🔥FEDWATCH JUST CONFIRMED: 99.5% CHANCE FED DOES NOTHING IN APRIL🤷♀️
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CME
April meeting: 99.5% probability rates stay exactly where they are
(only 0.5% chance of a tiny hike) June meeting: 95% chance still no
change, just 4.5% chance of a 25bp cut and 0.5% chance of a
hikeTranslation: the Fed is almost certainly staying on hold for the
next two meetings. That means higher-for-longer rates stay in play…
which keeps pressure on risk assets in the short term. But the tiny
4.5% cut probability in June is still enough to keep the “eventual
pivot” narrative alive. This is why BTC and the whole market have
been chopping hard lately — everyone is waiting for the Fed to finally
blink. No big surprise here, but confirmation like this usually triggers
a quick sentiment reset. You still betting on a June cut or preparing for more chop? $GUN
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