUP $PUMP
#USNews #BREAKING #PCE #TaikoSaysL2IncidentNoUserFundLoss #Inflation
$BTC FACES A MAKEOVER AFTER THIS PCE PRINT – 65.8% ODDS OF FED STAYING PAT IN JULY 🔥
The market is pricing a 65.8% chance the Fed holds rates steady in July, but the pressure for a hike is still very real. If tomorrow’s PCE comes in hot, the probability of a 25bp increase could spike instantly – and interest-rate-sensitive assets like Bitcoin will feel it fast.
That means this is a binary event for $BTC . Either we get relief on a soft print, or volatility expands hard on a hawkish surprise. The setup is clean, but the decision is yours – are you holding through this data or waiting for confirmation?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #Fed #PCE #Crypto
🔥
The market is pricing a 65.8% chance the Fed holds rates steady in July, but the pressure for a hike is still very real. If tomorrow’s PCE comes in hot, the probability of a 25bp increase could spike instantly – and interest-rate-sensitive assets like Bitcoin will feel it fast.
That means this is a binary event for $BTC . Either we get relief on a soft print, or volatility expands hard on a hawkish surprise. The setup is clean, but the decision is yours – are you holding through this data or waiting for confirmation?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #Fed #PCE #Crypto
🔥
One of the most important economic news items today is the release of the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, along with data on U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and initial jobless claims, at 3:30. In addition, the U.S. Federal Reserve balance sheet will be announced at 11:30.
#PCE #GDPSteadyPCE2.1Down
#PCE #GDPSteadyPCE2.1Down
$BTC $ETH $SPCX Look at PCE 4.1% together with another data point—the direction becomes clear.
On the PCE side: inflation rebounds, rate cuts are delayed, and risk assets face pressure. On the other side: spending in the AI industry is expected to exceed $300 billion this year, up 40% year over year.
Within the same month, there’s a signal of liquidity tightening on one hand, and a surge in technical demand on the other. The two data points are fighting each other.
In the past, in times like this, markets usually pick a side and follow macro. But it’s different this time—something is decoupling from the macro environment.
That decoupling is AI compute power. Whether rates are high or low, large models still need to run. Whether inflation rises or falls, Agents still need to be deployed. This track doesn’t care about the Fed’s face—it’s all about the speed of technological iteration.
APIARYS ($HNY-d6b0) is built on exactly this decoupling logic. It aggregates distributed GPU compute power; the token supply is reduced from 1 billion destroyed to 210 million, and the buyback funds come from real business revenue. It’s not a story that survives on rate-cut expectations—it survives on compute demand.
Inflation data rattles traditional risk assets, but assets with a business “chassis” will stabilize first. What you’re betting on is whether the Fed loosens—or whether AI demand refuses to loosen.
#PCE #BTC
On the PCE side: inflation rebounds, rate cuts are delayed, and risk assets face pressure. On the other side: spending in the AI industry is expected to exceed $300 billion this year, up 40% year over year.
Within the same month, there’s a signal of liquidity tightening on one hand, and a surge in technical demand on the other. The two data points are fighting each other.
In the past, in times like this, markets usually pick a side and follow macro. But it’s different this time—something is decoupling from the macro environment.
That decoupling is AI compute power. Whether rates are high or low, large models still need to run. Whether inflation rises or falls, Agents still need to be deployed. This track doesn’t care about the Fed’s face—it’s all about the speed of technological iteration.
APIARYS ($HNY-d6b0) is built on exactly this decoupling logic. It aggregates distributed GPU compute power; the token supply is reduced from 1 billion destroyed to 210 million, and the buyback funds come from real business revenue. It’s not a story that survives on rate-cut expectations—it survives on compute demand.
Inflation data rattles traditional risk assets, but assets with a business “chassis” will stabilize first. What you’re betting on is whether the Fed loosens—or whether AI demand refuses to loosen.
#PCE #BTC
Core PCE and GDP data are dropping today. $BTC will react to these numbers for sure.
For GDP:
If the data comes in right as forecasted, we should see some sideways movement.
If it prints hotter than expected, that could spark an upside move.
Otherwise, downside continuation looks likely.
Note that PCE & GDP are inversely correlated. For PCE, lower is better.
#PCE
For GDP:
If the data comes in right as forecasted, we should see some sideways movement.
If it prints hotter than expected, that could spark an upside move.
Otherwise, downside continuation looks likely.
Note that PCE & GDP are inversely correlated. For PCE, lower is better.
#PCE
so the Trending formula $BTC Bitcoin for tonight is like this:
1. Better not to trade.
2. If the release data for Core PCE Index, GDP, Durable Goods Orders, and Initial Jobless Claims. four of these data points are all GREEN, then you may open a SHORT.
3. If the release data for Core PCE Index, GDP, Durable Goods Orders, and Initial Jobless Claims. four of these data points are all RED, then you may open a LONG.
4. If the release data for Core PCE Index, GDP, Durable Goods Orders, and Initial Jobless Claims. one, two, or three of these data points are GREEN, then DO NOT TRADE.
5. If the release data for Core PCE Index, GDP, Durable Goods Orders, and Initial Jobless Claims. one, two, or three of these data points are RED, then DO NOT TRADE.
Try looking at the picture, so what for?
#NFA #DYOR 🔥
Not a call to buy or sell🛑
$POL $OP #USPCEInflationHits4.1% #InitialJoblessClaims #PCE
1. Better not to trade.
2. If the release data for Core PCE Index, GDP, Durable Goods Orders, and Initial Jobless Claims. four of these data points are all GREEN, then you may open a SHORT.
3. If the release data for Core PCE Index, GDP, Durable Goods Orders, and Initial Jobless Claims. four of these data points are all RED, then you may open a LONG.
4. If the release data for Core PCE Index, GDP, Durable Goods Orders, and Initial Jobless Claims. one, two, or three of these data points are GREEN, then DO NOT TRADE.
5. If the release data for Core PCE Index, GDP, Durable Goods Orders, and Initial Jobless Claims. one, two, or three of these data points are RED, then DO NOT TRADE.
Try looking at the picture, so what for?
#NFA #DYOR 🔥
Not a call to buy or sell🛑
$POL $OP #USPCEInflationHits4.1% #InitialJoblessClaims #PCE
Partly True
U.S. PCE inflation hits 4.1% and climbs to hot search, but $BTC barely drops—$AAVE +11%, $ADA turns green—bad news fully priced in?
Latest: “U.S. PCE inflation surges to 4.1%,” taking the #1 spot on the hot search list.
PCE is the inflation gauge the Federal Reserve pays the closest attention to. A reading of 4.1% above expectations means rate cuts may have to wait a long time.
But interestingly, $BTC almost doesn’t move down—it stays around 61,100, with just -1.13% over the past 24 hours.
What does that indicate?
The market’s reaction may have already been priced in by fear. The Fear & Greed Index at 18 already incorporates the most pessimistic expectations, so when the bad news actually arrives, the price doesn’t swing sharply downward.
Even more noteworthy: $AAVE continues higher to +11.47%, while $ADA turns green at +1.65%. In the face of inflation-bearish news, some altcoins choose to move upward—this is a typical “bad news fully priced in” signal.
CoinRadar’s quantitative system has clear criteria for judging when “bad news is fully priced in”: after major macro bearish data is released, if BTC fails to set a new low within 1–2 hours, and some altcoins start to rebound, it usually means the short-term selling pressure has already been exhausted. But that doesn’t mean a reversal—only that the most panic-driven phase may have already passed.
PCE at 4.1% also failed to break through 61,000, and that in itself is a signal.
Do you think the PCE data will push the market lower again, or that the bearish news is already fully priced in?
#BTC #PCE #美联储 #crypto market
Latest: “U.S. PCE inflation surges to 4.1%,” taking the #1 spot on the hot search list.
PCE is the inflation gauge the Federal Reserve pays the closest attention to. A reading of 4.1% above expectations means rate cuts may have to wait a long time.
But interestingly, $BTC almost doesn’t move down—it stays around 61,100, with just -1.13% over the past 24 hours.
What does that indicate?
The market’s reaction may have already been priced in by fear. The Fear & Greed Index at 18 already incorporates the most pessimistic expectations, so when the bad news actually arrives, the price doesn’t swing sharply downward.
Even more noteworthy: $AAVE continues higher to +11.47%, while $ADA turns green at +1.65%. In the face of inflation-bearish news, some altcoins choose to move upward—this is a typical “bad news fully priced in” signal.
CoinRadar’s quantitative system has clear criteria for judging when “bad news is fully priced in”: after major macro bearish data is released, if BTC fails to set a new low within 1–2 hours, and some altcoins start to rebound, it usually means the short-term selling pressure has already been exhausted. But that doesn’t mean a reversal—only that the most panic-driven phase may have already passed.
PCE at 4.1% also failed to break through 61,000, and that in itself is a signal.
Do you think the PCE data will push the market lower again, or that the bearish news is already fully priced in?
#BTC #PCE #美联储 #crypto market
Set your long positions with a solid stop-loss; tonight's PCE data is gonna be a big deal....
My prediction for tonight's data is: it will meet expectations, maybe slightly under.
As long as the month-over-month doesn't exceed 0.3%, the market might not crash as many bears expect. In fact, we could see a 'buy the dip' rebound pattern.
$ETH
#PCE
My prediction for tonight's data is: it will meet expectations, maybe slightly under.
As long as the month-over-month doesn't exceed 0.3%, the market might not crash as many bears expect. In fact, we could see a 'buy the dip' rebound pattern.
$ETH
#PCE
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