Is BTC going above 100K to 103K in the next weeks or months, and could it later drop hard toward 57K
Here is the roadmap idea I am tracking
On a long term view from 2017 to 2026, BTC has shown brutal bear market resets
2018 drawdown around 85 percent
2022 drawdown around 77 percent
If a similar cycle repeats in 2026, a large correction below 60K is not impossible
Why 57,802 matters?
It lines up with a major 0.618 Fibonacci level of the previous bull cycle
It also sits near the 200 week moving average zone, which is often treated as a long term accumulation area
How the wave idea fits
We already saw a big drop from 125K to 81K late 2025, which can be treated as wave A or W
Now a corrective wave B or X could be in progress, and that type of move can often retrace back toward 100K to 103K
If BTC reaches that zone and rejects, the next leg could complete the correction toward the 57K area as a 1 to 1 type extension move
What would make me cautious ?
A clean failure around 100K to 103K with weakening momentum
A strong breakdown of key supports after the rebound
What would invalidate the bearish roadmap?
If BTC reclaims the 100K to 103K area and holds it with strong continuation, then the deep pullback scenario becomes less likely
This is a scenario plan, not a prediction. We need more confirmation as the next weeks play out.
Comment your altcoin and I will reply with a quick level based analysis.