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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
BITCOIN ($BTC ) HEATMAP UPDATE
🔹BTC is trading inside a liquidity-rich range with no clear trend expansion yet.
🔹Major liquidity sits above at $79.5K–$80K, acting as a magnet for price.
🔹Recent downside sweep near $76.5K suggests short-term relief, not reversal.
🔹If price reclaims $78.5K–$79K, expect a push into the $80K zone.
🔹Failure to hold momentum likely sends BTC back toward $76K liquidity pool.
🔹Current structure remains slightly bearish on lower timeframes.
🔹Next move: liquidity grab toward $80K, then reaction decides direction.
#btc
🔹BTC is trading inside a liquidity-rich range with no clear trend expansion yet.
🔹Major liquidity sits above at $79.5K–$80K, acting as a magnet for price.
🔹Recent downside sweep near $76.5K suggests short-term relief, not reversal.
🔹If price reclaims $78.5K–$79K, expect a push into the $80K zone.
🔹Failure to hold momentum likely sends BTC back toward $76K liquidity pool.
🔹Current structure remains slightly bearish on lower timeframes.
🔹Next move: liquidity grab toward $80K, then reaction decides direction.
#btc
Global Bitcoin holdings overview: the US is leading by a wide margin!
Satoshi holds a solid 1.1 million BTC, sitting at the top of individual holdings!
Coinbase dominates the CEX rankings with 976,000 BTC.
MicroStrategy leads the pack among Bitcoin reserve companies with 815,000 BTC.
BlackRock holds 800,000 BTC, claiming the top spot for institutional holdings.
The US government has 320,000 BTC, ranking first among global governments.
Meanwhile, the Chinese government and Binance users are in second place for government and user holdings respectively.
Whether we look at total holdings or institutional holdings, the US is far ahead of China.
Interestingly, all the Bitcoin held by the governments of both countries comes from confiscations!
Based on the current holding ratios, US entities and citizens account for approximately 65% to 75% of Bitcoin's total liquidity.
Bitcoin has truly become synonymous with the US Bitcoin!!
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
Satoshi holds a solid 1.1 million BTC, sitting at the top of individual holdings!
Coinbase dominates the CEX rankings with 976,000 BTC.
MicroStrategy leads the pack among Bitcoin reserve companies with 815,000 BTC.
BlackRock holds 800,000 BTC, claiming the top spot for institutional holdings.
The US government has 320,000 BTC, ranking first among global governments.
Meanwhile, the Chinese government and Binance users are in second place for government and user holdings respectively.
Whether we look at total holdings or institutional holdings, the US is far ahead of China.
Interestingly, all the Bitcoin held by the governments of both countries comes from confiscations!
Based on the current holding ratios, US entities and citizens account for approximately 65% to 75% of Bitcoin's total liquidity.
Bitcoin has truly become synonymous with the US Bitcoin!!
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
剑纸苍穹:
好可怕
A typical way of thinking for locals, they only overlooked the growth of stablecoins and the need for a portion of foundational anchors for them. Stablecoins are fundamentally different from cash, naturally having their own anchoring assets.
If the market continues to trend this way in the second half of the year, Bitcoin will indeed need to take a long breather.
When Trump took office, he wrote that this guy is just a disruptor (this chart was made when he took office, and many didn't understand it at the time, but it's never too late to understand now).
The yellow-haired madman is throwing heavy punches geopolitically against Venezuela and Iran, and it's highly likely he'll also shake up the global financial market next.
The combination of Trump and Bessent will likely clean up the mess in Iran, with a 99% probability of pushing adjustments in the U.S. financial system, disrupting the global financial market.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
If the market continues to trend this way in the second half of the year, Bitcoin will indeed need to take a long breather.
When Trump took office, he wrote that this guy is just a disruptor (this chart was made when he took office, and many didn't understand it at the time, but it's never too late to understand now).
The yellow-haired madman is throwing heavy punches geopolitically against Venezuela and Iran, and it's highly likely he'll also shake up the global financial market next.
The combination of Trump and Bessent will likely clean up the mess in Iran, with a 99% probability of pushing adjustments in the U.S. financial system, disrupting the global financial market.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
BTC market update (as of 05:05 UTC, Apr 23, 2026)
Price: $77,992.14
24h change: +0.68%
What it suggests (neutral read):
Mild bullish bias over the last 24h (positive daily return), but the move is not large—often consistent with range trading unless follow-through volume appears.
Key psychological area: $78k (you’re right around it). A clean hold above can act as support; repeated rejections can keep price choppy.
Simple levels to watch (practical, not predictive):
Near-term support: around $77k–$76k (recent round-number zone)
Near-term resistance: $78k–$80k (psychological + nearby round-number supply)
If you tell me your plan, I’ll tailor it:
1) Are you spot holding or futures trading?
2) Your timeframe: today / this week / long-term?
3) Do you want a quick trade idea (entries/exits/risk) or just a market summary?
#btc #xrp @
Price: $77,992.14
24h change: +0.68%
What it suggests (neutral read):
Mild bullish bias over the last 24h (positive daily return), but the move is not large—often consistent with range trading unless follow-through volume appears.
Key psychological area: $78k (you’re right around it). A clean hold above can act as support; repeated rejections can keep price choppy.
Simple levels to watch (practical, not predictive):
Near-term support: around $77k–$76k (recent round-number zone)
Near-term resistance: $78k–$80k (psychological + nearby round-number supply)
If you tell me your plan, I’ll tailor it:
1) Are you spot holding or futures trading?
2) Your timeframe: today / this week / long-term?
3) Do you want a quick trade idea (entries/exits/risk) or just a market summary?
#btc #xrp @
At the very least, the crypto scene currently lacks any liquidity.
No matter how much they try to pump it, the conditions for a bull return just aren't there.
If we see a bull run here, then the average Joe won't have any chance to participate.
Because a bull market is when liquidity is at its peak, looking across the market, where's the liquidity? Where are the newcomers? Without fresh retail investors stepping in, it's just a game of extracting funds from the current players.
Conclusion:
You must stay confident in your short positions; I conservatively estimate that we won't see BTC starting with a 7 for at least the next five months.
Whether it's mainstream coins or altcoins, we're still missing that final dip; one solid jab is needed to reactivate liquidity, and that will be the best entry point. Once you're in, you can just hold for a year without needing to make any moves. #btc <a>...</a> #ETH
No matter how much they try to pump it, the conditions for a bull return just aren't there.
If we see a bull run here, then the average Joe won't have any chance to participate.
Because a bull market is when liquidity is at its peak, looking across the market, where's the liquidity? Where are the newcomers? Without fresh retail investors stepping in, it's just a game of extracting funds from the current players.
Conclusion:
You must stay confident in your short positions; I conservatively estimate that we won't see BTC starting with a 7 for at least the next five months.
Whether it's mainstream coins or altcoins, we're still missing that final dip; one solid jab is needed to reactivate liquidity, and that will be the best entry point. Once you're in, you can just hold for a year without needing to make any moves. #btc <a>...</a> #ETH
我是星辰大海Y:
路哥，什时候能看到5.7左右的大饼
Global Stablecoin Landscape Overview: The USD Dominates On-Chain!
USDT with a scale of over 180 billion firmly holds the top spot in stablecoins.
USDC, at over 70 billion, secures its position as the compliant USD core.
The two oligarchs together account for over 260 billion.
They directly capture more than 80% of the entire market's liquidity.
Maker's ecosystem (DAI/USDS) holds its ground with about 10 billion, stubbornly defending the decentralized front.
FDUSD from Binance is rapidly expanding,
with a scale reaching 3 to 5 billion.
Exchanges are reshaping the distribution power of stablecoins.
PayPal's PYUSD, entering the Web2 payment gateway,
but its scale is still testing the waters at the 1 billion range.
Ethena's USDe is opening a gap with its "yield stablecoin," but it's essentially a financial engineering product.
Meanwhile, most other stablecoins have basically become liquidity scraps.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
USDT with a scale of over 180 billion firmly holds the top spot in stablecoins.
USDC, at over 70 billion, secures its position as the compliant USD core.
The two oligarchs together account for over 260 billion.
They directly capture more than 80% of the entire market's liquidity.
Maker's ecosystem (DAI/USDS) holds its ground with about 10 billion, stubbornly defending the decentralized front.
FDUSD from Binance is rapidly expanding,
with a scale reaching 3 to 5 billion.
Exchanges are reshaping the distribution power of stablecoins.
PayPal's PYUSD, entering the Web2 payment gateway,
but its scale is still testing the waters at the 1 billion range.
Ethena's USDe is opening a gap with its "yield stablecoin," but it's essentially a financial engineering product.
Meanwhile, most other stablecoins have basically become liquidity scraps.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
爆裂魔法师:
币安应该捧usd1
Yo, fam! You still ain't picking up the cash?
Yesterday, I dropped a short call at 78500, and it slid down smooth like butter, hitting a low of 76900 last night—that's over a thousand points to rake in the gains.
On the macro front, the Fed's set to keep rates at 99% unchanged in April, and no rate cuts are coming this first half of the year.
Geopolitically, the Middle East tensions are still high; you never know when the negotiation table might get flipped again. It's been a back-and-forth game lately, with harvesting happening all around. For the time being, we’re focusing on short-term plays.
Today's trading suggestion: short at 78400–78800, with a stop-loss at 79600, and aiming for targets around 76000#btc .
Yesterday, I dropped a short call at 78500, and it slid down smooth like butter, hitting a low of 76900 last night—that's over a thousand points to rake in the gains.
On the macro front, the Fed's set to keep rates at 99% unchanged in April, and no rate cuts are coming this first half of the year.
Geopolitically, the Middle East tensions are still high; you never know when the negotiation table might get flipped again. It's been a back-and-forth game lately, with harvesting happening all around. For the time being, we’re focusing on short-term plays.
Today's trading suggestion: short at 78400–78800, with a stop-loss at 79600, and aiming for targets around 76000#btc .
#btc
🚨 BTC Update
$BTC is currently sitting around 77.7K after a short-term bounce 📈
After a clear downtrend, we’re now seeing a small recovery, but price is still struggling below resistance.
🔍 What I’m watching:
• Resistance: 78.1K – 78.4K
• Support: 76.9K – 77.2K
💡 Scenario:
If BTC breaks above 78.4K with volume, we could see a stronger move up.
If it gets rejected here, another dip is very possible.
⚠️ Market still looks weak short-term don’t chase blindly.
📊 My take:
This looks like a temporary bounce, not a confirmed reversal (yet).
Trade smart. Wait for confirmation.
#btc #crypto #trading
🚨 BTC Update
$BTC is currently sitting around 77.7K after a short-term bounce 📈
After a clear downtrend, we’re now seeing a small recovery, but price is still struggling below resistance.
🔍 What I’m watching:
• Resistance: 78.1K – 78.4K
• Support: 76.9K – 77.2K
💡 Scenario:
If BTC breaks above 78.4K with volume, we could see a stronger move up.
If it gets rejected here, another dip is very possible.
⚠️ Market still looks weak short-term don’t chase blindly.
📊 My take:
This looks like a temporary bounce, not a confirmed reversal (yet).
Trade smart. Wait for confirmation.
#btc #crypto #trading
A Look at Global Crypto Market Control: Exchanges, Stablecoins, and ETFs in One Power!
Binance holds a solid 35% market share, reigning as the top exchange worldwide!
Bybit and OKX dominate the derivatives space with a 8%–12% share.
Coinbase firmly controls the U.S. capital gateway with a 6%–8% share.
The top 3 exchanges collectively dominate
👉 55%–60% of global trading volume.
And the top 10 exchanges
👉 have already captured over 75% of market liquidity.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
Binance holds a solid 35% market share, reigning as the top exchange worldwide!
Bybit and OKX dominate the derivatives space with a 8%–12% share.
Coinbase firmly controls the U.S. capital gateway with a 6%–8% share.
The top 3 exchanges collectively dominate
👉 55%–60% of global trading volume.
And the top 10 exchanges
👉 have already captured over 75% of market liquidity.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
Global Economic Landscape Overview: The US Still Leads the Pack! China's per capita GDP lags behind the US by a staggering 6 times!
With a GDP of $28 trillion, the US firmly holds the title of the world's largest economy!
China, with a GDP of $18 trillion, sits comfortably at number two!
The US per capita GDP stands at $85,000, while China's is at $13,000, maintaining a gap of over 6 times!
US consumer spending is nearing $20 trillion, dominating global demand, while China's manufacturing sector is the largest in the world, but most profits remain in the mid to low-end segments.
The US excels in finance, technology, and monetary systems, while China holds a commanding position in manufacturing, supply chains, and production capacity.
Interestingly, a significant portion of the US GDP comes from the expansion of fintech and asset pricing, whereas China's GDP is more driven by tangible production and investment.
When measuring by intrinsic value, the global influence of the US economy far exceeds its GDP share, while China's actual profit margins are significantly lower than its size.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
With a GDP of $28 trillion, the US firmly holds the title of the world's largest economy!
China, with a GDP of $18 trillion, sits comfortably at number two!
The US per capita GDP stands at $85,000, while China's is at $13,000, maintaining a gap of over 6 times!
US consumer spending is nearing $20 trillion, dominating global demand, while China's manufacturing sector is the largest in the world, but most profits remain in the mid to low-end segments.
The US excels in finance, technology, and monetary systems, while China holds a commanding position in manufacturing, supply chains, and production capacity.
Interestingly, a significant portion of the US GDP comes from the expansion of fintech and asset pricing, whereas China's GDP is more driven by tangible production and investment.
When measuring by intrinsic value, the global influence of the US economy far exceeds its GDP share, while China's actual profit margins are significantly lower than its size.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
Bitcoin is approaching a critical short liquidation zone. 🚀 #btc
On the 15-minute timeframe, the price is rallying towards 79,400.
📍Steady recovery after consolidation.
📍Higher lows generating momentum.
🚨Key level ahead: A large group of leveraged short positions is sitting above.
🔥Accumulated liquidity between 79,500 and over 81,000. This is the zone to watch. If the price continues to rise, short liquidations are expected to trigger.
Possible acceleration towards that red group. The market is heading once again towards the exposed leverage.
On the 15-minute timeframe, the price is rallying towards 79,400.
📍Steady recovery after consolidation.
📍Higher lows generating momentum.
🚨Key level ahead: A large group of leveraged short positions is sitting above.
🔥Accumulated liquidity between 79,500 and over 81,000. This is the zone to watch. If the price continues to rise, short liquidations are expected to trigger.
Possible acceleration towards that red group. The market is heading once again towards the exposed leverage.
$BTC near $79K and whales are SHORTING heavy 🐋
-$10.7M in loss… still not closing ❌
1000 BTC position = conviction play
🔥 Either market dumps hard
💥 Or we get a brutal short squeeze
I’m leaning SHORT after confirmation
#btc #whaleholding
-$10.7M in loss… still not closing ❌
1000 BTC position = conviction play
🔥 Either market dumps hard
💥 Or we get a brutal short squeeze
I’m leaning SHORT after confirmation
#btc #whaleholding
Some KOLs in the crypto space are just left with empty bravado.
The venture capital returns from SBF, turning four years into a $100 billion success, can simply be chalked up to good luck + a solid network.
It's laughable that such achievements, if you placed them in any traditional sector, no one would dare to boast about them.
Take a look at the world's top venture capitalists now; who among them would claim to have pulled off such a feat in four years? The answer is none.
Admitting others' strength isn't that hard; just taking one investment of $200k to leverage $3 billion in returns could outshine the entire VC scene.
Venture capital isn't about connections, resources, or luck; it's fundamentally about a person's vision, skill, and understanding.
Some things shouldn’t be downplayed with empty words, as it just makes you look cheap.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
The venture capital returns from SBF, turning four years into a $100 billion success, can simply be chalked up to good luck + a solid network.
It's laughable that such achievements, if you placed them in any traditional sector, no one would dare to boast about them.
Take a look at the world's top venture capitalists now; who among them would claim to have pulled off such a feat in four years? The answer is none.
Admitting others' strength isn't that hard; just taking one investment of $200k to leverage $3 billion in returns could outshine the entire VC scene.
Venture capital isn't about connections, resources, or luck; it's fundamentally about a person's vision, skill, and understanding.
Some things shouldn’t be downplayed with empty words, as it just makes you look cheap.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
爆裂魔法师:
投的好，但也得坐牢才能拿到现在🤣
If Iran-US tensions ease and diplomacy returns, global risk appetite could explode — and Bitcoin may enter a massive expansion phase.
Peace talks, falling macro uncertainty, stronger ETF inflows, and renewed institutional confidence could become the perfect bullish catalyst for BTC. Some analysts see upside in a risk-on environment, though $300K+ would likely require more than geopolitics alone — adoption, liquidity, and macro support matter too. (Fibo)
My view: an end to war could be the spark, but the real fuel for a parabolic Bitcoin move will be capital flows and momentum. If negotiations succeed, the next major leg up for BTC could surprise everyone. 🚀 #btc #bitcoin #crypto #Bullrun #BinanceSquare
Peace talks, falling macro uncertainty, stronger ETF inflows, and renewed institutional confidence could become the perfect bullish catalyst for BTC. Some analysts see upside in a risk-on environment, though $300K+ would likely require more than geopolitics alone — adoption, liquidity, and macro support matter too. (Fibo)
My view: an end to war could be the spark, but the real fuel for a parabolic Bitcoin move will be capital flows and momentum. If negotiations succeed, the next major leg up for BTC could surprise everyone. 🚀 #btc #bitcoin #crypto #Bullrun #BinanceSquare
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