熊市预警

Is the bear market really starting?#熊市预警

【Market Status from Stablecoins】

2025-12-6 19:40

In the past month,
​the overall market has been in a downturn phase.

In terms of “stablecoins,”
they have been continuously issued.

The second largest stablecoin USDC has also seen a considerable issuance,
​which indicates that the underlying demand during the bull market is still present.
​
The issuance will be favorable for future price trends,
indicating that new capital is entering the market.

In every bull market cycle,
stablecoins are continuously issued from the beginning to the end of the bull market.
Unless entering a bear market, there will be a sharp decline.

In the last bull market cycle,
when Bitcoin peaked,
accurately speaking, it ended during the “519 crash,”
when the total issuance of stablecoins also plummeted.

Currently, the total issuance of stablecoins
is still in a state of continuous issuance,
​therefore, we cannot consider the bull market to be over.

​
#加密市场观察
#牛市还在吗
#熊市预警

$BTC

The cow has left, the bear has come...$BTC $ETH $BNB #熊市预警

There is a divergence in the market regarding whether to follow a 4-year cycle or not.

If we strictly adhere to the 4-year cycle, it is expected to bottom around December 26th, possibly belonging to the super cycle wave 4 within the waves, with a price range between 32,000 and 42,000.

If it is not the traditional 4-year cycle, the adjustment starting from June 12th may belong to the super cycle wave 3-2 within the waves. After that, there may be a super cycle wave 3-3 reaching new highs. This scenario requires that the U.S. stock market, especially technology stocks, perform strongly next year. Because the QT will stop in December, but the macro environment for a significant QE is still a long way off. Therefore, even if there is a super cycle wave 3-3, it is highly likely to be driven by a bubble in super technology stocks. This scenario presents an opportunity in the cryptocurrency market, but theoretically, the U.S. technology stocks and related sectors in China should have even greater opportunities.

Regardless of the path taken, even in a bear market scenario, it won't be a straight drop to the bottom. After the first weekly-level decline, there are always significant rebounds. Referencing 2014, 2018, and 2022, after the first wave of weekly-level declines, there were rebounds that offset 40% of the decline. Therefore, confirming the rebound profit after the first wave weekly bottom is still quite considerable, and the entire rebound can last for more than a month. As for whether 80600 is the first wave weekly bottom, it requires time for verification. However, in terms of operations, it is possible to calculate a relatively high risk-reward buying range.
#熊市预警

The real bear market has arrived, so don't expect any hope anymore #熊市预警

In the past few days, I learned how to turn 23u into 110,000u😝#加密市场回调

Recently, life has been quite busy, and I had a chat with a friend offline. He used to work at a large company, and by chance, he registered on Binance.

He used to play a certain stock, and according to him, after two years, he gradually lost a BBA.

But at least he has a mature trading system🤩

He bought 23u on Binance C2C, and after a month, it reached 110,000u (he sent it back in the last few months)

Let me briefly explain his strategy. A one-sided market is particularly effective, especially with the upcoming major bear market in a four-year cycle #熊市预警

1. When a one-sided market arrives, split the funds into countless small orders, and continuously compress the stop-loss space.

2. Strictly set your take profit and stop loss. You can be greedy, but don’t have a lucky mindset.

3. Once the direction of the order is wrong, stop loss immediately. The fundamental reason many people are not good at stopping losses is that they cannot get past the "shame barrier."

Additionally, I also asked him some tips on position and leverage management. I will organize it a bit and publish it tomorrow😉

🥹 However, I was quite shocked that he has been playing for so long and hasn't opened a fee reduction. I have posted a method for an 20% fee reduction at the top of my homepage, hahaha

#熊市预警 Is the bear market really starting? Today, the pot exploded with 800 dollars of happy beans!

【Another good news says arc made a big profit from shorting】 Today, the radical party shorted arc at 0.55-0.58 and made a big profit again! Indeed, shorting is the attitude that should be taken in a bear market! #arc $ARC #熊市预警

There is basically no trading volume on the weekend 🤣

So it is said that one cannot determine whether it is a phase of upward trend or a phase of downward trend 🤔

👉 Therefore, in such a situation of extremely low trading volume, we should still avoid taking too large positions or frequently trading

I think this is completely meaningless; trading must first follow steps

First, determine whether the trend is bullish or bearish

Then decide on your actions, whether it's left-side trading or right-side trading

Next, control your entry position and set a stop-loss; this is real trading

Blind trading without controlling points, without judging trends, and without basing on the market is essentially gambling

I still hope everyone can be a bit more patient and not be as anxious as in a bull market #熊市预警 $BNB

The market has been really bad lately
Will praying help it get better?
#熊市预警
#ETH走势分析

If your belief doesn't collapse and your cash doesn't collapse, you will definitely win!

At this stage, many friends are watching their accounts shrink step by step, feeling anxious; but as someone who has endured several cycles, I want to say something different today: Young people, you should be excited about the bear market!

Why? Because time and compound interest are your greatest trump cards.
The more the market falls, the cheaper the chips you pick up with your monthly investments. When it was $ETH 90 dollars in 2019, those who dared to bend down are already smiling at the clouds. And your future savings ability is the confidence to get through the bear market.

But having courage alone is not enough; you also need strategy and belief. Once you choose the right target, you must patiently wait for the wind to come.

Bears are unpredictable, but most rebounds after a crash happen faster than you think! When the market is fearful, be greedy; the bear market is your lowest-cost ticket to enter. Don't be scared away by short-term fluctuations; time will reward the patient.

Although the market is slightly sluggish now, there are still opportunities to earn! 扫码进聊天室, bringing you opportunities for a turnaround!

#熊市预警

【Short sell won big】soon tnsr resolv river alch m merl pieverse etc. we are all in nice positions, eating big meat! Leave a souvenir! Family heirloom! $MERL

If there are any good high-end coins, you can cx me! If you dare to send, I dare to short! #加密市场反弹 #熊市预警 #做空 #merl #PIEVERSEUSD

$PIEVERSE $M

The bloodiness of this bull market washout is more than ever before, so it cannot be compared with the previous bull market. The environment of the currency circle has changed, and the trend has naturally changed accordingly.

The bloodier the washout, the more panicked the retail investors are, and the less they dare to enter the market easily. It is obviously a bull market, but it gives people a feeling of a bear market, which leads many people to misjudge that the current situation is the tail of the bull market and the early stage of the bear market.

But please listen to my analysis:
The Bitcoin ETF has been passed, and institutions have just begun to get involved in this market.
Bitcoin has just experienced a halving, and it has only been two months, less than three months, and the price has not broken through the previous high.
The interest rate cut has not yet begun, and the funds in the market have not yet poured in. At present, it is mainly supported by the stock funds and ETF funds.
The altcoin has not yet ushered in a big outbreak, and some people have asserted that the bull market has ended.
If it is really over, then this is not a bull market at all, but just a small wave on the way to the bull market.

In the face of the current situation, the key is to persist. Don't be afraid of FUD, don't think too much, and keep a calm mind. People who bought Bitcoin can enjoy life every day for half a year, play games, or go out for travel. Anyway, don't check the market frequently and reduce communication with people in the currency circle. This method is especially suitable for those who can't hold it. For them, this is the best strategy.
#美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #非农就业数据即将公布 #熊市预警
$BTC $BETA $WLD
Again, at this stage, some good currencies are being laid out
If you are interested and want to witness the strength
You can leave a comment in the comments 888 to join the team!
I won't let fans miss out in this bull market! This is the truth

The bull market may really be over. ETH indicated a drop last night. Currently, it has also fallen over 150 points. It has effectively tested the 4000 level and has not shown any signs of stopping the decline. The bull market is nearing its end. The last interest rate cut this year is estimated to be unlikely. Or very few. Continue high operations during the day. During the day, around 4050±35 points can be targeted. Goal 3930-3900#熊市预警 #ETH

Has the bear arrived? #熊市预警

How to Accurately Identify a Bear Market

In the investment field, accurately determining whether the market is in a bear market is crucial. So, how can we know if the market is currently in a bear market?

First, let's clarify the definition of a bear market. When prices drop by 20% or more from their highest point, and this downward trend persists for a long period, accompanied by widespread negative sentiment among investors, the market is in a declining state. This price drop is not just a brief fluctuation over a day or two; it lasts for weeks or even months, with no significant signs of rebound.

From the market performance perspective, in a bear market, the prices of various assets generally fall. Taking the stock market as an example, most stock prices will continue to decline, whether they are blue-chip stocks or small-cap stocks, none can escape this fate. Many previously favored quality stocks will also follow the overall downward trend of the market. In the cryptocurrency market, mainstream coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum see their prices significantly shrink, and many altcoins plummet to distressing lows.

Trading volume can also reflect the characteristics of a bear market. Typically, during a bear market, trading volume gradually shrinks. Investors are not optimistic about the market outlook, leading to decreased enthusiasm for trading, and both buyers and sellers become cautious. For example, in the securities market, the once bustling trading hall becomes eerily quiet, and the activity level of stock trading significantly declines; on cryptocurrency trading platforms, daily trading volumes also noticeably drop.

Investor sentiment is also an important reference indicator. During a bear market, investors are generally filled with fear and pessimism. Social media and investment forums are flooded with various negative comments and concerns about the market. Many investors choose to sell their assets, holding cash on the sidelines, fearing further losses. Institutional investors also reduce their capital contributions, or even withdraw some funds.

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Can you get up and do your homework? Everyone, get up and enjoy! The morning's second pancake short position entered at the highest point, currently over a hundred points in profit! It's not just about having hands; if you want to follow the strategy, feel free to contact me. The strategy is just an aid; what matters more is grasping the market's big trends.
$ETH #美国结束政府停摆 #熊市预警

#加密市场回调 Please be cautious when buying the dip!!! The market has deteriorated, liquidity is exhausted, and do not chase the weak rebound; this rebound has no volume at all!

dat stock companies are going bankrupt and running away, BTC has been stolen, there are repeated spikes, geopolitical instability, trade wars are recurring, and there are too many complex negative factors.

In this situation, I suggest mainly waiting and observing. Personally, I will take small positions to short at highs $BTC $BNB #暴跌 #熊市预警 .