比特币波动性

The ultimate choice for BTC is approaching! Will it break 100,000 or drop back to 80,000? Retail investors' key decision depends on this core signal.

Recently, many people have been asking: BTC has skyrocketed, can it reach 100,000 USD, or will it turn around and drop back to 80,000? Don’t worry, after reading this content, you should have the right answer.

From a macro market perspective, if Hassert becomes the new chairman of the Federal Reserve, the market will first cheer and then calm down. This wave of BTC rising is likely taking advantage of the expectation of a short-term weakening of the dollar, but expectations have a time limit. If it rises too quickly, it is easy to exhaust, and funds may flow back at any time to crash the market; the rising momentum seems borrowed.

From a technical structure perspective: Key resistance level: 94,000 is the battleground for bulls and bears. If it breaks through, there is a chance for 100,000 USD.

Potential risk: The MACD white line and yellow line are below the zero axis. Although there is a golden cross, the trading volume does not increase, making it difficult for the rise to continue.

Support levels below: If the rise fails, first look at 87,000 - 88,000. If it cannot hold, 84,000 is the bull's bottom line. If it falls to 80,600, market confidence will collapse.

Key points for retail operations:
Reduce positions on highs: Near 94,000, if the trading volume cannot keep up, take profits first to leave enough funds for bottom fishing.

Buy on dips: Don’t chase high; buy in batches at 87,000 - 88,000 and 84,000 to lower the cost.
Set a good stop-loss; bottom fish near 84,000, set the stop-loss below 82,000. Protecting capital is more important than making money.

I personally believe that the probability of BTC violently breaking through 100,000 USD is less than 30%. It is more likely to first pretend to rise to 94,000 or even higher, then quickly fall back to wash out to 87,000 or even 84,000, solidifying the foundation before attacking again. The market needs to clear out floating capital to move more steadily.

Follow me, and I will clearly provide the best second entry points and traps to avoid in 👉淘金基地. The market is highly volatile; you need someone who dares to speak the truth and can understand the market logic to guide you. Remember, in a bull market, most people lose money not because of falling prices, but because they blindly chase highs when prices are rising. #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #比特币波动性 #加密市场观察

Morning Share
Those who didn't listen to the prince's liquidation or cost price stop loss during last night's live broadcast should be trapped. I have already made it clear that chasing a short position is not a good idea; there is a high probability that we are seeing a bottom candlestick. As expected, after the prince ended the broadcast, it surged upwards. However, I only took a short position because I had already rested when it surged upwards.

This week, the market is bound to have big ups and downs. As long as the big coin doesn't drop below 800, after Wednesday, it will be the recent high point. Regardless of whether the Federal Reserve cuts rates or not, there will definitely be a big drop. Focus on shorting from Wednesday to Thursday, and avoid going long if possible.

The probability of returning to 940 on Monday and Tuesday is increasing, and it may even continue up to 950. No matter how high the big coin can go, taking a medium to short-term short position will be very comfortable.

If the Federal Reserve confirms a rate cut, there is still a chance for further increases by the end of the year or early next year, and 800 could be the bottom.

Intraday Operations
btc897 go long; or break through 915 to chase long, target 930 or even higher.


bnb890 go long, 884 add position, target 910-920

#美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察 #比特币波动性

This weekend's layout revolves around tonight's market trend.

Bitcoin

· After briefly breaking below 88,000, it quickly rebounded to 89,000, which is currently viewed as a false break.
· The key to the subsequent trend: Can it hold above the 90,000 mark tonight?
· If the daily closes above 90,000, then after a pullback tomorrow, a low buy toward a rebound is expected.
· If it cannot hold, then the focus will remain on short positions.

Ethereum

· In the short term, it is clearly under pressure at 3,050, which corresponds to the importance of Bitcoin's 90,000 mark.

Overall, the closing position tonight will determine tomorrow's short-term direction. #比特币波动性

The wave of fintech is surging, where is the future headed?

The current complex and active situation in the financial and technological fields:

1. The cryptocurrency market remains hot, with continuous news and developments. Zhao's statements are bold, but the future price direction of Bitcoin is full of uncertainty, and it is difficult to predict whether his suggestions will be adopted. Bitcoin price fluctuations have a huge impact on short sellers, and while the operations of short-selling whales can yield high returns, they also come with high risks; ordinary investors should not blindly imitate. The U.S. SEC's regulatory stance on cryptocurrency privacy is unclear, and regardless of the final rules, it will have a significant impact on industry development.

2. In terms of the U.S. economy, Ha's predictions regarding economic growth and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts reflect an optimistic outlook for U.S. economic development, but "black swan" events could change the situation at any time.

3. The conflict between Xiao Ma and the EU, as well as Huang Mao's warnings, reflect ongoing competition and friction in the economic and technological fields internationally, and such conflicts may affect the global market and trade patterns.

4. Zhudi Holdings and Hong Kong Polytechnic University have established a stablecoin research and development center, demonstrating the vitality of financial innovation, but also facing many challenges such as regulatory compliance and technological implementation. France's BPCE bank has launched cryptocurrency trading services, indicating that traditional financial institutions are increasingly accepting cryptocurrencies, though user acceptance still needs to be observed.

In summary, the current changes in the financial and technological fields are rapid, with both opportunities and risks coexisting. Whether investors or practitioners, it is essential to maintain keen insights and a cautious attitude.

If you want to delve into the crypto circle but can’t find a clue, and want to quickly get started and understand the information gap, click on my avatar to follow me for first-hand information and in-depth analysis.

#比特币波动性

Today, the trend of Bitcoin shows a small upward momentum, but the实体部分相对纤细，from the 1H technical chart, the price is still at the upper side of the oscillation zone. Given the high position, it is prudent to focus on the空为主导.
Bitcoin: around 89500-90200空,补 at 90500, looking down at 88500-86500#比特币波动性 $BTC

3 million USDT, one paste, instantly zeroed. Your asset security may only be one wrong copy away.

Before going on a business trip, I had my wife transfer a sum of money. After landing, 3 million USDT disappeared from the account. After reporting to the police, I was told it was a "family internal operation" and no case would be filed. My wife cried and said, "I just pasted the mnemonic..."

The truth is alarming: a single copy and paste completely opened the door to wealth.
He stored the mnemonic in WeChat, and his wife's old Android phone had not been updated or changed passwords for years, connected to a WiFi that had been used for three years, and had the so-called "financial assistant" plugin installed—this "fatal combination" allowed hackers to monitor the clipboard in real time. Once the mnemonic is pasted, assets are transferred in seconds, leaving no transfer records.

This is not a movie; it is a real tragedy in the cryptocurrency world.
If you don't want to be the next victim, immediately engrave the following three life-saving rules into your operational habits:

🔒 Three "life-saving iron rules" for digital assets

1️⃣ Mnemonic must be stored offline
Mnemonic = all your wealth. Absolutely forbidden to screenshot, absolutely forbidden to send via WeChat, absolutely forbidden to store in cloud drives.
Write it down on paper or engrave it on a metal plate, locked away in a place only you know.
70% of asset losses stem from a "convenient" screenshot transmission.

2️⃣ Wallet device must remain absolutely "clean"
Prepare an old phone that is not connected to the internet or only used for transfers, installing only the official wallet APP.
Do not connect to public Wi-Fi, do not install any "auxiliary plugins" or "airdrop tools"—they may be reading your clipboard.

3️⃣ Family operations must be supervised throughout
Do not assume that family members can fully understand wallet risks. If you must ask family members for help, open a video, watch closely, verify the address. Any wrong click may lead to a phishing page.

Hackers' server logs are usually cleared in 72 hours; by the time you discover it, the evidence has long disappeared.
In the cryptocurrency world, making money is just the beginning; keeping money is the real skill.

If you have ever taken a convenient screenshot of the mnemonic,
If your phone still has ambiguous "market plugins,"
Now go check, clean up, and re-standardize your operational processes.

Asset security is no small matter; a little more caution means one less painful cry.
Follow An Xin Jie, not only to teach you to see trends but also to accompany you in guarding your territory.
#比特币波动性

The Bank of Japan raised interest rates to 0.75% for the first time since 1995. As soon as the news came out, the yen surged sharply, and the global market was turbulent, with the cryptocurrency market facing a liquidity shock!

As an experienced player in the crypto space, Brother Yu quickly breaks down the core impacts:

After the yen strengthens, the arbitrage funds that borrow yen at low costs and leverage for cryptocurrency trading will be pressured to withdraw, which will directly withdraw the key liquidity supporting the rebound of Bitcoin.

The rise in financing costs may also force leveraged traders to concentrate on reducing positions. In the short term, the volatility in the crypto market will undoubtedly be high, but behind the volatility lies opportunities.

Practical advice for ordinary players:

For those with heavy positions, quickly choose the right time to reduce holdings and secure profits; do not be trapped by greed;

Newcomers with lighter positions should not rush to buy the dip. Instead, observe and wait for the situation to become clear to avoid entering blindly and getting cut.

Remember, the crypto market is never about betting on size; steady progress in a long battle is the way to survive.

This wave of interest rate hikes came quickly and fiercely. Panic is useless; flexible responses are key!

Follow Brother Yu, join the exclusive chat room, avoid pitfalls in real-time + dissect fund movements at the first moment, and accurately seize the profit window.

The greater the volatility, the fatter the opportunities. Follow the experienced players, and steadily capture profits amid fluctuations, no need to panic! #加密市场观察 #比特币波动性 #美国ADP数据超预期

Those who are long and trapped should tremble; this wave of interest rate hikes will have an unprecedented impact on the cryptocurrency market, brothers.

Analysis of the impact of Japan's interest rate hike on the cryptocurrency market on December 18-19
1. Interest Rate Hike Expectations and Background
The Bank of Japan will hold a monetary policy meeting on December 18-19, and the market expects the probability of an interest rate hike to reach 76%-90%. It is expected to raise the policy interest rate from 0.5% to 0.75%, which will be the highest level since 1995.
Core Background:
Japan's inflation has consistently exceeded the 2% target, wage growth is accelerating, and the economic recovery is solid, putting pressure on the yen's depreciation (which once fell to the 155-160 range), raising import costs and exacerbating inflation. The Bank of Japan has already conducted three interest rate hikes in March 2024 (0→0.1%), July (0.1→0.25%), and January 2025 (0.25→0.5%), and this will be the fourth time.
2. Short-term Impact on the Cryptocurrency Market (1-4 Weeks)
1️⃣ Carry Trade Collapse: Bitcoin and others are the first to be affected.
Carry Trade Mechanism: Investors borrow low-interest yen to invest in high-yield cryptocurrencies to obtain interest differentials. After Japan's interest rate hike, borrowing costs rise + yen appreciation, arbitrage profits disappear, forcing liquidation. Market Response: At the beginning of December, when interest rate hike expectations intensified, Bitcoin had already plummeted by 8.2%, Ethereum fell by 11.5%, and liquidation amounts reached $1.5 billion (85% were long positions). Priority Selling Logic: The high liquidity of cryptocurrencies and low repositioning costs make them the first choice for carry traders to liquidate.
2️⃣ Global Liquidity Tightening: Risk Assets Fall Broadly
As the last major central bank in the world to exit easing, Japan's interest rate hike marks a definite tightening of global liquidity. Japanese funds are flowing back from overseas to allocate high-yield Japanese government bonds, reducing incremental funds in the cryptocurrency market, leading to the withdrawal of existing funds. U.S. Treasury yields are rising (Japan is the largest overseas holder of U.S. Treasuries), and the global asset pricing benchmark is moving up, lowering cryptocurrency valuations.
3️⃣ Leverage Liquidation: Short-term Volatility Intensifies
Tight liquidity + falling prices → leveraged positions are forcibly liquidated → further exacerbating the decline, creating negative feedback. The liquidity at the end of the year is itself low, which may trigger a "carry trade massacre" similar to December 2022, and Bitcoin may temporarily fall below $80,000 $BTC $ETH #比特币波动性 #ETH走势分析

December 1-5 First Week Summary: This week, Bitcoin received in the range of 17,200 points, and Ethereum received in the range of 920 points! The volatility range this week was actually not small, and there weren't many trades; many trades were short-term positions turned into medium-term ones, like Bitcoin with thousands of points and Ethereum with hundreds of points. However, I believe that as long as friends follow the Old Bull's thinking, they will definitely make some profits! As long as you strictly execute the trading strategy, making a profit is that simple. Daily profits, you can achieve too! I don't have the level to take profits on each trade, but I have the ability to help you earn steadily. Different investment amounts have different profit plans, and Old Bull's goal is one: to achieve a win-win! $BTC
$ETH
#加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #比特币波动性

$BTC 《Eight Years in the Crypto World: A Few Truths I’ve Realized》

I entered the crypto world at 30, and now I’m 38. In eight years, I’ve gone from riches to rags, from aggressive to stable; the market has taught me more than any book ever could.

Someone asked me: "What does it take to trade cryptocurrencies?"

I simply said: Stay calm.

In 2019, my account first broke seven figures, and I felt invincible.

Then came a massive crash, sending me right back to square one.

At that moment, I finally understood— the crypto world rewards no confidence, only teaches arrogance.

Now it seems glamorous, staying in nice hotels, discussing the market,

but my heart is steadier than anyone else’s. Because I’ve seen too many people fall victim to "greed."

💡1. BTC is the lifeline

When it rises, everyone rejoices; when it falls, no one can survive alone.

ETH occasionally holds up, but altcoins are merely sidekicks.

If you’re not watching BTC, everything else is a waste of time.

💡2. BTC and USDT are indicators of sentiment

When USDT rises, it indicates funds are fleeing;

When BTC surges, it’s time to be cautious.

The market is most euphoric when the risks are highest.

💡3. Focus on timing

There are many spikes in the early morning, check the trend in the morning, and watch for significant volatility in the afternoon.

If you don’t understand the rhythm, you’ll just be played by the market.

💡4. Don’t panic when it drops

Choose the right coins, manage your positions, and buy in batches.

A bear market isn’t a dead end, it’s a screening process.

My proudest trade:

Bought DOGE at 0.1U, now it’s worth over twenty times.

I didn’t rely on skills, just on a steady heart.

The crypto world can make you rich, but it also forces you to see yourself clearly.

The market may be chaotic, but your heart must not be.

Those who can weather the bull and bear markets are not the smart ones, but the steady ones.$ETH #比特币波动性

Cryptocurrency "Stupid Trick" Reversal: From 200,000 to Over 50 Million, You Can Too!

In the crypto world, smart people often lose money, and this is a painful lesson I learned from throwing money around. Four years ago, I studied various technical indicators, and as a result, my account remained stagnant, and I even faced liquidation multiple times. Until an experienced trader woke me up: trading cryptocurrencies, the simpler the better for making money!

The "343 Batch Buying Method" he taught me, I initially scoffed at, but after trying it, I was shocked—over two years, 200,000 in capital actually rolled to over 50 million! Now, I’m sharing this "stupid method" that even the big players fear.

The 343 Batch Buying Method, a rhythm master for guaranteed profits

The core logic is not to guess price movements, buy according to the rhythm, and prioritize rules.

Step 1: 30% Initial Position, a small test of strength
Choose mainstream coins, such as BTC, ETH, etc., and avoid low-quality coins. Use 30% of the total funds to buy in first, do not go all in at once, and leave enough bullets.

Step 2: 40% Additional Position, buy more as it drops
Don’t chase after it rises; wait for a correction to add more; if it drops, add 10% for every 10% drop until fully invested. The principle: buy low during drops, and profits will be richer during rebounds.

Step 3: 30% Final Position, add more when the trend is clear
When the coin price bounces back and stabilizes at key support levels, such as the 7-day moving average, add the final 30%. At this point, market sentiment warms up, set a trailing stop to lock in profits.

Why is this method so magical? It doesn’t rely on predictions, doesn’t gamble on price movements, and doesn’t chase highs or sell lows; instead, it quietly accumulates during market panic.

Don’t think this method is “stupid.” Stupid people can follow the rules and survive to make big money. If you want to make money, go back and try it; the difficult part is resisting temptation and sticking to the rules. Do you dare to challenge it? #比特币波动性

Sister Ting's ADA Brief:

Optional: Buy near 0.4250-0.4200

Target 1️⃣: Near 0.4300 (First profit-taking level, partial reduction can be executed)
Target 2️⃣: Near 0.4380 (Final target, strive for profitability)

The strategy is effective, market conditions can change rapidly, and real trading needs to be flexible according to the market. Set a good stop loss!
#比特币波动性 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ADA $ADA

Cryptanalysis expert Banmuxia: The Federal Reserve will lower interest rates and expand its balance sheet this week. Will US stocks/cryptocurrencies/precious metals see a 'general rise for a whole month'?

On December 8, Chinese crypto analyst Banmuxia released 'bombshell news': The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut and balance sheet expansion this week will bring the previously tight market liquidity back to normal — not only will US stocks, cryptocurrencies, and precious metals rise collectively this week, but the entire month of December may also experience a 'general rise'.

This is not his first prediction of a shift in liquidity. As early as the article on November 11, Banmuxia had 'drawn a roadmap' in advance: The Federal Reserve will stop reducing its balance sheet and start expanding it in December, returning liquidity to the loose state of October 2019.

However, the real 'flood' of liquidity will have to wait until May of next year, when Trump takes control of the Federal Reserve, and it is highly likely that it will replicate the level of easing seen in March 2020.

Current market expectations for a shift in Federal Reserve policy are already high. Banmuxia's judgment of a 'general rise for a whole month' has added a bit of 'emotional fuel' for investors in cryptocurrencies, US stocks, and other risk assets.

However, there are also opinions that believe the actual effect after the policy is implemented will depend on the specific strength of the Federal Reserve's actions this time. 'After expectations are fully priced in, one must also guard against the situation where good news turns into bad news.'

Would you like me to help you organize a summary of the mainstream views on the Federal Reserve's policies in the current market?
#美SEC和CFTC加密监管合作
#加密市场观察
#比特币波动性

$ZEC 2023, for me, was the worst year of my cryptocurrency career. At that time, I had just made a small profit from the bull market, feeling quite high and thinking I "understood the market trends."

$FHE I held 3000U in my hands, watching a soaring MEME coin in the market, I jumped in without hesitation, even adding 5x leverage.

$XNY The next day, the market dropped like a knife — the MEME coin plummeted, and I sat in front of the screen, still mumbling to myself: "It will definitely rebound, just hold on."

But the reality was harsh; the leverage amplified my panic — as the price fell, my principal shrank instantly, unrealized losses turned into realized losses, and the account numbers dropped like a horror movie, making my heart race.

I held on day after day, even sleeping with my phone, afraid to let go, my finger sliding back and forth on the empty position button, yet I never placed a stop-loss order.

In the end, the liquidation came — only 700U was left in my account.

From 3000U to 700U, I paid a terrible tuition with my own impulsiveness and greed.

At that moment, I stared at the empty account and finally understood — the cryptocurrency market is not about luck; gains and losses are not something you can win by feeling.

Failure is not because the market is unreasonable, but because I didn’t hold the bottom line, didn’t protect the principal, and didn’t follow the rules.

A night of blood loss is not accidental, but an inevitable consequence of self-inflicted wounds.

Since then, I truly understood the iron laws of the cryptocurrency market:

Capital is king, discipline is the soul, and stability is the premise of flipping the account.

No matter how tempting a skyrocketing coin is, it’s just noise; no matter how lively the market is, it’s just a test of patience.

Making money has never been about luck, but about holding the bottom line and patiently waiting for certain opportunities.

The 3000U lost that year became my most profound lesson of blood and tears —

In the life-and-death game of cryptocurrency, only by keeping calm can there be a chance to turn things around.

Ask yourself, do you willingly want to be a lifetime leek? Or do you want to be the one who laughs last as the winner?
Carp jumping over the dragon gate 👉 @顶级交易员轩哥 Taking action is better than just feeling excited

Keep following: $BOB $ORCA $IRYS $AKE $BANANAS31 $ARIA $YALA $RVV $MON $ARC $TRUST $MMT $TNSR $DYM $BEAT $MYX $NIL $DUSK $AIA $ETH $BTC $SOL $BNB $XRP $DOGE $XAN

#美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #比特币波动性 #美联储降息预期升温

Brothers holding less than 1000U, don't learn to gamble on luck. The crypto world isn't about guessing sizes; the less money you have, the more you need to stick to the rules. Last year, I took on an apprentice who started with 600U; when he first entered, he trembled at the click of a mouse, fearing he would lose it all in one trade.

At that time, I directly slammed the table and established rules: small funds need to be steady and careful, don't mess around recklessly. What do you think happened? In a month, the account grew to 6000U, and in three months, it surged to 20,000U, without a single liquidation. Some people enviously said it was just luck, but I scoffed at that—it's all based on three iron rules, which we will clarify today.

The first rule is to break the money into smaller pieces; don't go all in at once. Split 600U into three parts: 200U for short-term trades, focusing on major coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum, aiming for a 3%-5% profit and securing it; 200U for swing trading, seizing opportunities for a few days, aiming for stability rather than speed; and keep the remaining 200U tightly held, not moving even if the sky falls—that's the life-saving card. I've seen too many people bet everything; they profit when inflated and collapse when they lose. Those who survive are the smart ones who understand to 'leave a way out.'

The second rule is to only trade in trending markets; don't mess around during consolidations. The market sways 80% of the time, and trading randomly just gives the platform your fees. If there's no opportunity, wait patiently; when the opportunity arises, pounce on it. After making enough profit of 12%, take half out; putting it in your wallet is real money. My apprentice was able to double his funds by not chasing highs or being impatient, waiting when necessary and taking profits when due.

The third rule is that rules govern operations, and emotions should stand aside. Limit the maximum loss per trade to 2% of the principal; at the set time, you must cut losses, don't hold onto losing trades; when you earn 4%, take half off, and let the remaining profit run; never add to losing positions, and don't think about 'averaging down'—the market is not forgiving, but rules can curb impulsive actions. You may not always predict the market correctly, but you can consistently make the right moves; that's the essence of making money.

For small funds, the worst mindset is the gambler's mentality of 'all in for a comeback.' Watching him grow from 600U to 20,000U last year, was it luck? No, it's rules and patience. If you still can't grasp the buy and sell points, learn from me. I often break down real-time opportunities in the village, helping you find the right entry and exit points—let's not gamble on luck, but on whether we can stick to the rules.

#比特币波动性