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Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran has reignited the debate over the central bank’s monetary policy outlook. In a new public statement, Miran argued that the Fed should cut interest rates by more than 100 basis points during 2026 — far more than what most financial markets, and especially crypto traders, currently expect. The crypto market is still pricing in only two 25-basis-point cuts for the entire year.

Miran: Policy is too tight, inflation will not re-accelerate
In an interview with FOX Business, Miran urged the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to move decisively with stronger rate reductions. According to him:
inflation is unlikely to flare up again,monetary policy remains restrictive,the economy is running below potential.
His stance diverges from more cautious Fed officials — such as Governor Chris Waller — who said there is no need to rush rate cuts, although he acknowledged that a softening labor market still points toward easing.

The latest FOMC minutes confirmed that most policymakers are open to additional rate cuts, as long as inflation continues its downward trend.

Miran’s term is ending, but his message is louder than ever
Although Miran’s term ends at the end of this month, he continues to publicly advocate for deeper cuts. Last year, he was the only FOMC member who voted for a 50-basis-point cut at three consecutive meetings — in September, October, and December.
Based on his recent comments, he would likely vote for another 50-basis-point reduction at the upcoming January FOMC meeting.

Crypto markets don’t believe in aggressive easing — pricing in just 50 bps
Despite Miran’s call for substantial easing, the crypto market remains skeptical.

Polymarket data shows:
27% probability of two 25-basis-point cuts,22% probability of scenarios involving 75, 100, or 125 bps in total cuts,only 11% probability of a major rate-cut cycle.
In short, traders expect the Fed to remain far more cautious than Miran suggests.

Tom Barkin: The Fed must balance jobs and inflation in 2026
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin offered his own perspective on the 2026 outlook during a speech in North Carolina.
He emphasized that:
unemployment remains historically low,inflation has eased but still sits above the 2% target,monetary policy will require “careful, well-calibrated decisions.”
Barkin noted that the three rate cuts last year were primarily a response to labor-market weakness. Current policy, he said, is now within the estimated “neutral range.”
The next major market catalyst will be the new macroeconomic data — especially the December CPI report, due next week. November inflation came in significantly softer than expected, but New York Fed President John Williams warned that the numbers may be distorted due to the recent government shutdown.

#Fed , #interestrates , #FederalReserve , #fomc , #USPolitics

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Notice:
,,The information and views presented in this article are intended solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice in any situation. The content of these pages should not be regarded as financial, investment, or any other form of advice. We caution that investing in cryptocurrencies can be risky and may lead to financial losses.“

Financial markets will turn their attention next week to fresh inflation data from the United States, which could have a meaningful impact on Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market. The release of December’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) comes at a sensitive moment—just ahead of the January meeting of the FOMC, where policymakers will reassess the outlook for interest rates.

First Major Macro Release of the Year
December CPI data is scheduled for release on January 13, marking the first major macroeconomic indicator of the new year. Investors will be closely watching both headline CPI and core CPI, which excludes volatile components such as food and energy.
November’s inflation report surprised markets by coming in well below expectations, reinforcing the narrative that inflationary pressures in the U.S. economy are easing. Headline CPI slowed to 2.7%, while core inflation fell to 2.6%, the lowest levels seen since March 2021.
However, New York Fed President John Williams cautioned that recent inflation readings may have been partially distorted by technical factors related to the U.S. government shutdown. As a result, December’s report is widely viewed as a crucial test of whether the disinflation trend is genuine and sustainable.

The Fed Faces a Key Decision on Rates
The upcoming CPI release is expected to play a central role in shaping the Federal Reserve’s decision-making at the January FOMC meeting. Policymakers are weighing whether to proceed with a fourth consecutive interest rate cut or pause after the recent easing cycle.
Market expectations currently lean toward a hold. Data from Polymarket suggests a roughly 91% probability that the Fed will keep rates unchanged, while there remains about a 10% chance of a 25-basis-point cut should inflation data come in significantly weaker than expected.

Potential Impact on Bitcoin and Crypto Markets
CPI releases have historically triggered heightened volatility across risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Cooler-than-expected inflation would likely strengthen the case for further monetary easing, a scenario that has traditionally supported Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.
Such an outcome could add momentum to the ongoing crypto rally. Bitcoin entered the new year by climbing above $90,000 and is already up around 6% year-to-date. Conversely, an inflation reading above expectations could dampen market sentiment and prompt a short-term sell-off, particularly among higher-risk digital assets.
Minutes from recent FOMC meetings indicate that most Fed officials remain open to additional rate cuts if inflation continues to decline over time. In that scenario, policymakers would likely shift their focus toward the labor market, which continues to show signs of weakness.

#Fed , #cpi , #fomc , #BTC , #bitcoin

Stay one step ahead – follow our profile and stay informed about everything important in the world of cryptocurrencies!
Notice:
,,The information and views presented in this article are intended solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice in any situation. The content of these pages should not be regarded as financial, investment, or any other form of advice. We caution that investing in cryptocurrencies can be risky and may lead to financial losses.“

Today’s Fed Day is absolutely LOADED — volatility is guaranteed.

🔑 What the Market Is Watching RIGHT NOW:
• Interest Rate Decision
• Federal Reserve Statement Tone (Hawkish vs Dovish)
• Jerome Powell’s Press Conference
• Clues on 2026 Rate Cuts
• Impact on Bitcoin, ETH & Altcoins

📊 Why This Fed Day Matters So Much:
🔹 Crypto & stocks often make sharp moves within minutes
🔹 A dovish signal = risk assets pump
🔹 A hawkish tone = short-term pressure
🔹 Liquidity expectations decide the next trend

🪙 Crypto Traders — Pay Attention:
• BTC reacts first, alts follow
• High leverage = high risk today
• Fake breakouts are common on Fed days
• Patience beats FOMO 📉📈

👀 Smart Money Is Asking:
👉 Will rates stay higher for longer?
👉 Is inflation really under control?
👉 Is this the pivot markets are waiting for?

💬 Let’s Talk:
Bullish or bearish after today’s Fed decision?
Drop your view 👇 and follow for daily crypto + macro updates 🚀

#FedDay #FOMC #Bitcoin #CryptoNews #BinanceSquare #BTC #Ethereum #Altcoins #CryptoMarket #Macro #InterestRates #JeromePowell #MarketVolatility #CryptoTrading