btc

🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision

Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.

The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.

Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.

🔺 Stagflation risk

Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.

The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.

Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.

A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin

🐹 Hamster Psychology…

Over the past few months, I've once again realized that the market moves not just with numbers, but with emotions.

When Bitcoin was tanking and hovering around $60,000, many were scared to buy. The feeds were filled with doubts, talks of a crisis, and expectations of further drops. It felt too risky to jump in.

A little time passed, and now BTC is trading significantly higher. And right now, many are starting to buy in actively, even though the price has skyrocketed.

That's how the psychology of the masses works. When the asset is cheap — it’s frightening. When it’s already pumped and everyone is talking about profits — the urge to enter kicks in.

I've been in the game for a while and I hold Bitcoin because I believe in its long-term potential. And time and again, I see the same pattern: the best opportunities usually appear when most people are scared.
$BTC
#btc #bitcoin

These corporate execs are just bargaining chips brought in by Trump, just like those European clowns did before.

As I mentioned earlier, once the Russia-Ukraine situation cools down, the EU will immediately shift their guns towards domestic issues. The economic pressure within Europe will turn inward, and two years ago, no one believed this perspective; a year ago, still no one believed it. Now, looking at the EU's actions, it should be believable, right?

The issues on Trump's negotiating table are now clear: Taiwan, pandemic, Hong Kong, all bundled together, causing negotiation costs to rise exponentially. The companies Trump brought in are basically backing his negotiations.

These companies represent various American interest groups: manufacturing repatriation, high-tech supply chains, financial capital, energy and AI, global market access, and the extension of the dollar system.

Those European clowns, after their recent visits, went back and started apologizing to the blonde guy, formulating strategies towards China.

$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo

Tomorrow, if the Don talks tough, we’re likely entering a phase where the trade war gets serious with the EU and the US teaming up.

Both the EU and the Don are bringing their A-game, especially since the Don is no longer the loudmouth old man with no backing from a few years ago; this time he’s got the full support of the US behind him.

The negotiation issues the Don is raising are hitting hard, and AI has given him more confidence.

We’ve been saying that as soon as the Russia-Ukraine situation cools off, the EU will pivot and focus on domestic issues, and given the recent policies and attitude from the EU, that trend is becoming clear.

$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo

The Gulf brawl is officially on, and let’s be real, the U.S. can’t handle Iran going nuclear, and the Gulf states definitely can’t accept it either.

Once Iran goes nuclear, the Middle East is bound to kick off a massive arms race, and all parties will get dragged back into the fray. Given the volatile nature of the region, once this nuclear race starts, it’s only a matter of time before we see a major nuclear disaster in the Middle East, which could spell disaster for the world. It might be better to stop pretending and take action sooner rather than later.

Supporting Iran is pure madness; that old dog Hameini won’t get any sympathy from me. He’s been propping up terrorist groups for his family’s gain.

And let’s not get too caught up competing with the U.S.; once the nuclear race in the Middle East spirals out of control, the first ones to feel the heat will definitely be the Asia-Pacific region.

$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo

Beautiful fight between bulls and bears at #btc
If we break below 80, we’ll likely see a dip in search of new liquidity….
On the flip side, we could hit new highs ….
For now, #btc keeps testing the upper resistance..!!!!
The 50k that many are hyping only knocked on the door of 60k once and bounced back up to 82 and change …
Let’s see how this plays out!!!

URGENT: 🇺🇸 THE U.S. SENATE JUST DROPPED THE FINAL BILL ON CRYPTO MARKET STRUCTURE.💹

IT'S FINALLY COMING IN 🔥$BTC #btc

Can Bitcoin Break Through $82,000?

Bitcoin is making a push towards the $82,000 resistance level, with market confidence slowly recovering after weeks of consolidation. Spot and derivatives outlook

Spot demand remains stable, with daily trading volume hovering between $4.2 billion and $4.5 billion, consistently absorbing sell orders. Futures volume has surpassed $50 billion, with open interest stabilizing around $60 billion. Buying pressure is leaning positive, but the funding rates are still relatively balanced, indicating that speculative sentiment hasn't gone overboard. Concerns: Weak Network Activity

Despite the price rebound, active addresses on the chain have declined to about 708,000, showing insufficient participation. As we approach $82,100, unrealized losses still account for 6.9% of the total market cap, with a large number of old positions either at a loss or just breaking even, making it easy for profit-taking to trigger at the resistance level. Key Ranges and Institutional Sentiment

We are currently entering a liquidity void between $72,000 and $82,000 where historical trading is sparse, leading to weaker support and increased volatility risk. Bitcoin spot ETFs have accumulated over $59.8 billion, but the recent inflows have clearly slowed down, with institutions becoming cautious at these highs.

Summary
The key for Bitcoin to break through $82,000 hinges on whether spot demand can continue to follow through. If ETF inflows keep slowing and network activity fails to improve, profit-taking pressure could likely suppress any further upside. In the short term, we remain in a tug-of-war phase between "confidence rebuilding vs. sell-off risk." #btc

The pressure on leveraged shorts keeps intensifying as BTC refuses to slow down 💥
Momentum like this can trigger chain reactions faster than most traders expect!

$BTC 🟢 LIQUIDITY ZONE HIT 🟢

Short liquidation spotted 🧨

$63.5K cleared at $81975.50

Upside liquidity swept — react NOW or watch the market shift 👀

🎯 TP Targets:
TP1: ~$82480
TP2: ~$82950
TP3: ~$83520

#btc

Bitcoin just printed a massive flush as leveraged longs got completely wiped 💥
Multi-million dollar liquidations like this often mark major reaction zones traders watch closely!

$BTC 🔴 LIQUIDITY ZONE HIT 🔴

Long liquidation spotted 🧨

$2.5M cleared at $81852.42

Downside liquidity swept — react NOW or watch the market shift 👀

🎯 TP Targets:
TP1: ~$81480
TP2: ~$81020
TP3: ~$80450

#btc

Right now, the global financial markets are all waiting for the Fed to ease up before the Trump midterms, which is also a core reason for the resilience in the US stock market.

On the flip side, it looks like the US might be adjusting its monetary policy soon. Will they leverage debt pressure, industry repatriation, the AI revolution, and geopolitical restructuring to redesign the currency and capital circulation system? It's a thought-provoking scenario for the entire market, especially with someone like Trump at the helm; no one can really bet on what he’ll do next.

Just like two years ago when he took office, everyone thought the guy wouldn't stir up conflict, but he went against the grain. If he goes against the current in the capital markets, it could likely spark a storm.

$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo

Bitcoin just saw another short squeeze as leveraged traders keep getting caught 💥
Momentum remains highly reactive and breakout hunters are watching every tick!

$BTC 🟢 LIQUIDITY ZONE HIT 🟢

Short liquidation spotted 🧨

$77.9K cleared at $81907.27

Upside liquidity swept — react NOW or watch the market shift 👀

🎯 TP Targets:
TP1: ~$82350
TP2: ~$82880
TP3: ~$83420

#btc

BTCUSD Outlook

Higher timeframe bullish structure remains intact for now, and I’ll mainly be monitoring key reaction zones for possible continuation opportunities.
At the moment, patience is key. I’m not looking to force entries — only clean confirmations around areas of interest.
I’ll share a detailed zone as soon as price delivers a clean setup ✨
#btc #btcusd $BTC
#bitcoin

If I had invested $100,000 in Bitcoin 5 years ago, today I would have around $160,000.

And if that same amount had gone into cocoa beans, it would have grown to about $416,000.

So it turns out that 'digital gold' has underperformed a regular chocolate bar over this period. 🍫😄

Sometimes the market enjoys these kinds of jokes. While everyone debates Bitcoin's future, cocoa quietly and without any fuss has delivered better results than many assets.

But honestly, I still hold BTC and continue to believe in it.

Because I love chocolate, but in the long run, I trust Bitcoin much more. 🚀
$BTC
#btc #bitcoin

BTC just pulled off a classic "two-way harvest".
First, it took out the longs.
Then, it blew up the shorts.
In just two and a half hours,
1.3 billion dollars in leverage got swept ⚠️

The recent BTC movement was absolutely wild:

Starting from:

81.5k

it suddenly crashed to:

80.3k.

In just a quick wave,

it liquidated:

81 million dollars in Longs.

Before the market even reacted,

BTC violently reversed:

80.3k → 82.1k.

Again, it liquidated:

48 million dollars in Shorts.

The key point is:

There were no major positive news throughout.

What does this indicate?

A typical:

low liquidity weekend sweep of leverage.

Because the biggest characteristic of weekends is:

low trading volume.
Thin order book.
Poor liquidity.

In this kind of environment,

market makers only need:

a few big orders,

to quickly push the price.

And right now, the market is just at a point where:

there’s leverage piled up on both sides.

Below:

A ton of Longs.
Above:

A ton of Shorts.

So the most likely thing to happen is:

First, a spike in one direction,

liquidating one side.

Then, immediately the opposite direction,

sweeping the other side.

Essentially,

the market isn’t trading on "news" at all.

It’s trading:

liquidity.

Wherever there’s the most leverage,

that’s where it gets swept first.

This situation has actually been happening more frequently lately.

Because right now, the entire Crypto market:

has high OI,
high leverage,
and poor weekend liquidity.

So BTC is increasingly resembling:

a 24/7 global leverage liquidation machine.

The real danger now isn’t:

a wrong directional bet.

But rather:

over-leveraging. 👀$BTC $ETH $ZEC #btc

BTC is still in a consolidation phase overall, but the technicals are starting to show signs of a slowdown in the upward momentum. The daily chart is maintaining a higher high and higher low structure, but the 4-hour chart is now ranging, with weakening volume at the highs. The MACD is showing a bearish divergence, and the RSI is also in overbought territory, indicating that the bulls aren't as strong as they were before.

The key zone to watch right now is the 82000-83000 area, which is a clear resistance level. A lot of capital is waiting for a breakout here.

As long as BTC can't hold above 83000, we could easily see a pullback after any highs.

On the downside, keep an eye on the 78000-79000 support level. If we break below that, we might see a further retracement towards the 75000 region. #btc

After 3 years of battling the market, I've started to see my first gains thanks to holding and HODLing BTC long-term. There were times I thought my account would get liquidated and I'd lose it all. But thanks to low leverage and proper capital management, I managed to weather the most dangerous moments. Thanks to <a>#btc </a> for helping me navigate through all these emotional ups and downs and remain steady to this day.

BTC order flow is getting extremely aggressive as shorts keep getting squeezed 💥
This kind of pressure usually forces rapid continuation if momentum holds!

$BTC 🟢 LIQUIDITY ZONE HIT 🟢

Short liquidation spotted 🧨

$328K cleared at $81917.20

Upside liquidity swept — react NOW or watch the market shift 👀

🎯 TP Targets:
TP1: ~$82250
TP2: ~$82600
TP3: ~$83000

#btc