美国非农数据超预期

$ETH ，$ZEC ，$ASTER
🔥 Contradictory data explosion! Non-farm employment skyrocketed, but the unemployment rate collapsed? The Fed is more likely to cut rates in January next year!
🪙 Last night, as soon as the U.S. non-farm data was released, the market was directly confused—this script is not right!

📈 First, let's talk about the highlights: 64,000 new jobs in November, much more than expected! But turning around, the unemployment rate actually soared to 4.6%‼️ Even more shocking, the October data was heavily revised down, with employment numbers plummeting by 105,000, the largest drop since the pandemic…

This data is simply “schizophrenic”! Hiring on one hand, and unemployment on the other? If you look calmly, the cooling signal can no longer be hidden: the unemployment rate keeps rising, last month's data is catastrophic, and wage growth has slowed down… It’s obvious that the labor market is starting to leak!

💥 The market instantly understood: isn’t this exactly the “soft landing” script the Fed wants?! The economy hasn’t collapsed, but it’s tired, just paving the way for rate cuts~ As soon as the data came out, expectations for two rate cuts next year solidified, and some even began to guess: could it be acted upon even earlier?

Goldman Sachs pointed out directly: this report has too much “noise,” government shutdowns have disrupted the data! If you really want to see the trend clearly, you might have to wait until January next year.

🚀 But for the crypto market, this data is simply a “golden pull”—the economy is neither hot nor cold, and the Fed dares not be hawkish, it might even be more dovish! With liquidity expectations supported, the market heartbeat has stabilized.

💬 So what do you think: is this “split data” a divine assist or a smokescreen? Will the Fed open the gates early, or hold off a bit longer? See you in the comments!

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#非农魔幻数据 #美联储降息倒计时 #美国非农数据超预期 #加密市场观察

$BTC $ETH $ZEC Just now, the Federal Reserve has a big news on interest rate cuts!
The U.S. non-farm data is a "roller coaster"! In November, an increase of 64,000 exceeded expectations, but the unemployment rate surprisingly rose to 4.6%

The delayed U.S. non-farm data has finally arrived!

On the evening of December 16, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released a report:

✅ In November, non-farm employment increased by 64,000, exceeding the expected 45,000;
⚠️ However, the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.6%, higher than the expected 4.5%;
📉 In October, the number of employed was revised down by 105,000, marking the largest decline since the end of 2020.

Why was the October data so poor? The main reason is that federal employees involved in Trump’s government “deferred resignation” plan were officially removed from the payroll list, leading to a sharp decline of 162,000 in government employment.

Although employment in November returned to positive, the labor market is still "bouncing up and down". The unemployment rate continues to rise, indicating increased layoffs and difficulty in finding jobs.

Will this report affect the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts?

The market seems not to be scared - traders are still betting on two rate cuts in 2026. After the data was released, U.S. stock futures briefly surged, but quickly fell back, with the dollar showing weakness.

Many analysts believe that the job market is experiencing a "moderate cooling": the unemployment rate is rising, growth is slowing, and wage growth is decelerating. But fortunately, there is no "cliff".

Goldman Sachs analysts pointed out that this data was significantly affected by the government shutdown, reducing its reference value: "Powell reminded last week that this report may be distorted." The truly indicative data may have to wait for the December figures released in early January.

Some viewpoints suggest that the Federal Reserve might as well "pause and observe" for a few more months before taking action. Some strategists also predict: "The labor market is cooling enough, and the number of rate cuts next year is likely to be more than what the Federal Reserve is currently indicating."

Summary: Employment has not collapsed, but it is indeed weakening - this gives the Federal Reserve a reason to continue easing. #美国非农数据超预期
#巨鲸动向 #美联储降息 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析

Non-farm data exceeds expectations, the US stock market is warming up, where will the cryptocurrency market go #美国非农数据超预期

Is the market warming up? I don't think so. The non-farm data exceeding expectations only indicates that this market is not as bad as everyone thinks, but it doesn't mean it is strengthening, it can only be said to be weakly recovering.

Currently, it is indeed not at the level of market recovery. Through various measures such as interest rate cuts, it is merely delaying the decline. $BTC

$DOGE 🔥 Non-farm data is too divided! New jobs exceed expectations, but the unemployment rate is rising instead of falling! The market immediately got excited: expectations for interest rate cuts in January next year have skyrocketed, gold is soaring, and the dollar is plummeting. Is quantitative easing really coming?

This data is like giving the Federal Reserve a 'script': employment seems stable, but the unemployment rate has jumped to 4.6%, and data from the previous months has been significantly revised down. The script of economic cooling is becoming more and more real, and traders are directly betting that interest rates may drop to 3% by 2026! Liquidity expectations are igniting early, but global funds are flowing secretly—yen arbitrage is retreating, and volatility is about to explode.

The dual game in the crypto world is heating up: on one side, interest rate cut expectations boost sentiment, while on the other side, the market has already overspent the good news. $ETH is stuck in the $3100-$3400 range, which precisely indicates the fierce confrontation between bulls and bears. But don’t just focus on the big market—ecological undercurrents have long been surging, and giants are quietly laying out payment networks, with the next round of explosions lying in ambush.

Is it panic or opportunity? Smart money never waits. In addition to closely watching key levels of $BTC and $ETH , those early narratives with cultural genes often attract attention and liquidity first amid fluctuations.

🔥 The market is now waiting for a signal: data cools down but does not crash, which just gives the Federal Reserve a reason for easing. Should we pause and take a look? It’s better to actively seek structural opportunities. In the midst of great volatility, the wealth script is being rewritten! #加密市场观察 #加密市场观察 #巨鲸动向 #美国非农数据超预期

#美国非农数据超预期
The non-farm payrolls in the US for 2025 have caused short-term fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market.

1. Significant fluctuations in mainstream cryptocurrencies: After the data was released, $BTC surged rapidly to 88000, then quickly dipped to the support level of 86000, briefly rebounding to 88100 before falling again, trading in a narrow range between 87000 and 88000 since early morning; $ETH fell below the 3000 integer mark, consolidating in the range of 2890 to 2980 during the day, later stabilizing in the area of 2920 to 2970.
2. Interest rate cut expectations provide support: This non-farm payroll report showed slightly more jobs added than expected, but the unemployment rate hit a nearly four-year high, compounded by a significant downward revision of the October non-farm data. This contradictory performance has raised market expectations for the Federal Reserve's easing policy in 2026, with a slight increase in the probability of an interest rate cut in March. Lower interest rate expectations often benefit cryptocurrencies, as the market tends to believe that future funds will increase, making it willing to enter the crypto space and providing price support.
3. Limited rebound space: Although there is support from interest rate cut expectations, the current market fear sentiment has not completely dissipated, and the approaching interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan will limit the rebound strength of cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin faces resistance at the four-hour mid-range of 88500 and the integer mark of 90000, while Ethereum is also suppressed by the 3000 integer mark, making significant short-term price increases unlikely.

#美国非农数据超预期 The latest non-farm payroll data from the United States far exceeded expectations! In February, 353,000 new jobs were added, far surpassing the market expectation of 185,000, while the unemployment rate remained steady at 3.7%. After the data was released, the US dollar index jumped by 0.3%, the 10-year Treasury yield broke through 4.1%, and US stock futures fluctuated higher. Strong employment highlights economic resilience, and market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates are increasing, possibly delaying the timing of rate cuts further this year. Short-term volatility in global risk assets is expected to intensify.

#美国非农数据超预期 12 On November 16, the U.S. non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate for November both exceeded expectations. The unemployment rate for November recorded at 4.6%, the highest since September 2021. The seasonally adjusted non-farm employment figure for November recorded 64,000, higher than the general market expectation.
This higher-than-expected non-farm and unemployment data seems contradictory, yet it paints a picture of "moderate economic cooling and potential easing of inflationary pressures," which is exactly what the current market hopes to see. As a result, after the data was released, the dollar fell, and risk assets (stock indices, gold, non-U.S. currencies) saw a widespread increase, which is completely logical.
The macro environment has shifted from "headwinds" to "sidewinds" or even "tailwinds": the market will focus more on finding targets with growth potential and unique narratives. This presents an excellent window of opportunity for the #Max community, which has been dedicated to creating real social value, to showcase its distinction from purely financial speculation projects.
The market's focus may gradually shift from "will there be a recession" to "which assets can rise in the new cycle." The Max community should more proactively bind and promote the "substantial progress of offline education promotion" with the "macro trend of blockchain empowering social welfare," seizing the opportunity for value discovery in the "post-macro panic era."
Therefore, action is more important than ever. During a period when market sentiment may reach a turning point, verifiable and sustained construction results are the hardest currency to attract funding and attention. Every successful offline event is a strong support for the community narrative.
@Max Charity #GiggleAcademy $GIGGLE

The Federal Reserve is making moves again, unemployment rate rises in November, will the crypto market take off?

Last night, the U.S. employment report was released, and the unemployment rate jumped to 4.6%. Futures markets indicate that the market is betting on two rate cuts in 2026, with the probability of a rate cut in January next year slightly increasing to 31%.

On the surface, it seems like a significant positive is coming, but the leader needs to pour a bucket of cold water on everyone.
This is purely a case of "celebrating a funeral" with the data hanging in the balance. The U.S. unemployment rate has hit a new high, and non-farm payrolls exceeded expectations, yet the market has pushed up rate cut expectations, injecting adrenaline into the market. But how long can this injection last?

Although the rise in the unemployment rate boosts rate cut expectations, the Federal Reserve's stance remains hawkish, and the market will ultimately return to rationality. Last night's market performance is the best evidence of this!

What should players do now?
For those playing spot trading, if you can withstand it, just hold steady and wait it out.
For those trading contracts, don’t rush to bottom-fish; now is not the best entry position, and focus should still be on shorting.

If you always feel like you're a step behind the market, constantly experiencing "buying and then it drops, selling and then it rises," let me tell you, you’re not lacking analysis; you need a professional guide who can remind you in real-time of "opportunities are here" and "run fast!"

If you don’t know how to time your entries, you can follow the leader, who will analyze the current best entry points in real-time in the village!!
#美国非农数据超预期 $BTC

Although the U.S. added 64,000 non-farm jobs in November, exceeding expectations of 50,000, the unemployment rate reached a new high since September 2001 at 4.6%, higher than the expected 4.4%. The few tens of thousands of new jobs represent only a drop in the bucket when viewed against the total workforce multiplied by 4.6%, which gives the total number of unemployed. In the short term, it seems there are no employment issues, but in the long run, it indicates an economic downturn, and the number of unemployed will gradually increase.
The November non-farm data released also revised the data from August and September, inflating the employment figures by 33,000, meaning the previous data was significantly overstated. Coupled with the U.S. government shutdown in October, this led to many figures being inaccurate or not published at all.
Therefore, I suspect that the November non-farm data is also inflated, crafted to look good to stabilize confidence first, with policy adjustments to follow. The people at the Federal Reserve are well aware of this and tacitly acknowledge it.
In summary, the expectation for interest rate cuts is increasing; in January, there may be a surprise rate cut when no one expects it.
$BTC

$ETH
#美国非农数据超预期

US November Non-Farm Payroll and Unemployment Rate Data Released! 🇺🇸
Key Data (November):
• Non-Farm Payrolls Added: Actual 64K (Expected 50K, Previous -105K)
• Unemployment Rate: Actual 4.6% (Expected 4.5%, Previous 4.4%)
Both are slightly higher than expected, bringing significant uncertainty to the market:
1. Non-Farm Higher than Expected: Indicates that the US economy is still growing moderately, and the job market is resilient. This may lead the Federal Reserve to adopt a cautious attitude towards rapid rate cuts to avoid stimulating the economy too early.
2. Unemployment Rate Higher than Expected: Risen to 4.6% (four-year high), showing that the labor market is gradually cooling, and the risk of a potential recession is rising. This further supports the Federal Reserve to continue cutting rates to guard against economic downturns.
These two pieces of data create a "long-short hedge" effect: economic resilience vs. labor market weakness, making it difficult for the market to form a consistent expectation. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates in January thus remains low (current market pricing below 50%).
In addition, with the expectation that the Bank of Japan is set to raise rates to 0.75% this week (December 18-19), the pressure on the yen to strengthen has increased. Global stock markets experienced widespread declines yesterday, and negative sentiment has not yet been fully digested. After the data release today, the market reaction is somewhat negative, and it is not well-received. Close attention is on the evening opening trend of US stocks, and further statements from the Federal Reserve and December employment data will be more valuable for reference!
#美国非农数据超预期

#美国非农数据超预期 : A 'Cold Water' Dousing the Enthusiasm for Interest Rate Cuts

Friends, were you greened by the market this morning? The U.S. non-farm payroll data for September unexpectedly increased by 119,000, far exceeding expectations. This belated 'report card' instantly doused the market with a bucket of cold water: the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December has plummeted from a high of 39.6%.

What does this mean for the cryptocurrency space?
Direct hit! The logic is simple: stronger economic data → the Federal Reserve is less urgent about cutting interest rates → high interest rate environment continues → risk assets come under pressure. This is why Bitcoin and Ethereum dropped in response, as the core logic supporting the previous rebound (expectations of liquidity easing) has wavered.

Our thoughts:
The market always oscillates between 'expectations' and 'reality.' This data reminds us that a bull market will not happen overnight, and the 'tap' of the macro economy is still firmly in the hands of the Federal Reserve. Short-term volatility may be a good time to reassess positions and return to the essence of value.

While everyone chases the fluctuations in macro data, some values are unrelated to interest rates. Just like #GiggleAcademy , regardless of whether the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, its commitment to providing free education to children worldwide will not change. The actions of community #MAX are precisely about transforming this enduring value into specific changes at local schools.

#GiggleAcademy #MAX

The latest U.S. non-farm payroll data (November 2025) was released today (December 16, 2025). Due to the prior federal government shutdown, the complete report for October was canceled, and this report mainly covers November data (the business survey part includes October employment changes, but no October unemployment rate). Key data (officially released by BLS): Non-farm payroll changes: November increased by 64,000 jobs (+64,000) Unemployment rate: 4.6% (higher than market expectations of about 4.4%) Employment growth was mainly driven by the healthcare industry (+46,000) and the construction industry (+28,000). Federal government employment continues to decline (-6,000), having previously decreased significantly by 162,000 in October. Overall employment growth has nearly stagnated since April, indicating further cooling in the labor market. Comparison with market expectations: The market generally expected an increase of about 40,000 to 50,000 in non-farm payrolls for November, with the unemployment rate remaining stable at 4.4%. The actual non-farm increase was 64,000, slightly higher than expected (the portion above expectations), but the unemployment rate rose to 4.6%, exceeding expectations, and was overall seen as a signal of slowing employment growth (not a strong performance). Market impact: After the data was released, the dollar index strengthened slightly, U.S. Treasury yields rose, and the stock market reacted moderately. This may reinforce expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain a cautious rate-cutting path (the labor market is cooling but not collapsing).
However, there are no particularly positive factors currently to boost market confidence, so it is likely still bearish; it is just uncertain what will happen next after the negative factors are fully priced in. $BTC #美国非农数据超预期

Did you all anticipate the non-farm data at 9:30 PM last night?

Is it a double win for both bulls and bears?

Or did it just benefit one side?

Or are you hesitating and watching from the sidelines?

When the market sentiment unanimously believes that the non-farm data will be favorable and push up significantly, the market only provided a limited doubling opportunity. The main force did not give a continuation, and the downward trend in the market is quite clear.

So at the first moment after the surge ended, I decisively informed my followers to set up short positions.

Following the market trend, not the data, resulted in the market breaking below 2900 directly at about ten, $ETH .

When there was a rebound, I immediately told my followers to take profits and exit, directly securing a doubling profit.

#美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs

#美国非农数据超预期

Recently came across the non-farm payroll data for the U.S. in November released yesterday (December 16), quite interesting — an increase of 64,000 jobs. Although the number isn't large, it's better than the market expectation of 40,000 to 50,000, especially after a significant loss of 105,000 jobs in October (mainly due to federal government layoffs of 162,000). A slight rebound is quite nice. The unemployment rate rose to 4.6%, a four-year high, but part of the reason is the delay in data collection due to the government shutdown and the impact of federal employee departures. The private sector is actually still adding jobs steadily in areas such as healthcare and construction.

To be honest, this mixed report makes one feel that the job market is cooling but not out of control. The Federal Reserve may continue to observe the data and not rush into major actions. In macroeconomics, there is always noise that interferes with real signals.

CZ is now focused on Giggle Academy's global free education initiative. These types of practical public welfare actions are actually helping more people, especially children, to accumulate long-term opportunities. Those interested can take a look at @Max Charity ; they are making gradual progress on similar matters.
#GiggleAcademy