btc

🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision

Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.

The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.

Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.

🔺 Stagflation risk

Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.

The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.

Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.

A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin

🚨 I warned you about the June drop.

June 1: ~$73,500
June low: ~$58,000
Total decline: ~21%

Now everyone wants to know:

Will July mark the Bitcoin bottom?

📈 First, the good news.

After both May and June closed red, Bitcoin produced a green July in 4 out of 4 historical examples.

Average July bounce: ~17%

The bounce everyone is waiting for is very likely coming.

That part is real. It is not the trap.

⚠️ Here is the trap.

A green July does not automatically mean the bear market is over.

Bitcoin can pump aggressively while remaining inside a much larger downtrend.

Relief rally ≠ confirmed bottom.

💀 In 2018, Bitcoin pumped approximately 21% in July.

The bottom callers came out in force.

Then Bitcoin dropped another 62% before reaching the real bottom five months later.

A green July—and nowhere near the bottom.

💀 In 2022, the same trap happened again.

July bounced, and the “bottom is in” posts returned.

Then Bitcoin dropped another 36% into November.

Two bear-market Julys.
Two convincing bounces.
Two traps.

⏳ The cycle clock also says we may still be early.

Previous Bitcoin bear markets took approximately:

2013–15: 13.4 months
2017–18: 12 months
2021–22: 12.4 months

The current decline is only around 8.8 months old.

A July bottom would be the earliest bottom in Bitcoin’s history.

Do not confuse the bounce with the bottom.

July can finish green while the real low still sits below us.

The possible sequence:

Relief rally → FOMO → “bottom is in” → late longs enter → rejection

That gap is exactly where most traders get trapped.

🐼 Trade the bounce but do not marry the bounce.

Take profits.
Respect resistance.
Control your leverage.
Wait for confirmation.

The biggest traps usually begin when everyone finally feels safe.

Follow @Panda Traders for more market breakdowns.

$SOL

$BTC $ETH

#BTC #MicronFalls10.5%

$BTC This week, the total crypto liquidations and bankruptcies have reached $1.4 billion

Now the $62,000–> $63,500 range has accumulated a large amount of positions, which may be liquidated and push the price higher.

However, the $56,000–> $58,500 positions are clearly more concentrated and larger in size, so from the perspective of position concentration, this is the “higher-probability” next liquidation zone #BTC
$BTC
$MSTRB

$BTC Bitcoin price has rebounded to $62,000

Will it rebound to $67,000 – > 70,000 yuan?

The $67,000 – > $70,000 range is a strong resistance zone. It won’t be that easy to break through

If Bitcoin reaches the $67,000–$70,000 range, I think the bear market will go through its final drop:

$70,000 → $67,000 → $62,000 → $52,000 → $43,000 (high probability of the bottom) → $31,800 (bottom of an extreme black swan scenario)

Do you think BTC’s July price can rise to $70,000? #BTC
$BTC
$MSTRB

Good morning everyone~

Last night, the market saw an important macro data release: the U.S. June non-farm payrolls report was officially published. The data shows that June added only 57,000 non-farm jobs, far below the market expectation of around 110,000. May’s figure was also revised down to 129,000. This indicates that the U.S. job market is continuing to cool. Although the unemployment rate fell from 4.3% to 4.2%, the main reason was a decline in the labor force participation rate, not a clear improvement in employment—so this non-farm data still carries a risk-tilt to favor risk assets.

The market believes that near-term pressure for the Fed to raise rates further has clearly weakened, and liquidity expectations are starting to shift toward a more accommodative direction.

Recently, U.S. stock tech sectors have undergone a noticeable round of correction. The market has started to re-evaluate the short-term profitability outlook for the AI industry. Some semiconductor and AI-related stocks saw funds take profits, and institutional capital has shown a “rotation” effect between winners and laggards. However, judging by the fund flows, the crypto market has instead begun to absorb some of the risk-averse capital.

Over the past five trading days, the spot Bitcoin ETF saw cumulative net outflows of nearly $950 million. But in the most recent trading day, funds quickly flowed back in—single-day net inflows were about $262 million. Almost all of it went to Bitcoin ETFs, while the Ethereum ETF still maintained a modest net outflow. This also suggests that institutional funds currently prefer Bitcoin, which offers the highest degree of certainty and the best liquidity. For Ethereum and most altcoins, the wait-and-see sentiment remains relatively strong.

As ETF inflows continue to recover, they strengthen support for Bitcoin from below. With expectations for rate cuts heating up and the policy environment continuing to improve, Bitcoin’s overall performance has been clearly stronger than that of altcoins. In the short term, the market will most likely remain in a structural行情 of “BTC strong, altcoins weak.” Capital will keep concentrating in leading assets. For altcoins to catch up broadly, they still need to wait for market risk appetite to further rebound.

Tonight, U.S. stocks will be closed for the U.S. Independence Day holiday, and overall market volatility is expected to be somewhat contained. Judging from the current trend, the broad market still has the chance to rebound in the short term. For today’s contract strategy, we still mainly focus on buying dips. At the same time, continue to watch whether there are any new developments regarding U.S.-Iran relations—geopolitics remains an important variable affecting market sentiment.

Key levels to watch today:
BTC above: around 63,000
ETH above: around 1,800
SOL above: around 85
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BTC #ETH #solana

$BTC FINAL SHAKEOUT PATH REVEALED – $45K THEN $200K+ 🔥

The $82K bull trap and $66K fake recovery played out exactly as expected. Lower highs and broken supports confirm distribution is still in full swing. This is the final shakeout phase before the real reversal — we’re looking at $60K → $54K → $57K, then down to $51K, then the cycle low near $45K before the run to $200K+.

Volume is drying up on each bounce while selling pressure stays consistent. That tells me the bottom isn’t in yet, but we’re closer than most realize. Are you stacking bids for that $45K zone or waiting on the sidelines?

Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.

#BTC #Bitcoin #Shakeout #CryptoCycle #Trading

🔥

$BTC : BULL TRAP, FAKE RECOVERY, THEN FLUSH - HERE'S THE ROADMAP 🔥

This exact pattern has played out in every major cycle bottom I've seen. First they trap the bulls at $82K, then they fake you out with a bounce to $66K, then they shake the last of the weak hands before the real move. Right now BTC is sitting at $60,151 with $60K as the line.

The roadmap is clear: $60K to $54K, a bounce to $57K, another leg to $51K, and if panic expands, $45K marks the clearing event. Over $2B in ETF outflows and the broader rotation into AI are adding pressure. That's exactly the kind of pain that builds a real base.

Would you rather catch the first dead cat bounce or wait for the flush that rewards conviction?

Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.

#BTC #Bitcoin #MarketCycle #Crypto #Trading

💎

ASSESSMENT #BTC DATED 03/07: 62K COULD BE THE TRAP BEFORE BTC SWEEPS LIQUIDITY DEEP
Current price: around 61.5k.
24h view: you shouldn’t go Long/Short right away because BTC is in a mid-range 61.15k–61.85k, the noisiest zone.
According to how BTC usually does it, the preferred scenario is:
from 61.5k sweeping up to 62.05k–62.65k to lure a Long breakout / force Short cover, then dumping down to 60.85k–60.12k—deep wicks could reach 59.56k. If it reclaims 60.85k, then it may pull back up to 62.25k–63.65k.
Reason: On M30/H1, BTC just rebounded strongly from 57.8k to 62.2k, but it hasn’t broken through the supply 62.05k–62.65k yet. Above, there are Short stops; below, there are Long stops chasing price around 60.8k–61.5k. So BTC has the motive to sweep both ends first, then choose a direction.
Main probabilities:
Brothers, don’t Long at 61.5k. Wait for BTC to dip to: 596–603, LOOKING TO LONG
Only Long if M15 reclaims 60,850
SL: 59000
TP1: 62,250
TP2: 63,650
TP3: 67,300
If after 24h the price doesn’t dip and H1 closes above 62.65k and the retest holds 62.2k, skip the deep-wick Long idea and switch to waiting for the retest breakout.

🚨 $BTC ABOUT TO EXPLODE – DON’T GET LEFT BEHIND! 💥

Bitcoin is sitting at $61,300 right now — and this is the exact moment where the biggest moves happen.

My proprietary model is screaming:
→ Sharp dip incoming to $59,060 – $59,230 within the next 1-2 days → Then a powerful rebound straight to $63,247 – $63,591

Even from here, a direct pump to $63k+ is still very much on the table.
This is the classic buy-the-dip setup smart traders live for. The window to position is closing fast.

If you’re trading BTC, you need to be watching this RIGHT NOW.

Will Bitcoin drop one last time before the next leg up? Drop your thoughts below 👇

Mr Alien ⧗
Creator of Proprietary Crypto Forecasting Models
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto $BNB
⚠️ Not financial advice. DYOR. Always trade responsibly.

👁 The Ghost Wallet Wakes Again…

For several years now, a strange story has been circulating in the crypto community about a wallet called the “Satoshi Ghost.”

According to the legend, this address is activated only before the biggest market moves. It never holds much money, but every time, a few hours before a major pump or dump, a small test transaction is sent from it—literally just a few dollars.

What’s most strange is that the owner has never been found. Some believe it’s an early Bitcoin miner, while others are sure that a major fund is behind the address—one that knows in advance where the market will go.

Coincidence or not, but after the last activation of this wallet, the market changed by billions of dollars within a day.

Fiction? Maybe.

But in crypto, the line between legends and reality sometimes becomes dangerously thin…

🤔 Would you risk opening a position if you saw that this wallet has come back to life again?
#crypto #Satoshi #btc

Today it dropped 5 percentage points.
But the emotion is still in an extreme fear zone.

$BTC bought $61,450, up 2.56% in 24 hours.
The Fear & Greed Index is 21, stuck at ground level for 25 straight days—no one thinks it’s a reversal.
In recent days, exchange-traded funds saw net outflows of $342 million, yet the spot market hasn’t managed to hold the uptrend.
The real people building positions don’t care about the ETF’s timing—they just watch the on-chain spot demand, the whole chess game.

#迈克尔伯里做空美光科技 #贝莱德向Coinbase入金 #BTC

Everyone's waiting for $50K.

Maybe it happens. Maybe it doesn't.

What I do know is that most people were bearish near the lows and will probably turn bullish after Bitcoin has already made a strong move. That's how this market works.

While fear is still in control, I'm building my position and staying patient. No panic. No chasing. No emotional trades.

If $BTC starts reclaiming higher levels, the same people calling for lower prices today could be rushing to buy later.

I'm comfortable taking that risk.

🤝 Accumulating during fear
🎯 Targeting $65K+
⏳ Letting patience do the heavy lifting

#BTC #bitcoin #crypto #Investing$BTC
$MAGMA

🚨 BITCOIN IS FOLLOWING THE SAME SCRIPT AGAIN

Every major Bitcoin bear market has followed a familiar pattern.

Panic.
Relief.
Then one final capitulation.

This cycle doesn’t look any different.

Weeks ago, I said the real flush wasn’t over yet.
I still believe one last leg down is on the table before the market resets.

My roadmap remains:

$60K → $52K → $40K

And before anyone says it’s impossible:

• I called the $17K Bitcoin bottom in 2022
• I called the $126K top in 2025

You don’t have to agree.
But you should pay attention when the same cycle starts repeating itself.

#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #BearMarket #CryptoTrading

🧠 There’s a statistic that almost nobody mentions:

In every cycle of #Bitcoin, thousands of people sell because they think “it’s already gone up too much.”

And years later they buy again... much more expensive.

The question isn’t how high $BTC can go.

The question is:

What would be the price at which you would regret having sold?

👇 I want numbers, not emotions.

#BTC #crypto #Investing #BinanceSquare $TSLAB $SPCXB

#BTC Today I stared at the chart for a long time, but in the end I still didn’t open a trade.

It wasn’t because there wasn’t an opportunity.

It’s just that the more I looked at the chart, the more I felt that what we need most right now is patience.

Today, BTC spent almost the entire day oscillating back and forth around 61,400.

It can’t push higher,

and it can’t drop down either.

If you only watch the candlesticks, it seems like nothing happened today.

But I noticed something else.

Gold and silver, instead, kept strengthening today,

while BTC just never chose a new direction.

I kept thinking:

Have a lot of people started to get impatient?

This kind of market is the easiest to make people feel a sudden urge:

"Should I open a position?"

"Will it break through right away?"

"If I don’t get on now, will I miss it?"

Today I kept reminding myself:

Don’t open a trade just to open a trade.

If I were the market maker,

what I would hope to see most today

is everyone constantly changing directions, constantly trading.

Because the biggest role of range-bound movement

is often not to tell you the direction.

It’s to test who loses patience first.

So today,

I didn’t go trying to guess where the next candlestick would go.

I only told myself one thing:

If the enemy doesn’t move, I won’t move either.

A real big opportunity

won’t disappear just because you made one fewer trade today.

But if you mess up the rhythm,

when the opportunity really comes,

you may find you don’t have the confidence to hold it.

Did you open a trade today?

Or are you choosing to keep waiting like I am?
$SPCXB
$BTC
$SOL

🔥 The most ruthless line after CZ got out of prison: Bitcoin will reach $1 million

While others are panicking, CZ is calling for $1 million.

On the very day of the biggest-ever monthly outflow in ETF history and when BTC broke below its two-year low, Binance founder CZ gave an interview and shared his long-term goal for Bitcoin:

$1,000,000.

His logic has only two points:

First: Bitcoin will ultimately become a sovereign reserve asset, just like gold—widely held by institutional, state-level entities.

Second: The ETF’s institutionalized buying will continue; new capital keeps flowing in every day through pensions, insurance companies, and family offices.

He also directly dismissed the current ETF plunge: "Short-term inflows and outflows are noise; the long-term direction is the signal."

Of course, $1 million implies a BTC market cap of about $2.1 trillion—roughly 17 times higher than today’s level, and comparable to surpassing most of the U.S. GDP.

This isn’t “it will hit $1 million next month,” but his assessment of the trend over the next 10–20 years.

Where do you think Bitcoin’s long-term ceiling is?👇

#CZ #BTC #BinanceSquare

July 3rd Bitcoin & ETH Morning Review:
The rebound lacks momentum—short positions at the high continue to be held

Looking back at the chart, there was a shallow dip overnight followed by a modest rebound. Buy pressure at the low level briefly kicked in, but the bulls still seriously lack follow-through. After price rose, profit-taking funds exited; heavy sell pressure has piled up above. In the short term, this is only a minor repair after a drop. A one-way rally is difficult to trigger, and overall the market remains under pressure.

Strategy:
BTC: 60800—61300, place shorts directly, target 60”000—59500.
ETH: 1640—1655, place shorts, target 1620, then 1600.

Risk Reminder: The crypto market is highly volatile. Keep position sizes light and strictly control risk. The content is only for technical analysis and does not constitute any investment advice.#btc #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 $BTC

#publicbitcointreasuriesadd9000btcinjune
🚨 Public Bitcoin Treasuries Added 9,000 BTC in June — Institutional Accumulation Continues!
Despite the brutal price correction, companies and public entities stacked another 9,000 Bitcoin last month.
This shows serious conviction from the big players — treating BTC as a core treasury asset even in a down month.
The trend is clear:
Corporations & institutions keep buying the dip Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset is gaining traction Supply shock potential building for the next cycle
While retail gets shaken out, the smart money keeps loading up.
Bullish signal or just noise?
Are public treasuries the reason you're still long on BTC?
Drop your thoughts 👇
#PublicBitcoinTreasuriesAdd9000BTCInJune #bitcoin #BTC

$BTC SHORT SETUP AT KEY RESISTANCE – VOLUME CONFIRMS DROP 🔥

Entry: 61,250 – 61,400 🔥
Target: 60,700 🚀
Stop Loss: 61,850 ⚠️

This zone rejected price twice in the past 24 hours with increasing sell volume on the 1H chart. The 61,850 stop sits just above a liquidity cluster, and the first target at 60,700 aligns with the last swing low — a clean 1:2 risk-to-reward.

If BTC fails to reclaim 61,500 quickly, bears have control. Do you think the selling continues or is this just a shakeout before another push up?

Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.

#BTC #ShortSetup #Bearish #Crypto

⚡

📊 Today’s Setup · Beijing 08:30

🟡 Big Pie $61,532 +2.61%
My take: Go Long ↑
Key level: 61,000–61,500 entry zone
Stop loss: 60,200
Target: TP1 63,500

🟡 Ether $1,700 +5.84%
My take: Go Long ↑
Key level: 1,680–1,710 entry zone

Today’s logic:
ETH is performing better than Big Pie today. Capital is rotating, and ETH has a catch-up move rationale. In this situation, I’ll run the ETH long first, targeting 1,800. After BTC breaks above 61K today, it’s been retesting repeatedly, with no obvious sell pressure. I’m inclined to hold the 61K long structure; as long as it doesn’t break down, I’ll continue holding.

#BTC #ETH #Contract layout

Tesla Reopens BTC Car-Purchase Payment Channel—Not the First Time, but the Timing Is Telling.

Today, Elon Musk confirmed that Tesla is once again accepting Bitcoin payments. The last time it opened was in 2021, after which it was paused due to energy-related controversies. This restart comes amid a macro backdrop that is especially noteworthy: the U.S. June nonfarm payrolls data came in surprisingly cool (according to Jintuo Data), market expectations for further rate hikes have clearly eased, and precious-metals futures have continued to trend relatively strong. In other words, within the window where the tightening narrative starts to loosen, the car company with the highest global market cap has chosen to reembrace BTC settlement—an act that, in itself, is a signal-pricing behavior.

On-chain data also corroborates the rising sentiment: the BAS/USDT futures open interest jumped 5.16% within five minutes (from $5.24 million to $5.51 million), while the price rose 5.48% in tandem. This fits a typical “new longs entering” structure rather than short-covering. Although BAS itself is relatively small, OI spikes in such mid- to small-cap coins often act as an early indicator that market risk appetite is warming.

Direction view: short-term bias is bullish, but two conditions need confirmation—whether BTC can hold above its current support level and break through recent highs with increased volume, and whether next week’s CPI data continues to support the easing narrative. If both are fulfilled, the market may reprice Tesla’s payment restart as the starting point of an “institutional adoption acceleration.” If CPI comes in above expectations, then the current optimistic mood may only be an event-driven pulse. It is recommended to watch the fund flows of BTC spot ETFs as a validation anchor.

#BTC #Crypto #Tesla #nonfarm data