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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
THEEEQHS Ultraالنظام المصري الكمي الهجيني :
#SHORT📉
有小伙伴问，那些老兵为什么会自责。
他们久经沙场，不为名利。从外战、内战、再到边疆无战事，不追求一点名利开始返乡。回乡后，大部分人的家庭破碎，父母妻儿、饿死的饿死，病死的病死。国内文化宗族气息又很重，再看看村里的人比以前更惨，然后再回想起自己为了理想、为了口号久经沙场出生入死，他们大多数人一生都是破碎的状态。
可以看看陈宝国演的汉武帝，去探望乡亲父老，被一拄着拐的老兵骂，现实比电视剧更残忍，那些留在部队的还好，那些返乡的一生大多数时间都是煎熬，与课本、电视剧中完全不同。
前两年还看到，有探望那个年代老兵的博主，去探望一老兵，一你问对党对自己过去有什么自豪的故事，那老头瞬间来了精气神，口吐各种国粹。那个年代很多很多原谅不了自己，我爷爷表弟也是那种，他去参军后儿子为了口吃的晚上去偷抓鱼淹死、老婆父母饥荒饿的病死、他退伍后，直接精神崩溃，每天骑着自行车串亲戚，一生都在骑自行车串亲戚的路上，很多人都对他指指点点，现在想想他对自己应该很自责。
我们看到的这些电视剧、课本、都是美化的艺术品，现实很残酷。我爷爷是在内战退下来的，对他而言内战是一种煎熬，他宁愿做逃兵都不愿意参与内战，做逃兵也很难，他一米八多，脱下军装哪一刻他都知道自己会被抓，他身高太显眼了，几天就被抓了，他和当时的首长以前一个战壕里的战友，了解原因后给他写了封信，算是通行证给他放了。
后来那首长的儿子在电视节目中回忆他父亲的话，才明白为何会给我爷放了，他儿子回忆，他睡觉就能梦到许多父母妻儿找他要父亲、儿子。
少看一些书本上的故事，那个年代大多数人都是破碎的状态。
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
他们久经沙场，不为名利。从外战、内战、再到边疆无战事，不追求一点名利开始返乡。回乡后，大部分人的家庭破碎，父母妻儿、饿死的饿死，病死的病死。国内文化宗族气息又很重，再看看村里的人比以前更惨，然后再回想起自己为了理想、为了口号久经沙场出生入死，他们大多数人一生都是破碎的状态。
可以看看陈宝国演的汉武帝，去探望乡亲父老，被一拄着拐的老兵骂，现实比电视剧更残忍，那些留在部队的还好，那些返乡的一生大多数时间都是煎熬，与课本、电视剧中完全不同。
前两年还看到，有探望那个年代老兵的博主，去探望一老兵，一你问对党对自己过去有什么自豪的故事，那老头瞬间来了精气神，口吐各种国粹。那个年代很多很多原谅不了自己，我爷爷表弟也是那种，他去参军后儿子为了口吃的晚上去偷抓鱼淹死、老婆父母饥荒饿的病死、他退伍后，直接精神崩溃，每天骑着自行车串亲戚，一生都在骑自行车串亲戚的路上，很多人都对他指指点点，现在想想他对自己应该很自责。
我们看到的这些电视剧、课本、都是美化的艺术品，现实很残酷。我爷爷是在内战退下来的，对他而言内战是一种煎熬，他宁愿做逃兵都不愿意参与内战，做逃兵也很难，他一米八多，脱下军装哪一刻他都知道自己会被抓，他身高太显眼了，几天就被抓了，他和当时的首长以前一个战壕里的战友，了解原因后给他写了封信，算是通行证给他放了。
后来那首长的儿子在电视节目中回忆他父亲的话，才明白为何会给我爷放了，他儿子回忆，他睡觉就能梦到许多父母妻儿找他要父亲、儿子。
少看一些书本上的故事，那个年代大多数人都是破碎的状态。
$BTC $ETH $LDO #btc #eth #ldo
Los que estamos en corto, resistan, que no les tiemblen las manos en cerrar su posición, vamos a ganar!!! Se viene buena caida 💯😎🍀🤞🏻 #btc
Jedd:
Se llama reposicionarse en una mejor entrada, ya que el precio lo permite. Gracias por estar pendiente, un saludo
🚨 $BTC Since June 2025, every FOMC decision has led to Bitcoin trading lower within the next 14 days.
June 2025 - BTC dropped -6.3%
July 2025 - BTC dropped -5.0%
Sep 2025 - 25bps cut. BTC dropped -6.7%
Oct 2025 - 25bps cut. BTC dropped -10.0%
Dec 2025 - 25bps cut. BTC dropped -8.2%
Jan 2026 - BTC dropped - 32.8%
Mar 2026 - BTC dropped -8.7%
Now Bitcoin is entering April FOMC while sitting directly under the same rejection zone. Maybe this time is different but the last 7 times, FOMC was not the breakout catalyst, it was where late longs got trapped. #btc #bitcoin #fomc
June 2025 - BTC dropped -6.3%
July 2025 - BTC dropped -5.0%
Sep 2025 - 25bps cut. BTC dropped -6.7%
Oct 2025 - 25bps cut. BTC dropped -10.0%
Dec 2025 - 25bps cut. BTC dropped -8.2%
Jan 2026 - BTC dropped - 32.8%
Mar 2026 - BTC dropped -8.7%
Now Bitcoin is entering April FOMC while sitting directly under the same rejection zone. Maybe this time is different but the last 7 times, FOMC was not the breakout catalyst, it was where late longs got trapped. #btc #bitcoin #fomc
Proper_Trader:
claim $10 here in red packet 🥰🧧
https://app.binance.com/uni-qr/Wfirxrtd?utm_medium=web_share_copy
🔥 Hôm qua (27/4), có tới 9.905 BTC được chuyển vào các sàn giao dịch mức cao nhất trong vòng 30 ngày qua.
Tại sao đây là tín hiệu xấu? Rất đơn giản: khi người nắm giữ Bitcoin chuyển coin vào sàn, điều đó thường có nghĩa là họ đang chuẩn bị bán ra. Càng nhiều coin đổ vào sàn, áp lực bán càng lớn.
Trong bối cảnh Bitcoin vừa có một đợt tăng giá khá mạnh, làn sóng chốt lời này có thể tạo ra lực cản đáng kể, khiến đà tăng khó duy trì trong ngắn hạn.
⚠️ Thông tin chỉ mang tính tham khảo, không phải lời khuyên đầu tư
#bitcoin #btc $BTC
Tại sao đây là tín hiệu xấu? Rất đơn giản: khi người nắm giữ Bitcoin chuyển coin vào sàn, điều đó thường có nghĩa là họ đang chuẩn bị bán ra. Càng nhiều coin đổ vào sàn, áp lực bán càng lớn.
Trong bối cảnh Bitcoin vừa có một đợt tăng giá khá mạnh, làn sóng chốt lời này có thể tạo ra lực cản đáng kể, khiến đà tăng khó duy trì trong ngắn hạn.
⚠️ Thông tin chỉ mang tính tham khảo, không phải lời khuyên đầu tư
#bitcoin #btc $BTC
$BTC
So far, BTC is moving as expected. As mentioned, we just observed a bit of retracement on BTC. We may see a bit more retracement towards 73k, but our bias remains unchanged. We are still expecting BTC in the 80k area. This bias is valid as long as it holds above the 73k level.
We will try to keep updating accordingly !!!
#btc #bitcoin #crypto
Click below to Take Trade
So far, BTC is moving as expected. As mentioned, we just observed a bit of retracement on BTC. We may see a bit more retracement towards 73k, but our bias remains unchanged. We are still expecting BTC in the 80k area. This bias is valid as long as it holds above the 73k level.
We will try to keep updating accordingly !!!
#btc #bitcoin #crypto
Click below to Take Trade
Now I'll tell you one thing that will turn your idea of the market in your head.
We used to think that falling is as easy as growing up. But no.
Here, we take our favourite bitcoin for $76.9 thousand for analysis and simulate two situations:
📈 To reach $92 thousand (+15.1 thousand) you only need to pour ~$190 million into the market.
📉 But in order to collapse the price to $62 thousand (-14.9 thousand), you need to withdraw as much as $1.319 billion from the market!
Think about it: the price change is almost the same, but the difference is 6.9 times! It's like pushing a trampoline down: it springs backwards, but it's easier than throwing it up.
Why so?
The model takes into account a bunch of factors: open interest, liquidations, margin flows. And now all this shows us that there is a concrete wall from the limit orders at the bottom. Sellers will have to sweat a lot to break through the floor. But at the top there is rarefied air🪁 buyers can disperse the market with little effort if you compare it with sellers.
My opinion: this is a bullish imbalance. When it takes almost one and a half lards for the fall, and the ridiculous 190 lambs for growth, it means that the market does not physically want to go down.
So don't be surprised if we see $92k sooner than $62K. Mathematics is on our side.
This is not financial advice, it's just figures that are publicly available for which we can thank the market maker$BTC $ETH $SOL #BinanceSquareTalks #analysis #btc
We used to think that falling is as easy as growing up. But no.
Here, we take our favourite bitcoin for $76.9 thousand for analysis and simulate two situations:
📈 To reach $92 thousand (+15.1 thousand) you only need to pour ~$190 million into the market.
📉 But in order to collapse the price to $62 thousand (-14.9 thousand), you need to withdraw as much as $1.319 billion from the market!
Think about it: the price change is almost the same, but the difference is 6.9 times! It's like pushing a trampoline down: it springs backwards, but it's easier than throwing it up.
Why so?
The model takes into account a bunch of factors: open interest, liquidations, margin flows. And now all this shows us that there is a concrete wall from the limit orders at the bottom. Sellers will have to sweat a lot to break through the floor. But at the top there is rarefied air🪁 buyers can disperse the market with little effort if you compare it with sellers.
My opinion: this is a bullish imbalance. When it takes almost one and a half lards for the fall, and the ridiculous 190 lambs for growth, it means that the market does not physically want to go down.
So don't be surprised if we see $92k sooner than $62K. Mathematics is on our side.
This is not financial advice, it's just figures that are publicly available for which we can thank the market maker$BTC $ETH $SOL #BinanceSquareTalks #analysis #btc
今天晚上凌晨2点有美联储议息决议，同时这也是鲍威尔交棒沃什前最后一次主持新闻发布会。这是当前宏观事件博弈的一个重要节点。BTC在事件落地前一般都会缩量观望，波动率已经被压缩到事件一兑现就要立刻释放的临界点。 如果结合最近的伊朗停火谈判停滞、原油重回104美元上方、3月美国CPI从2.4%跳升到3.3%、美联储核心PCE预期被上调到2.7%。这就形成了一个连锁反应的链条，高油价到通胀粘性再到央行更难松口，也就是说今晚美联储在宣布维持利率不变后的鲍威尔讲话，他的措辞存在潜在的偏鹰派言论（个人猜测）。
如果今晚是鸽派或者中性偏鸽，那么当BTC站上77500整数关口再加上站稳78000，这种推进会让4小时MACD金叉延续（当前整在测试金叉）、让日线骗炮，就能到78500一带去进行反弹测试。所以你们今天手里的多单减仓后把止损放在76000整数关口下方，关注能不能突破78500，讲完话后也没办法突破就止盈走人。
如果今晚是偏鹰，刚才这一波冲77900后正在回测77500，那么当BTC站不稳77500甚至再跌破76500，就把日线波段从反弹再次打下去。这种会让日线继续死叉，加上4小时就再次二次放量开口往下，就容易形成再次探底75600的测试。如果连75600也守不住，就要小心76100被一把打穿，直接加速下跌测试74600-74200的支撑，如果还是顶不住，那么只有70900的支撑了。如果走的是偏鹰的这条路就要注意不要去轻易抢多。
当前的关键位我再单独拎一下，77500是日内核心关键位，78000是日线多空分界线，下方76500是第一个防守位，75600是短线多头的底线，跌破就要留意下跌那条路线。#btc #ETH
如果今晚是鸽派或者中性偏鸽，那么当BTC站上77500整数关口再加上站稳78000，这种推进会让4小时MACD金叉延续（当前整在测试金叉）、让日线骗炮，就能到78500一带去进行反弹测试。所以你们今天手里的多单减仓后把止损放在76000整数关口下方，关注能不能突破78500，讲完话后也没办法突破就止盈走人。
如果今晚是偏鹰，刚才这一波冲77900后正在回测77500，那么当BTC站不稳77500甚至再跌破76500，就把日线波段从反弹再次打下去。这种会让日线继续死叉，加上4小时就再次二次放量开口往下，就容易形成再次探底75600的测试。如果连75600也守不住，就要小心76100被一把打穿，直接加速下跌测试74600-74200的支撑，如果还是顶不住，那么只有70900的支撑了。如果走的是偏鹰的这条路就要注意不要去轻易抢多。
当前的关键位我再单独拎一下，77500是日内核心关键位，78000是日线多空分界线，下方76500是第一个防守位，75600是短线多头的底线，跌破就要留意下跌那条路线。#btc #ETH
🚨 𝐖𝐀𝐊𝐄 𝐔𝐏! 𝐘𝐎𝐔'𝐑𝐄 𝐀𝐁𝐎𝐔𝐓 𝐓𝐎 𝐌𝐀𝐊𝐄 𝐓𝐇𝐄 𝐁𝐈𝐆𝐆𝐄𝐒𝐓 𝐌𝐈𝐒𝐓𝐀𝐊𝐄 𝐎𝐅 𝐘𝐎𝐔𝐑 𝐋𝐈𝐅𝐄! 🚨
This isn't just a post. This is a 𝐃𝐈𝐑𝐄𝐂𝐓 𝐖𝐀𝐑𝐍𝐈𝐍𝐆.
Every second you scroll, you're losing 𝐅𝐎𝐑𝐓𝐔𝐍𝐄𝐒. 💸
The window for 𝐁𝐈𝐓𝐂𝐎𝐈𝐍 𝐂𝐑𝐘𝐏𝐓𝐎 is slamming shut. ⏳ 𝐍𝐎𝐖.
This isn't a 'buy if you feel like it.' This is a '𝐁𝐔𝐘 𝐍𝐎𝐖 or face 𝐄𝐓𝐄𝐑𝐍𝐀𝐋 𝐑𝐄𝐆𝐑𝐄𝐓.' 💀$BTC
While you're still deciding, smart money is entering. They're not waiting for permission. They're building 𝐋𝐄𝐆𝐀𝐂𝐈𝐄𝐒. 🚀
Are you going to be the one who tells stories of 'I *should* have'? Or the one who's already living the dream? 🤔
Your choice. Your 𝐅𝐔𝐓𝐔𝐑𝐄.
Don't be a spectator to your own downfall.
The rocket to financial 𝐅𝐑𝐄𝐄𝐃𝐎𝐌 is lifting off. 🚀$BTC
Get in. Get 𝐁𝐈𝐓𝐂𝐎𝐈𝐍. 𝐁𝐔𝐘 𝐍𝐎𝐖. 🔥
No excuses. No second chances. 🚫$BTC
#StrategyBTCPurchase #btc
This isn't just a post. This is a 𝐃𝐈𝐑𝐄𝐂𝐓 𝐖𝐀𝐑𝐍𝐈𝐍𝐆.
Every second you scroll, you're losing 𝐅𝐎𝐑𝐓𝐔𝐍𝐄𝐒. 💸
The window for 𝐁𝐈𝐓𝐂𝐎𝐈𝐍 𝐂𝐑𝐘𝐏𝐓𝐎 is slamming shut. ⏳ 𝐍𝐎𝐖.
This isn't a 'buy if you feel like it.' This is a '𝐁𝐔𝐘 𝐍𝐎𝐖 or face 𝐄𝐓𝐄𝐑𝐍𝐀𝐋 𝐑𝐄𝐆𝐑𝐄𝐓.' 💀$BTC
While you're still deciding, smart money is entering. They're not waiting for permission. They're building 𝐋𝐄𝐆𝐀𝐂𝐈𝐄𝐒. 🚀
Are you going to be the one who tells stories of 'I *should* have'? Or the one who's already living the dream? 🤔
Your choice. Your 𝐅𝐔𝐓𝐔𝐑𝐄.
Don't be a spectator to your own downfall.
The rocket to financial 𝐅𝐑𝐄𝐄𝐃𝐎𝐌 is lifting off. 🚀$BTC
Get in. Get 𝐁𝐈𝐓𝐂𝐎𝐈𝐍. 𝐁𝐔𝐘 𝐍𝐎𝐖. 🔥
No excuses. No second chances. 🚫$BTC
#StrategyBTCPurchase #btc
$BTC
Precision at its peak. 79.5k top called.
76.2k liquidity sweep executed flawlessly.
You either trade the structural blueprint, or you become the exit liquidity. The receipts are public.
Now we Will wait for Market Structure Shift in LTF to long.
Spot Buyers can start taking small positions
#btc #TradingTales #Market_Update
Precision at its peak. 79.5k top called.
76.2k liquidity sweep executed flawlessly.
You either trade the structural blueprint, or you become the exit liquidity. The receipts are public.
Now we Will wait for Market Structure Shift in LTF to long.
Spot Buyers can start taking small positions
#btc #TradingTales #Market_Update
The New World - BTC:
Catching tops and bottoms requires skill; stay sharp and adapt to market shifts ahead.
You don’t need 100x to make money.
You need it to lose fast.
High leverage feels exciting at first. Big positions. Big potential.
But the truth is simple: the higher you go — the less room you have to be wrong.
And you will be wrong sometimes.
That’s where most accounts die. Not from bad ideas — but from zero margin for error.
Low leverage isn’t “boring”. It just gives you time to think, adjust, survive.
And in trading, survival is everything.
If you’re still chasing big leverage — ask yourself: are you trying to grow… or just feel something?
Save this. You’ll need it later.
#btc #eth #crypto #leverage #money
$BTC $ETH
$BNB
High leverage feels exciting at first. Big positions. Big potential.
But the truth is simple: the higher you go — the less room you have to be wrong.
And you will be wrong sometimes.
That’s where most accounts die. Not from bad ideas — but from zero margin for error.
Low leverage isn’t “boring”. It just gives you time to think, adjust, survive.
And in trading, survival is everything.
If you’re still chasing big leverage — ask yourself: are you trying to grow… or just feel something?
Save this. You’ll need it later.
#btc #eth #crypto #leverage #money
$BTC $ETH
$BNB
Nadia Al-Shammari:
هدية مني لك تجدها مثبت في اول منشور🌹
BTC just triggered a short squeeze — quick upside liquidity grab 💥
Buyers stepping in fast, momentum flipping briefly!
$BTC
🟢 LIQUIDITY ZONE HIT 🟢
Short liquidation spotted 🧨
$60.6K cleared at $76729.80
Upside liquidity swept — react NOW or watch the market shift 👀
🎯 TP Targets:
TP1: ~$77050
TP2: ~$77300
TP3: ~$77600
#btc
Buyers stepping in fast, momentum flipping briefly!
$BTC
🟢 LIQUIDITY ZONE HIT 🟢
Short liquidation spotted 🧨
$60.6K cleared at $76729.80
Upside liquidity swept — react NOW or watch the market shift 👀
🎯 TP Targets:
TP1: ~$77050
TP2: ~$77300
TP3: ~$77600
#btc
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