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XRP is going through a quiet phase as traders step back from risk. Activity in the derivatives market has slowed and leverage keeps falling. This shows that many short term traders are no longer pushing hard bets. Instead they are waiting and watching.
When leverage drops and open positions shrink at the same time it often means confidence is low. Traders do not want to be exposed during uncertain conditions. This usually happens when the wider market feels unstable or when liquidity dries up. XRP is facing both of these pressures right now.
The price action reflects this mood clearly. On the daily chart XRP has slipped closer to the 1.9 dollar area. This move continues a downtrend that has been in place for months. Each bounce has been weaker than the last. Sellers continue to stay in control.
Market structure also points to weakness. The chart keeps forming lower highs and lower lows. That is a classic sign of a bearish trend. Buyers have not been able to defend key levels for long. Any recovery attempt fades quickly.
Momentum indicators support this view. The relative strength index is hovering near 35. This level shows bearish pressure but not full panic. In simple terms selling is strong but not extreme. This means price could still fall further before reaching a point where sellers are exhausted.
Another important detail is the lack of bullish divergence. Even though momentum is low there is no clear sign that buyers are stepping in aggressively. This suggests the market has not reached a true bottom yet. Lower leverage alone is not enough to signal a reversal.
So what should traders focus on next. Three things stand out.
First open interest needs to return. A rise here would show that traders are coming back and are willing to take positions again. Without that price moves are more likely to be sharp and unstable.
Second leverage levels need to stabilize. This would suggest that the recent cleanup is mostly done. Once forced exits slow down the market can start to behave more normally.
Third and most important the price must form a higher low on the daily chart. This would be the first real sign that the downtrend is losing strength. Until that happens any bounce should be treated with caution.
For now XRP remains in a fragile spot. Thin activity means sudden moves can happen in either direction. A lack of strong buyers leaves the downside open. At the same time low participation can also fuel fast spikes when interest returns.
Final thoughts are simple. The drop in leverage and open interest shows that traders have stepped aside. This sets the stage for volatility once activity comes back. Until structure improves and demand returns XRP may struggle to find a strong and lasting recovery.
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Ethereum has been through a rough period with sharp moves and nervous traders. Lately things have started to calm down. One key sign comes from Ethereum funds. The price of these funds compared to the actual ETH price has moved back into positive ground. This shows that large investors are no longer rushing to exit. They are willing to hold exposure even if it costs a bit more.
This change matters because it hints that selling pressure is slowing. Big players are still careful though. The interest is steady but not aggressive. This kind of shift often appears near the end of a selling phase. It does not mean a strong rally right away. It means the market is trying to find balance.
Price movement also supports this idea. Ethereum has broken out of a long downward pattern that lasted for months. This suggests bears are losing control. Still the move higher has not been strong. In many past cases price pulls back after such a breakout. This helps confirm the new structure.
For Ethereum that key level sits near twenty seven hundred fifty dollars. A move back toward this area would not be a bad sign. It would test whether buyers are ready to step in. If they do it could create a solid base for the next move higher.
On the supply side things look healthier. The amount of Ethereum sitting on exchanges has dropped. This means fewer coins are ready to be sold quickly. When exchange balances fall it often reduces the risk of sudden sell offs. Many holders appear to be moving ETH into long term storage.
Lower exchange supply does not guarantee price gains. It does remove some pressure though. When combined with calmer fund behavior it supports the idea that the market is stabilizing.
Another important change comes from the futures market. Funding rates have fallen sharply. This shows that many traders closed leveraged long positions. Open interest also dropped. Together these moves mean excess leverage has been cleared out.
While this can cause short term weakness it is healthy in the long run. Markets built on heavy leverage often crash fast. A reset allows prices to move based more on real buying instead of risky bets.
With leverage reduced Ethereum now depends more on spot demand. This can lead to slower moves but also more stable ones. It lowers the chance of forced liquidations dragging price down.
Right now Ethereum sits at an important point. The market looks calmer and supply pressure is lower. At the same time the chart suggests a possible retest of the twenty seven hundred fifty level.
If price moves there and buyers step in with confidence it could mark the start of a recovery phase. Large holders appear interested in buying dips which adds support to this idea.
If demand fails to show up then Ethereum could stay stuck for longer. Still the overall setup looks healthier than before.
In simple terms Ethereum may dip before it climbs. That dip could be the step needed to build strength for the next move up.
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JP Morgan has taken another big step into crypto using public blockchains. The bank has launched its first token based money fund on Ethereum. The fund size is around one hundred million dollars. This move comes only days after the bank helped issue digital debt on another public network. Together these actions show that JP Morgan is no longer testing crypto from the sidelines.
The bank is now using public blockchains for real financial products. This is not a lab test or a small pilot. These are live transactions with real value. JP Morgan is slowly turning into a major on chain bank.
Earlier this month the bank helped complete a fifty million dollar debt deal that settled fully on a public blockchain. The debt was issued and paid using digital dollars. The process worked from start to finish on chain. This proved that public networks can handle serious financial deals.
Now the bank has added another piece. It launched a token based money fund on Ethereum. This fund invests in US government debt and safe short term agreements. Each token represents a share in the fund. Investors can hold these tokens directly in their own wallets.
The fund is offered through the bank own platform for large investors. It allows them to move in and out using either cash or digital dollars. This makes the process faster and more flexible than old systems.
What matters most is the choice of public networks. In the past many banks only used private blockchains. These systems were closed and controlled by a few players. JP Morgan is now choosing open networks that anyone can see and verify.
Each network is used for what it does best. One is used for fast debt settlement. The other is used for secure long term funds. This shows clear planning. The bank is matching the tool to the job.
This is also a signal to the wider market. If the largest banks in the world trust public blockchains others may follow. It shows that open networks are ready for serious finance not just small crypto projects.
The new fund also blurs old lines. Money funds and digital dollars now look closer than before. Investors can move value on chain while still holding regulated products. This could change how cash is managed in the future.
JP Morgan leaders say demand for token based assets is rising. They believe on chain systems can reduce delays and costs. They also expect more banks to take similar steps soon.
What makes this shift important is the scale and speed. The bank did not wait for years between moves. It launched debt on one network then a fund on another within days. That shows confidence.
For years JP Morgan spoke carefully about crypto. Now actions speak louder. Real assets are live. Real value is moving on chain. The bank is building a new finance system piece by piece.
In simple terms JP Morgan is no longer watching crypto grow. It is helping shape what comes next.
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Solana has taken an important step to improve long term network safety. The team worked with Project Eleven to test a new type of digital signature that can resist future quantum computers. This test was shared publicly and shows real progress instead of theory.
Quantum computers are not ready yet. Still many experts believe they will one day break the cryptography used by blockchains today. If that happens old signature systems could become unsafe. Wallets validators and even past data could be at risk. Solana decided to prepare early instead of waiting.
Project Eleven reviewed Solana from top to bottom. They looked at validator identities user wallets and how the network signs and verifies actions. They also studied a serious threat known as harvest now decrypt later. This means attackers collect encrypted data today and wait until better computers can break it in the future.
The review helped map out risks and possible solutions. It gave Solana a clear view of what needs to change over time as technology moves forward. This kind of planning is rare in crypto where many teams only focus on short term upgrades.
The most important result was a live test network. Project Eleven ran a full Solana testnet using quantum safe signatures. Transactions worked from start to finish. Speed and scale stayed practical. This showed that stronger security does not have to slow the network down.
This test matters because many blockchains still rely on older signature methods. Those methods work well today but may fail in a quantum future. Solana has now shown that a shift to safer tools is possible without breaking the system.
A leader from the Solana Foundation explained that the goal is to keep the network safe not just today but many years ahead. This work is part of a wider plan to make Solana strong and reliable over the long run.
The timing is also important. Solana is already improving its core design. A second client is in progress along with upgrades to how the network reaches agreement. Adding quantum safety work on top of these changes gives Solana an edge in future planning.
Big investors care a lot about long term risk. Quantum threats may sound distant but large firms plan far ahead. A future where private keys can be guessed or copied would be disastrous. Solana showing real tests helps build trust with these players.
This move also shows a shift in how the industry thinks. Quantum safety is no longer just an academic idea. It is starting to look like basic infrastructure that every major network will need.
Solana is not claiming the problem is solved forever. Technology will keep changing. What matters is that the groundwork is being laid early. When the time comes to upgrade fully the path will already be clear.
In simple terms Solana is preparing for a future threat before it becomes urgent. This early action could make a big difference years from now.
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Grayscale has shared a bold view on where Bitcoin could go in 2026. Many people expect a weak market in that year. Grayscale does not agree. The firm believes Bitcoin can reach a new record price in the first half of 2026.
Their main reason is money risk. Grayscale thinks the value of regular money will keep falling. The United States has large debt. This can weaken trust in the dollar. When this happens people look for things that cannot be printed easily. Bitcoin fits this role. So do gold silver and sometimes Ether.
Grayscale says this trend is not short term. As long as money keeps losing value people will want assets that hold value over time. Bitcoin is seen as one of those assets. This is why Grayscale believes current Bitcoin prices are still low compared to what they could be.
Another reason for their positive view is rules. Grayscale expects clearer crypto laws in the coming year. Clear rules often make big investors feel safer. When large funds and firms enter the market prices usually rise. Grayscale thinks this will help Bitcoin move higher in 2026.
The firm also talked about the idea that the old four year cycle may be ending. In the past Bitcoin followed a pattern of boom and bust every four years. Grayscale believes the market is changing. More long term holders and bigger investors may smooth out these sharp cycles. This could allow prices to grow in a more steady way.
Some investors are worried about large crypto holding companies selling their Bitcoin. There is fear that forced selling could crash the market. Grayscale downplayed this risk. They said most of these companies are not using extreme debt. Because of this they are less likely to be forced into sudden selling.
Grayscale also said these large holders are now part of the crypto world for good. They do not expect them to drive huge buying or huge selling in 2026. In their view the market can absorb their actions without major damage.
Still not everyone is calm. Traders remain careful. Many are protecting themselves against price drops. This shows that fear has not fully gone away. Short term moves could stay rough even if the long term view is positive.
At the time of the outlook Bitcoin was trading near eighty six thousand dollars. The market was watching key economic news closely. Interest rates inflation and government policy could all affect price moves in the short run.
In the end Grayscale believes the big picture favors Bitcoin. Falling trust in money clearer rules and long term demand could push prices to a new record by early 2026. While risks remain Grayscale thinks Bitcoin is still undervalued today.
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