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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
A typical way of thinking for locals, they only overlooked the growth of stablecoins and the need for a portion of foundational anchors for them. Stablecoins are fundamentally different from cash, naturally having their own anchoring assets.
If the market continues to trend this way in the second half of the year, Bitcoin will indeed need to take a long breather.
When Trump took office, he wrote that this guy is just a disruptor (this chart was made when he took office, and many didn't understand it at the time, but it's never too late to understand now).
The yellow-haired madman is throwing heavy punches geopolitically against Venezuela and Iran, and it's highly likely he'll also shake up the global financial market next.
The combination of Trump and Bessent will likely clean up the mess in Iran, with a 99% probability of pushing adjustments in the U.S. financial system, disrupting the global financial market.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
If the market continues to trend this way in the second half of the year, Bitcoin will indeed need to take a long breather.
When Trump took office, he wrote that this guy is just a disruptor (this chart was made when he took office, and many didn't understand it at the time, but it's never too late to understand now).
The yellow-haired madman is throwing heavy punches geopolitically against Venezuela and Iran, and it's highly likely he'll also shake up the global financial market next.
The combination of Trump and Bessent will likely clean up the mess in Iran, with a 99% probability of pushing adjustments in the U.S. financial system, disrupting the global financial market.
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
#btc
🚨 BTC Update
$BTC is currently sitting around 77.7K after a short-term bounce 📈
After a clear downtrend, we’re now seeing a small recovery, but price is still struggling below resistance.
🔍 What I’m watching:
• Resistance: 78.1K – 78.4K
• Support: 76.9K – 77.2K
💡 Scenario:
If BTC breaks above 78.4K with volume, we could see a stronger move up.
If it gets rejected here, another dip is very possible.
⚠️ Market still looks weak short-term don’t chase blindly.
📊 My take:
This looks like a temporary bounce, not a confirmed reversal (yet).
Trade smart. Wait for confirmation.
#btc #crypto #trading
🚨 BTC Update
$BTC is currently sitting around 77.7K after a short-term bounce 📈
After a clear downtrend, we’re now seeing a small recovery, but price is still struggling below resistance.
🔍 What I’m watching:
• Resistance: 78.1K – 78.4K
• Support: 76.9K – 77.2K
💡 Scenario:
If BTC breaks above 78.4K with volume, we could see a stronger move up.
If it gets rejected here, another dip is very possible.
⚠️ Market still looks weak short-term don’t chase blindly.
📊 My take:
This looks like a temporary bounce, not a confirmed reversal (yet).
Trade smart. Wait for confirmation.
#btc #crypto #trading
#btc $BTC So I’ve entered a short position on Bitcoin for now; I’ll be averaging in on any upward moves. This position is set for the long haul, at least 2 weeks. I expect a correction, and a significant one at that. Not financial advice or a call to action.
I’ll keep you updated on the position.
I’ll keep you updated on the position.
Demonic Saints:
Та лучше бы эфир взял, больше было б
BTC just hit a peak and pulled back, this isn't a takeoff, it's a test.
Is it wise to chase now? Basically, you're just picking up the bags.
The spike wasn't backed by volume, and the long upper wick is a classic sign of 'fake strength', not a main rally.
The moving averages look solid, but if we break below, it’s game over. The top has the FOMO buyers, while the bottom has the stop-loss zone; if we smash through, it’ll accelerate downwards.
Volume and price are starting to diverge; prices are at the top while volume is shrinking, indicating weak buying pressure and no selling. If someone decides to dump, it’ll drop like a rock.
Stop daydreaming about BTC; the rhythm is clear: BTC moves, altcoins follow; BTC is stagnant, only then will alts catch up. Coins like Solana with ecosystem support are more likely to rotate in capital.
I’m leaning towards a second peak for the head; the area near the previous high is the battleground, not where you chase.
Today, consider lightly shorting at 78500-79000, with a stop-loss at 80300 and a target of 76000 74500 #btc .
Is it wise to chase now? Basically, you're just picking up the bags.
The spike wasn't backed by volume, and the long upper wick is a classic sign of 'fake strength', not a main rally.
The moving averages look solid, but if we break below, it’s game over. The top has the FOMO buyers, while the bottom has the stop-loss zone; if we smash through, it’ll accelerate downwards.
Volume and price are starting to diverge; prices are at the top while volume is shrinking, indicating weak buying pressure and no selling. If someone decides to dump, it’ll drop like a rock.
Stop daydreaming about BTC; the rhythm is clear: BTC moves, altcoins follow; BTC is stagnant, only then will alts catch up. Coins like Solana with ecosystem support are more likely to rotate in capital.
I’m leaning towards a second peak for the head; the area near the previous high is the battleground, not where you chase.
Today, consider lightly shorting at 78500-79000, with a stop-loss at 80300 and a target of 76000 74500 #btc .
I partied hard last night and I'm nursing it with some goat milk 🐐, mentally I'm ready to take a loss but above all to score big... That's my game, I either short 200k (what I had gained during the dip a few months back) or I rack up +600K (because my analysis indicates it's heading to 50K) let's see what happens, this gets me pumped 🍀🤞🏻💯 #btc
Jedd:
Ya tengo un buen $BNB en Web 3. Fracciones de $BTC , esperando que caiga a los 54 - 44 para comprar.
$BTC
So far, BTC is moving as expected. As mentioned, BTC reached our precise first target of 78.5k. After hitting the first target it is currently retracing a bit. If the retracement continues, then we may see it at the 73k level before the next move. Our next target remains unchanged at the 80k area. This bias is valid until the 73k level holds.
We will try to keep updating accordingly !!!
#btc #bitcoin #crypto
So far, BTC is moving as expected. As mentioned, BTC reached our precise first target of 78.5k. After hitting the first target it is currently retracing a bit. If the retracement continues, then we may see it at the 73k level before the next move. Our next target remains unchanged at the 80k area. This bias is valid until the 73k level holds.
We will try to keep updating accordingly !!!
#btc #bitcoin #crypto
Former Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau argues that the global system based on “common rules” is increasingly losing respect, as major powers like the US, China, Russia, and India increasingly choose which rules benefit them and ignore which don’t, leaving the rest of the world to fend for itself. Large international organizations like the World Trade Organization and the International Monetary Fund were established at a different time and are now insufficient to address the issues of today. Instead, nations are beginning to form smaller groups, linked by shared interests. This further reinforces the argument for holding assets independent of any single nation, such as gold or Bitcoin. As trust in the global system declines, power becomes fragmented, the world shifts toward relationships based on mutual benefit, and the cracks in the globalized system become increasingly apparent. #btc
callmesae187:
check my pinned post and claim your free red package and quiz in USTD🎁🎁
BITCOIN ($BTC ) HEATMAP UPDATE
🔹BTC is trading inside a liquidity-rich range with no clear trend expansion yet.
🔹Major liquidity sits above at $79.5K–$80K, acting as a magnet for price.
🔹Recent downside sweep near $76.5K suggests short-term relief, not reversal.
🔹If price reclaims $78.5K–$79K, expect a push into the $80K zone.
🔹Failure to hold momentum likely sends BTC back toward $76K liquidity pool.
🔹Current structure remains slightly bearish on lower timeframes.
🔹Next move: liquidity grab toward $80K, then reaction decides direction.
#btc
🔹BTC is trading inside a liquidity-rich range with no clear trend expansion yet.
🔹Major liquidity sits above at $79.5K–$80K, acting as a magnet for price.
🔹Recent downside sweep near $76.5K suggests short-term relief, not reversal.
🔹If price reclaims $78.5K–$79K, expect a push into the $80K zone.
🔹Failure to hold momentum likely sends BTC back toward $76K liquidity pool.
🔹Current structure remains slightly bearish on lower timeframes.
🔹Next move: liquidity grab toward $80K, then reaction decides direction.
#btc
#btc #altcoins I’ve completely lost the connection between Bitcoin and the market as a whole, not counting the coins that are getting pumped and dumped.
Why is there such a gap between BTC and altcoins? BTC's price has shot up by 15k$ lately, which is not the case for the rest of the market; BTC dips a little and 1/2k$ the market drops right back to where it was, down by a solid 10/15k$ . It’s a strange market dynamic; coins are also stuck at the bottom, and if BTC drops again to 70/60k$ where will the market be? It's an absurd and heavily manipulated game by the big players that doesn’t let the market breathe and go its own way.
Why is there such a gap between BTC and altcoins? BTC's price has shot up by 15k$ lately, which is not the case for the rest of the market; BTC dips a little and 1/2k$ the market drops right back to where it was, down by a solid 10/15k$ . It’s a strange market dynamic; coins are also stuck at the bottom, and if BTC drops again to 70/60k$ where will the market be? It's an absurd and heavily manipulated game by the big players that doesn’t let the market breathe and go its own way.
Damn, SBF's venture capital blueprint has potential returns close to $500 billion!\n\nThis guy is the venture capital god of the 21st century, single-handedly grinding the entire VC scene into dust! Just looking at venture capital, he's a monster that operates on a whole different level, no question about it!\n\nWhat’s all this bullshit going on in the crypto space?\n\nWhich dumb exchange back in the day didn’t lend out user coins to institutions or run off to DeFi for high-leverage lending?\n\nThe whole industry is playing it like this, and SBF just got the worst luck, being the scapegoat, the poor bastard! $500 billion in potential returns is laid out, it’s not just talk, it’s a nuclear-level performance!\n\nAll the other VCs look like kindergarten kids eating dirt in front of him, playing house is embarrassing!\n\nSBF isn’t just the best; he’s the only one who’s truly the best! Who dares to challenge him? Even Buffett would have to roll out!\n\nThe entire venture capital world should kneel and call him dad!\n\n$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo \n\n\n\n
More update $BTC — This 4H Candle Decides Everything 🕯⚖️
This isn’t just another candle… it’s a decision point.
🔴 Close Red → Bearish divergence builds → Pressure increases 🐻
🟢 Close Green → No confirmation yet → Market still playing games 🎭
Smart money isn’t rushing here.
They’re watching the next 2 candles very closely 👀
😎 This is where amateurs predict… and professionals wait.
$BTC
#btc #BTCpredictions
This isn’t just another candle… it’s a decision point.
🔴 Close Red → Bearish divergence builds → Pressure increases 🐻
🟢 Close Green → No confirmation yet → Market still playing games 🎭
Smart money isn’t rushing here.
They’re watching the next 2 candles very closely 👀
😎 This is where amateurs predict… and professionals wait.
$BTC
#btc #BTCpredictions
$BTC just flipped its trend after 8 months… and nobody's noticing
Do you know what's similar between $BTC at 112k… and now at 76–77k?
Back then, $BTC was holding strong above the 25 EMA on a 3-day timeframe, taking clean support.
Now? Same behavior.
After 8 months, we finally found support and are consolidating above 73.5k.
So ask yourself,
do you really think BTC breaks 76k just to get rejected at 80k?
The HTF says otherwise.
We've broken the structure on the weekly.
This doesn't look like a move that stops early.
86–88k looks very likely.
If the momentum continues, even 92k is on the table.
But make no mistake, the market never moves in a straight line.
Pullbacks will come; the market might retest 73.5k after hitting 82-83k or it could just go straight up!
If you get pullbacks along the way, they're meant to be bought.
The key is simple:
Trend = up over the next few weeks → plan accordingly.
Invalidation? Lose 73.2k and this whole outlook goes out the window.
Last time I said:
Hold 70.6k → we're going to 78–79k.
The market did exactly that.
Now… Round 2 begins.
What are you doing here, buying the dips or waiting on the sidelines?
Feel free to share and save this for your future reference.
Click below to Take the Trade
#btc #btc120k
Do you know what's similar between $BTC at 112k… and now at 76–77k?
Back then, $BTC was holding strong above the 25 EMA on a 3-day timeframe, taking clean support.
Now? Same behavior.
After 8 months, we finally found support and are consolidating above 73.5k.
So ask yourself,
do you really think BTC breaks 76k just to get rejected at 80k?
The HTF says otherwise.
We've broken the structure on the weekly.
This doesn't look like a move that stops early.
86–88k looks very likely.
If the momentum continues, even 92k is on the table.
But make no mistake, the market never moves in a straight line.
Pullbacks will come; the market might retest 73.5k after hitting 82-83k or it could just go straight up!
If you get pullbacks along the way, they're meant to be bought.
The key is simple:
Trend = up over the next few weeks → plan accordingly.
Invalidation? Lose 73.2k and this whole outlook goes out the window.
Last time I said:
Hold 70.6k → we're going to 78–79k.
The market did exactly that.
Now… Round 2 begins.
What are you doing here, buying the dips or waiting on the sidelines?
Feel free to share and save this for your future reference.
Click below to Take the Trade
#btc #btc120k
Getting started in this world 🌎,
Any good buddy who can drop a tip for a newbie? I've noticed that the BTC market has been really volatile, but it seems to have a bullish trend. Maybe it's a solid opportunity to start holding. What do you all think?
$BTC $BNB
#StrategyBTCPurchase #btc #TipMeAndRich #BTC #BNBToken
Any good buddy who can drop a tip for a newbie? I've noticed that the BTC market has been really volatile, but it seems to have a bullish trend. Maybe it's a solid opportunity to start holding. What do you all think?
$BTC $BNB
#StrategyBTCPurchase #btc #TipMeAndRich #BTC #BNBToken
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