๐บ๐ธ U.S. unemployment just climbed to 4.6%, the highest level since September 2021 โ a clear sign the labor market is finally cracking.
#HIRING is slowing, job #growth is cooling, and economic momentum is fading.
The problem for the #Fed is timing.
Inflation is still around 3%, well above the 2% target. That leaves policymakers stuck:
โข Cut #Rates too soon โ inflation risks reaccelerating
โข Keep rates high โ rising unemployment could snowball into recession
The labor #market is weakening, but inflation isnโt defeated.
The Fedโs margin for error is now extremely thin.
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