btc

🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision

Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.

The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.

Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.

🔺 Stagflation risk

Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.

The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.

Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.

A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin

🚩I AM TELLING YOU GUYS, $BTC BTC WILL REACH $84,000 SOON
Current Price: $79,242 (+2.44%)
...
Watch $80,000 → $82,000 → $83,000 → $84,000.
Are you in?
Trade here 🔻

#btc #bitcoin #MarketRecovery

$BTC

​Precision at its peak. 79.5k top called.

76.2k liquidity sweep executed flawlessly.

You either trade the structural blueprint, or you become the exit liquidity. The receipts are public.

Now we Will wait for Market Structure Shift in LTF to long.

Spot Buyers can start taking small positions

#btc #TradingTales #Market_Update

🚨 𝐖𝐀𝐊𝐄 𝐔𝐏! 𝐘𝐎𝐔'𝐑𝐄 𝐀𝐁𝐎𝐔𝐓 𝐓𝐎 𝐌𝐀𝐊𝐄 𝐓𝐇𝐄 𝐁𝐈𝐆𝐆𝐄𝐒𝐓 𝐌𝐈𝐒𝐓𝐀𝐊𝐄 𝐎𝐅 𝐘𝐎𝐔𝐑 𝐋𝐈𝐅𝐄! 🚨

This isn't just a post. This is a 𝐃𝐈𝐑𝐄𝐂𝐓 𝐖𝐀𝐑𝐍𝐈𝐍𝐆.

Every second you scroll, you're losing 𝐅𝐎𝐑𝐓𝐔𝐍𝐄𝐒. 💸

The window for 𝐁𝐈𝐓𝐂𝐎𝐈𝐍 𝐂𝐑𝐘𝐏𝐓𝐎 is slamming shut. ⏳ 𝐍𝐎𝐖.

This isn't a 'buy if you feel like it.' This is a '𝐁𝐔𝐘 𝐍𝐎𝐖 or face 𝐄𝐓𝐄𝐑𝐍𝐀𝐋 𝐑𝐄𝐆𝐑𝐄𝐓.' 💀$BTC

While you're still deciding, smart money is entering. They're not waiting for permission. They're building 𝐋𝐄𝐆𝐀𝐂𝐈𝐄𝐒. 🚀

Are you going to be the one who tells stories of 'I *should* have'? Or the one who's already living the dream? 🤔

Your choice. Your 𝐅𝐔𝐓𝐔𝐑𝐄.
Don't be a spectator to your own downfall.
The rocket to financial 𝐅𝐑𝐄𝐄𝐃𝐎𝐌 is lifting off. 🚀$BTC

Get in. Get 𝐁𝐈𝐓𝐂𝐎𝐈𝐍. 𝐁𝐔𝐘 𝐍𝐎𝐖. 🔥

No excuses. No second chances. 🚫$BTC
#StrategyBTCPurchase #btc

Is he a genius or ????

Michael Saylor just dropped another one of his favorite hints showing a chart of Bitcoin purchases, and everyone immediately understood that a new buy-in is on the horizon 😂

Just recently, his company MicroStrategy scooped up over 34,000 BTC for nearly $2.5 billion. Now they've got more than 800,000 coins in total. That's around $60+ billion.

After Bitcoin surged to about $78,000, their position finally turned green. Their average entry price is around $75,000. So essentially, they've just now started to hit profit after all those aggressive buy-ins.

But there's one thing that many are overlooking. They are accumulating Bitcoin faster than it even appears on the market. Way faster. This is starting to put pressure on the supply. If this keeps up, liquidity on exchanges will dwindle.

On the flip side, this whole scheme hinges on one thing: the price of Bitcoin going up. They continuously raise funds through stock issuance to buy more. If the market pulls back, the entire structure will collapse like a house of cards.

So it leaves me wondering, is this a solid strategy or just a high-stakes gamble that’s working for now because the market is bullish???
$BTC
#btc #bitcoin

$BTC
#btc

4.28 Market Outlook
Let’s do a quick recap. On the night of the 27th at 10:30 PM, Bitcoin’s RSI and KDJ both showed a double death cross, with selling pressure gradually increasing on the 15-minute chart, and prices spiked down to around 76500. We can mark this level. The entire night session was weakly consolidated, with buying pressure very low, as Bitcoin's price seemed deliberately suppressed below 76800. Starting from 6 AM, the three hourly bullish candles were progressively weaker, the KDJ lines stuck below 15, and the rebound didn’t even reach 77500, which was a divergence point, only to be pulled back to around 76500 by the subsequent three bearish candles. The market’s consolidation is oscillating around this level with no signs of upward recovery. The entire day session is dominated by bears; given the market's weakness, we can continue the bearish strategy we discussed yesterday and anticipate further declines.

Now, let’s take a look at Ethereum. Last night at 11 PM, it crashed from around 2320 down to about 2260, with the highest rebound hitting 2308, primarily oscillating between 2260-2280. To understand the market direction, we need to reference the previous segment; Ethereum's retracement from 2400 saw many traders expecting a rebound at around 2320 or 2280, right? However, neither of these levels provided a significant rebound, indicating that many traders are stuck in losing positions. This group needs to be flushed out.

From April 23 to 26, when Ethereum was at 2320, the predominant market sentiment was bearish, yet Ethereum squeezed up to around 2400. After this rally liquidated those positions, even if the price returns to their initial entry points, they hesitate to re-enter, and this group gets shaken out. At that point, most will set buy orders, hoping to recover to their cost basis and continue shorting. Clearly, the market won’t give them the opportunity to hold onto their positions until their losses are liquidated. This is the fate of the retail traders during this period, and also from the perspective of our competitors. If you flip back, didn’t the new guys encourage longs on the 24th and then tell you to short on the 27th? Compared to the retail traders, they just managed to eat a bit more without getting trapped.

Honestly, there’s nothing that needs updating because the trend isn’t over; we just continue with the shorts. Bitcoin's target remains unchanged at 75200. The second target is 73800-74200. Ethereum’s target is 2238, with the second target aligning with Bitcoin's entry and exit.
#btc #eth

Here we go again with talks about a government-issued Bitcoin. Now they're saying that the Trump team is cooking up a plan: to create a strategic BTC reserve and stash away those ~200k coins that were seized a while back.

Honestly, I’m getting a real sense of déjà vu. We’ve heard these bold claims and hints at a new era before, and it usually stretches out for months or years—or just fizzles out quietly.

But the market loves these kinds of stories. Even a hint that the government could start treating Bitcoin as a reserve asset is already enough to spark some bullish sentiment.

The real question is whether they’ll follow through. Because saying it is one thing, but actually integrating BTC into the government system is a whole different ball game.

I wouldn’t bet the farm on this as a guaranteed growth driver. But as a potential trigger, yeah, that sounds interesting. If they actually start moving in that direction, the market will price it in fast.

For now, it’s more about expectation than reality. But I wouldn’t ignore these signals either.
$BTC
#btc #bitcoin #TRUMP

$BTC 84k needs to be filled
#btc

$BTC #btc
Bitcoin has support around 75500-76000 where we can try to catch a bounce, but I'm not closing my short position at 79300.
If the bounce succeeds, target: 80000
Stop loss: close below 75400 on the 4h candle.

Taking it easy shouldn't be just an academic issue, right? In a society where productivity is soaring but the service sector is sluggish, and the information gap keeps shrinking.

Naturally, more people are opting to take it easy, and those who are comfortable but have long been neglected will naturally choose to chill. For those enjoying the benefits of societal growth, the quality of life they are currently experiencing is largely a result of ordinary folks being squeezed out of their long-term living space.

In recent years, the constant one-size-fits-all approach has labeled regular folks, and the entire society is acting all weird. At this new historical juncture, entrepreneurs hesitate to openly discuss the future while young people keep getting labeled with one tag after another.

They aren't even worried about the day when society might face chaos; whether it's social media or public discourse, it's generally filled with mixed signals, super mixed vibes.

$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo

The two execs at Manus are restricted from leaving, and the founder has already bolted to another country. The company has relocated to Singapore, and the cash has been collected.

For a broken B software, it feels unnecessary; it's just going to push those on the fence to exit even faster.

Remember during the pandemic, there was a guy from Shanghai in the community who was initially singing the praises of the party. His social circle was all about supporting Huawei or celebrating victories.

After being locked up for a while, he straight-up immigrated to Europe～

The world is so vast, with so many people; there's no need to get all worked up over a small company, especially since Manus's model can't really find sufficient market space domestically. Some things need an open and inclusive environment. Fields like AI, blockchain, and commercial spaceflight all thrive in an open and accepting atmosphere.

You can't exactly raise sharks in freshwater～

$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo

Interesting observation: Kevin Warsh, known for his pro-Bitcoin stance, might become the next Fed chair by May 2026.

Here's how $BTC reacted during past leadership changes at the Federal Reserve:
- January 2014: Janet Yellen took office. Bitcoin dropped by -82.77%.
- February 2018: Jerome Powell became chair. $BTC fell by -73.89%.
#btc

The US stock market just hit an all-time high.
Asian stock markets are also riding at all-time highs.
Trillions in market cap have been added over the last 25 days.

And yet, #Bitcoin can't even break the level at $80,000?
#btc

The price of Bitcoin is either going to moon or tank.
That's what the experts say.
And honestly, I totally vibe with them.

Because if it doesn't go up — then it’s heading down.
And if it’s not going down — well, then it’s going up, no surprises there.

I'm especially stoked about the analysts who add:
if we break that support level — we’ll see a rally
if we don’t break it — it's gonna dump
if we just consolidate — we’ll be in a sideways market

Thanks, I would have been lost without you.😂
$BTC
#btc #bitcoin

The scenario with $BTC at the $150,000 level is much closer than most of you think. The post-halving supply math doesn't lie, and institutional demand is only gaining momentum. What's your realistic price prediction for Bitcoin by the end of 2026?
#btc #bitcoin #crypto #binance

🚨 $BTC Bearish Consolidation

Price has rejected from the 24h high near 79128 and is now testing the 24h low and the Bollinger lower band.

The market structure on the 4h chart shows a series of lower highs and lower lows recently, confirming the short-term downtrend. The price is currently trapped between the strong support at ~76400 and the resistance cluster formed by the MAs and the Bollinger middle band (~77600).

Confluence of price below key MAs, bearish MACD, massive contract capital outflows, and weak volume on bounces supports further downside. However, the deeply oversold KDJ and price at the Bollinger lower band warn of a potential short-term bounce or consolidation.

Entry Short $BTC : resistance zone 77500-78000 USDT
• Aggressive entry could be on a break below 76400 USDT (key support & Bollinger lower band), confirming continuation of the downtrend.

Stop-Loss: For a short entry near 77750, set stop-loss at 79200 USDT (above the recent swing high). For a break-below entry at 76300, set stop-loss at 77400 USDT (above the breakdown point)

Target Price $BTC : 75700-74700 USDT

Support me just Trade here👇
#btc #bitcoin

The $80K Tug-of-War: Is a Bitcoin Supply Shock Imminent? 🚀
Bitcoin is hovering in the $78,000–$79,500 zone, creating a massive disconnect between record-breaking demand and stagnant price action. $BTC Here is the breakdown:
• The $2.1B Wall of Money: We’ve just hit a 9-day inflow streak for Spot ETFs, led by BlackRock’s IBIT. This is "robotic" institutional accumulation—deliberate and relentless.
• The Whale Clash: While ETFs soak up supply, OG whales are using this liquidity to take profits at the $80,000 psychological barrier. This is a classic battle between new institutional "smart money" and old-school holders.
• The Structural Shift: Unlike the retail-driven "moon bags" of 2021, coins are now moving off exchanges into institutional cold storage. We aren't just seeing a trade; we are seeing a liquidation of available supply.
The Verdict: The $80K wall is being chipped away by a billion-dollar sledgehammer. Once the distribution ends, the lack of exchange liquidity could trigger a parabolic move.
If institutions are buying billions while exchange supply hits record lows, who is left to sell? Are we witnessing the final shakeout before a six-figure Bitcoin? 📈
#btc #BitcoinETF #SupplyShock #Write2Earn

#btc let's hit 74,400 before it pumps back up to 79,800, I leveraged my position.

Throughout modern history, there have been many instances of echo chambers, each bringing significant harm. When a society allows only one voice to exist, the errors are often not unrecognized, but rather uncorrectable.

Many 'Great Leap Forward' style policies in modern times share a common point: it’s not that people are unaware of the issues, but that no one dares to speak up, or if they do, no one can make a change.

The background of Jiao Yulu's sand control is the large-scale steel production in Lankao, which involved cutting down vast amounts of forests to produce steel, resulting in ecological destruction and a surplus of scrap metal, with the land turning to desert. The local elementary and middle schools were once our family’s orchard, all of which were felled during that period.

At that time, the people's communes, communal kitchens, exaggerated grain production, and the rural areas bearing the long-term supply responsibility while cities prioritized保障 (guaranteeing) their needs; how many men from families pushed carts to the point of exhaustion and still couldn't earn enough for a bowl of rice?

If you ask that generation when they experienced the harshest times, it wasn't during the late Qing Dynasty, nor during the Republic’s war of resistance, but rather during the period of echo chambers post-establishment.

Looking back through history, every era of echo chambers resulted in the same outcome, with not a single positive impact.

$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo

🔥 Bitcoin Bottom Fishing Week 13

I always scoop up Bitcoin every Monday morning, no matter the price.

Today the market is sitting at 78k, and since it’s a holiday, everyone is probably just chilling, right?

I’ve been busy looking after the kid all day, so I’m just now able to post.

Lately, you might have noticed some drafts about crypto regulations popping up online. Right now, the regulatory landscape is still murky, prone to change, and carries a lot of risk. So, starting this week, to keep my account safe and this sharing secure, I’ll be keeping my purchase amounts under wraps, even in the Premium group.

Rest assured, the amount I’m buying is still the same or even more than last week because the plan is still on track.

If there are any updates, I’ll let you know.

Wishing you all a great start to the week.

⚠️ This info is for reference only, not investment advice

#bitcoin #btc $BTC