🚨🚨🚨 Decision Week.. All eyes on Wednesday (December 10)
The Federal Reserve issues its last interest rate decision of the year — and anticipation is at its highest.
🔹 What is the market pricing in now?
• The market is pricing a 87% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut to a range of 3.50% – 3.75%
• Unemployment at 4.4% + slowing inflation = a clear green light for Jerome Powell
• Goldman Sachs: the cut has become "almost certain"
🎭 The real game is not in the cut itself… but in Powell's words!
The cut is fully priced in, but the market is waiting:
• Will Powell hint at a continued cut in 2026?
• Or will he give a cautious tone that curbs any Santa Rally?
🇺🇸 Politically…
Any tightening from Powell will be temporary, as the Trump administration clearly leans towards a dovish policy.
And the next Federal Reserve chair in 5 months—whether it’s Kevin Hassett or someone else—will align with this trend.
📈 Instruments that will be directly affected by the decision:
$SPY $QQQ $TLT $GLD $BTC
#اخبار