Here’s a simple signal that’s called every Bitcoin bear market bottom since 2015—and it still hasn’t flashed.

It’s just two moving averages: the 50-week and 100-week. When the 50-week drops below the 100-week, it’s historically marked the end of a bear market. It’s happened three times—April 2015, February 2019, and September 2022—each time near the bottom before major rallies.

Right now, the 50-week is still above the 100-week. That means the bear market may not be over yet. The bounce to $75K could just be a temporary recovery, not the start of a new bull run.

That said, if U.S. equities keep climbing and ETF demand stays strong, $BTC could still find support. But until that crossover happens, the broader downtrend might still be in play.

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