加密市场观察都在盯
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China's Economy Faces Challenges in 2025, Better in 2026?
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China's economic growth is expected to slow down in 2025, with experts predicting a growth rate of around 4.5%, below the government's target of "around 5%". The country's service sector has already shown signs of weakening, with the services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) falling to 52.1 in November, its lowest level in five months.
Economic Challenges
- Weak Consumption: Weak consumer demand poses a significant risk to China's economy, with 73% of experts surveyed by MERICS citing it as a major concern.
- Debt: Excessive national, provincial, and local government debt levels have weakened public spending and financial stability, with 71% of experts identifying it as a significant risk.
- Real Estate Market: China's property crisis remains a concern, with new home prices inching up but resale prices continuing to slide. The oversupply of housing units is estimated to be around 60 million units.
Government Response
To address these challenges, the government is expected to implement stimulus measures, including¹:
- Fiscal Policy: A fiscal deficit ratio of 4.0% of GDP, up from 3.0% in 2024, to support growth.
- Monetary Policy: Interest rate cuts to boost economic activity.
- Investment in Technology: Focus on developing "new quality productive forces", including AI, clean energy, and biotechnology.
Opportunities
Despite the challenges, China's economy is expected to benefit from:
- Artificial Intelligence: AI adoption is expected to boost productivity and growth, with Goldman Sachs estimating a 0.2-0.3 percentage point boost to China's GDP by 2030.
- Urbanization: Further liberalization of the hukou system could boost urban consumption and facilitate a more efficient labor market.
Overall, China's economy faces significant challenges in 2025, but the government's stimulus measures and focus on technological innovation could help mitigate these risks and support growth.
#加密市场观察都在盯
#ETH（二饼）
#BinanceBlockchainWeek
China's economic growth is expected to slow down in 2025, with experts predicting a growth rate of around 4.5%, below the government's target of "around 5%". The country's service sector has already shown signs of weakening, with the services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) falling to 52.1 in November, its lowest level in five months.
Economic Challenges
- Weak Consumption: Weak consumer demand poses a significant risk to China's economy, with 73% of experts surveyed by MERICS citing it as a major concern.
- Debt: Excessive national, provincial, and local government debt levels have weakened public spending and financial stability, with 71% of experts identifying it as a significant risk.
- Real Estate Market: China's property crisis remains a concern, with new home prices inching up but resale prices continuing to slide. The oversupply of housing units is estimated to be around 60 million units.
Government Response
To address these challenges, the government is expected to implement stimulus measures, including¹:
- Fiscal Policy: A fiscal deficit ratio of 4.0% of GDP, up from 3.0% in 2024, to support growth.
- Monetary Policy: Interest rate cuts to boost economic activity.
- Investment in Technology: Focus on developing "new quality productive forces", including AI, clean energy, and biotechnology.
Opportunities
Despite the challenges, China's economy is expected to benefit from:
- Artificial Intelligence: AI adoption is expected to boost productivity and growth, with Goldman Sachs estimating a 0.2-0.3 percentage point boost to China's GDP by 2030.
- Urbanization: Further liberalization of the hukou system could boost urban consumption and facilitate a more efficient labor market.
Overall, China's economy faces significant challenges in 2025, but the government's stimulus measures and focus on technological innovation could help mitigate these risks and support growth.
#加密市场观察都在盯
#ETH（二饼）
#BinanceBlockchainWeek
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1️⃣ Raid arrived on schedule! Still the 30U “big hair” – more wolves than meat. New project expected in 5 days, likely another 30–40U, nothing game-changing.
2️⃣ No grand lessons today – just giveaways! Fill in my invitation code in your wallet, like, follow, and share. Tomorrow morning, based on BNB’s daily closing price, winners in the comments get Binance T-shirts. Fair and transparent!
3️⃣ Save 30% on fees with Binance Wallet! Fill in invitation code TIANWEN:
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• Step 3: Confirm TIANWEN
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$BTC $ETH $ZEC Explosive! The Federal Reserve is about to be "taken down" by Trump, and privacy coins are set to surge to record highs 🔥!
Family, who understands this! Trump directly sent his man Hassett to seize the Fed Chair position, this guy is wild enough to say "I'll lower interest rates as soon as I take office," the market went crazy——the probability of rate cuts soared to 84.9%, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell below 4%, this is not just easing, it’s like opening the floodgates 🍷!
You should know that Hassett is a die-hard supporter of Trump, he has previously been involved in tax cuts and promoting "Made in America," and now he claims "data supports an immediate rate cut," with analysts saying if he takes office, he might directly initiate a 50 basis point aggressive cut mode by 2026, cumulatively cutting more than 100 basis points! This move is like turning the money printing machine to the max, global funds will be lost!
Looking at the current economy, it’s clearly in terrible shape: the job market is constantly laying off workers, the unemployment rate has reached a new high since 2021, ordinary people have no money to spend, and retail data is so bad it’s below expectations; the Federal Reserve itself is a mess, with the government shutdown causing key data to expire, internal doves and hawks arguing uncontrollably, decision-making is becoming difficult!
But the most critical thing is, the rate-cut train can’t be stopped! The market is betting on at least four cuts next year, and in February 2025, the Federal Reserve will undergo a major overhaul, no matter who becomes the chair, easing is a done deal! And $ZEC has already taken off early——from $35 in August to now $750, a staggering 2200% increase in three months, the entire privacy coin sector's market cap has exceeded $64 billion, this is a signal that liquidity has entered early!
After all, on-chain monitoring is becoming increasingly strict, even Bitcoin can be tracked and seized, privacy coins have become a necessity, coupled with the ZEC halving which constricts supply, institutions and big players are crazily increasing their positions! Brothers, can Trump really handle the Federal Reserve? Will the rate cuts be even more aggressive than expected? Can $ZEC break through $1000 riding this wave? Let’s chat in the comments about your predictions and see who the real prophet is!
(Market has risks, investment needs caution)
#加密市场观察都在盯 #美联储降息 #隐私币 #特朗普经济学
Family, who understands this! Trump directly sent his man Hassett to seize the Fed Chair position, this guy is wild enough to say "I'll lower interest rates as soon as I take office," the market went crazy——the probability of rate cuts soared to 84.9%, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell below 4%, this is not just easing, it’s like opening the floodgates 🍷!
You should know that Hassett is a die-hard supporter of Trump, he has previously been involved in tax cuts and promoting "Made in America," and now he claims "data supports an immediate rate cut," with analysts saying if he takes office, he might directly initiate a 50 basis point aggressive cut mode by 2026, cumulatively cutting more than 100 basis points! This move is like turning the money printing machine to the max, global funds will be lost!
Looking at the current economy, it’s clearly in terrible shape: the job market is constantly laying off workers, the unemployment rate has reached a new high since 2021, ordinary people have no money to spend, and retail data is so bad it’s below expectations; the Federal Reserve itself is a mess, with the government shutdown causing key data to expire, internal doves and hawks arguing uncontrollably, decision-making is becoming difficult!
But the most critical thing is, the rate-cut train can’t be stopped! The market is betting on at least four cuts next year, and in February 2025, the Federal Reserve will undergo a major overhaul, no matter who becomes the chair, easing is a done deal! And $ZEC has already taken off early——from $35 in August to now $750, a staggering 2200% increase in three months, the entire privacy coin sector's market cap has exceeded $64 billion, this is a signal that liquidity has entered early!
After all, on-chain monitoring is becoming increasingly strict, even Bitcoin can be tracked and seized, privacy coins have become a necessity, coupled with the ZEC halving which constricts supply, institutions and big players are crazily increasing their positions! Brothers, can Trump really handle the Federal Reserve? Will the rate cuts be even more aggressive than expected? Can $ZEC break through $1000 riding this wave? Let’s chat in the comments about your predictions and see who the real prophet is!
(Market has risks, investment needs caution)
#加密市场观察都在盯 #美联储降息 #隐私币 #特朗普经济学
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