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Good Evening, 🌃 Wrap up the day, note the lessons, and rest your mind.
Tomorrow brings fresh setups and new chances.

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$ETH – SHORT Setup Entry: 2980 – 3005 (Only on a clear rejection wick into the $3,000–$3,018 supply zone) Target 1:2880 Target 2:2790 Stop Loss:3030 (Above the 24h high and key resistance) My View: Price was strongly rejected at the 24h high of$3,017.99 and is now trading below the psychological $3,000 level. The move up to that high showed weak follow-through, and the current consolidation looks more like distribution than accumulation. The order book shows significant sell walls just above current price. The 1D and 4H charts are showing bearish divergence on the RSI. I'm waiting for price to retest the $3,000–$3,010 area as new resistance and show a clear rejection candle (like a pin bar or engulfing) to confirm seller strength. The risk-reward is excellent for a short targeting the previous support zone near $2,880, but patience for the right entry is key. Bias: Bearish below $3,020. Bullish break above $3,030 invalidates the setup. #ETH

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$LIGHT LIGHT/USDT – Trade Plan (SHORT Setup) Entry: 2.85 – 2.95 (only on clear rejection / wick formation) Target 1: 2.45 Target 2: 2.10 Stop Loss: 3.10 My View: LIGHT has gone into a parabolic move (+200% in days) with extreme volume expansion. Price is now far extended from value and moving in a low-liquidity zone. Such moves usually cool off via sharp pullbacks. Best probability comes only if price shows rejection near the top — no blind shorts. Risk–reward favors short on exhaustion, not continuation long here. Bias: Bearish below 3.10 Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. #Light

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Trump’s Gold Card Sales Claims Disputed as Prediction Markets Say No Real Sales Yet President Donald Trump’s administration claimed that the newly introduced Trump Gold Card program has generated $1.3 billion in sales, calling the response “booming.” However, independent market indicators are now challenging the credibility of those figures and raising doubts about how many — if any — Gold Cards have actually been sold. Trump and his allies have touted the Gold Card — an investment-based immigration pathway that requires wealthy individuals to pay a $1 million fee (plus processing costs) in exchange for U.S. permanent residency — as a high-demand program attracting global interest. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick recently went so far as to suggest strong daily sales, reinforcing optimistic projections from the administration. However, prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket now strongly disputes these sales claims, with a high probability that zero Gold Cards will actually be sold in 2025 under the program’s current criteria. Polymarket’s pricing models assign roughly an 88–94 % chance that no completed sales occur this year, and indicate that assertions about $1.3 billion in revenue are not supported by finalized payment data. Experts note that the Gold Card remains unclear and legally complex, lacking a fully codified immigration category and predictable issuance process. Unlike well-established visa routes such as the EB-5 investor program, the Gold Card’s structure and implementation timeline remain ambiguous, which may be deterring potential applicants despite high-profile claims. Why it matters: Prediction markets suggest sales figures may be overestimated or unsupported by real transactions. Skepticism around the Gold Card highlights uncertainty in execution and legal grounding. The controversy underscores how public claims can diverge sharply from market-based expectations in immigration and policy narratives.

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India’s Exports Defy U.S. Tariffs, Rise in November Despite Duties India’s merchandise exports posted a strong rebound in November 2025, even as steep U.S. tariffs remained in place, signaling resilience in global demand and giving New Delhi leverage in trade negotiations with Washington. According to government trade data, total goods exports climbed to $38.13 billion in November, up more than 19 % from a year earlier — the fastest pace in several months. Notably, shipments to the United States — India’s largest export market — jumped over 22 % year-on-year, outperforming overall export growth and defying expectations amid high tariff barriers. What’s driving the export strength? Diversified export mix: Robust performance in sectors such as engineering goods, electronics and pharmaceutical products helped offset tariff impacts. Global demand recovery: Strengthening global consumption boosted orders from key markets including the U.S. and China. Policy support: Government export promotion measures and trade agreements, such as a recent deal with Oman aimed at broadening market access, may be aiding exporters’ competitive positioning. Why it matters: Economic resilience: Despite U.S. tariffs of up to 50 % on many products, Indian exports have shown unexpected upward momentum, suggesting that global demand and diversification strategies are offsetting tariff headwinds. Negotiation leverage: The export strength gives New Delhi additional clout in ongoing trade talks with the United States, potentially easing pressure to reach a quick bilateral agreement. Outlook: Continued export growth could help narrow India’s trade deficit and support economic stability heading into 2026. In short, India’s exports are proving resilient in the face of U.S. tariff pressures, reinforcing confidence in the country’s global trade strategy and economic fundamentals.

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BlackRock’s IBIT ETF Shows Resilience Despite Negative Returns BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has emerged as a notable standout among U.S. exchange-traded funds this year, drawing heavy inflows and ranking among the top ETFs by capital flows, even though it has posted negative returns in 2025. Analysts say this resilience highlights strong long-term investor interest in regulated Bitcoin exposure despite a challenging price backdrop. According to data highlighted by Bloomberg Intelligence, IBIT is the only ETF among the top 25 U.S. funds with significant inflows that has delivered a negative return (around -9.6 % year-to-date) — yet it still ranks sixth in net capital inflows for the year. That places it ahead of many established products, including traditional safe-haven ETFs like SPDR Gold Shares (GLD). The ETF has attracted more than $25 billion in net inflows in 2025, underscoring institutional conviction in long-term Bitcoin investment strategies even as Bitcoin’s price struggled through drawdowns. This dynamic suggests that many investors view spot-Bitcoin ETF exposure as a strategic allocation, rather than a short-term trading instrument — placing emphasis on future upside over current volatility. Why it matters: Inflow resilience: IBIT’s strong inflows despite negative performance reflect deepening institutional interest in crypto. Investor mindset shift: Rather than chasing short-term gains, many holders are accumulating through regulated vehicles for long-term exposure. Market signal: This trend may signal that Bitcoin’s role in diversified portfolios continues to strengthen, even when price action is subdued. In summary, BlackRock’s IBIT ETF is defying the usual link between performance and demand, with capital flows showing confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term narrative despite temporary downside returns.

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