美联储会议

$XRP
【Late Night Breaking! The World's Largest Funding Faucet Is Opening Again?🚰🔥】
Brothers, pay attention! Just now, the ultimate suspense of the Federal Reserve's December interest rate decision is about to be revealed! The market has bet on an interest rate cut probability that has soared to nearly 88%, and the global financial market has entered countdown mode!

📉Core Highlights:
1️⃣ "Warm Water" or "Boiling Water"? A cut of 25 basis points is basically stable, but the key question is whether the Federal Reserve will hint at continuing to provide liquidity next year? If the dot plot shows fewer interest rate cuts than expected in 2026, the market may “change its face” on the spot!
2️⃣ Hidden Big Moves? Be careful of the Federal Reserve suddenly announcing the resumption of Treasury bond purchases (equivalent to printing money)! This is even more intense than an interest rate cut, with liquidity directly flooding into the market!
3️⃣ Global Chain Reaction: The monetary policy “Battle of the Titans” between the US and Japan enters the second round! 🇯🇵Japan just raised interest rates to extract liquidity, 🇺🇸 the US immediately provides liquidity, the pace of arbitrage trading collapse may accelerate, be cautious of huge shocks in high-volatility assets like Bitcoin and tech stocks!
4️⃣ Risk Warning: Don’t be fooled by the short-term benefits of an interest rate cut, but cracks in the US economic data are already showing (weak employment + stubborn inflation). If the Federal Reserve leans “hawkish” tomorrow morning, be careful of a collective plunge in global assets!

💎Summary:
This action is not a simple “opening the faucet to celebrate,” but a critical turning point for global capital flows! Brothers with high leverage are advised to fasten their seatbelts, keep enough ammunition, and prevent the market from suddenly “flipping its face”!

👇Interactive Topic:
Do you think Powell will be “dovish” or “hawkish” tomorrow morning? If the market follows a script of “expectations being met lead to a crash,” will you buy the dip or run? We’re waiting for your brilliant predictions in the comments! You can follow the recently popular Ethereum chain leader 🐶P U P P I E S🐶$LUNC
$ETH
#美联储会议

The Federal Reserve #fomc is here! Three consecutive cuts or a surprising hawkish stance? The direction of interest rates will determine the market trends for 2026!

#美联储会议 The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is set for December 9–10. This meeting will not only include an interest rate decision but also the latest #点阵图 and economic forecasts 📊. The market refers to this as the "most important path meeting of the year," as the interest rates for 2026 and global asset prices may have clues buried here.

The macro background looks quite clear: inflation is slowly approaching the 2% target but is not yet stable; the job market has shifted from "hot" to "cooling down," with a slight rise in unemployment rates and increased layoffs; there have already been two rate cuts of 25bp this year, and if another cut happens this time, it would be a "three consecutive cuts" 💥.

Market pricing is almost locked in: the probability of a 25bp cut is about 94%, leaving 7% for no change, and almost no one is betting on a cut of 50bp+ or an increase 🎲.

However—what truly influences the market is:
1️⃣ The update of the dot plot regarding the terminal rate for 2026 and the pace of rate cuts
2️⃣ The weight given to inflation/employment in the statement and press conference
3️⃣ Powell's forward guidance on policy

Signals may switch between "dovish cut," "neutral cut," and "hawkish cut," with completely different reactions from the stock market, bond market, and crypto assets ⚡️.

In simple terms, this time it's not just about "another 25bp cut," but a key meeting that sets the tone for global liquidity and the performance of risk assets in 2026.
#美联储重启降息步伐

🔥Don't just focus on the interest rate cuts! The Federal Reserve may unleash an even more important "big move"

Tonight's Federal Reserve decision, aside from the interest rate cut, has a potentially market-shaking key signal that may be even more important than interest rate changes.

The Federal Reserve officially ended its balance sheet reduction on December 1. The reserves in the banking system have fallen to levels associated with historical financing stress, causing the key overnight financing rate (SOFR) to repeatedly test the upper limit of the policy rate range, indicating that liquidity in the financial system is beginning to tighten.

The real focus: a new direction for the balance sheet

The most important signal conveyed by the FOMC tonight may not be the 25 basis point rate cut that the market has fully anticipated, but rather a clear shift in its balance sheet strategy. The market is closely watching whether the Federal Reserve will formally outline the transition path to the "Reserve Management Purchase Program" (RMP) through its "Implementation Guidance."

In simple terms, it's a shift from "contraction" to "moderate growth." Institutions predict that this plan could start as early as January 2026.

As for the specific scale, the market remains divided, but the consensus is that expansion is imminent:

Some analysts expect that the Federal Reserve may purchase about $35 billion of short-term Treasury bills each month, which would push the annual growth of the balance sheet to over $400 billion.
Other forecasts are more aggressive. Bank of America and former New York Fed experts predict that to effectively replenish bank reserves, the scale of purchases may need to reach $45 billion per month.

What does this mean for the market?

This potential "technical expansion of the balance sheet," while different from the quantitative easing (QE) during the financial crisis, is still significant:

1. Alleviating liquidity pressure: Injecting liquidity into the financial system to stabilize the short-term interest rate market.
2. Impacting asset pricing: A plentiful liquidity environment is one of the key supporting factors for risk assets.
3. Establishing a new phase of policy: The Federal Reserve officially enters the post-balance sheet reduction era, and moderate growth in the balance sheet size will become the new norm.

In summary, tonight, in addition to listening to Powell discuss interest rates, one must also carefully consider every word regarding the balance sheet. Any clear signal of balance sheet expansion could set the tone for market liquidity next year.
$ETH $LUNC $STABLE

#美联储重启降息步伐 #美联储会议

📢【Tonight's FOMC Meeting: My Views on the Crypto Market】

Tonight, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision (likely a 25bp cut), but what the market is really focused on is not whether there will be a cut, but whether the subsequent rate cut expectations will be lowered.

There are a few points that I think must be noted👇

🔍1) The stimulus from rate cuts is limited, and the speech is key
• The rate cut has basically been priced in by the market
• If Powell leans hawkish, for example, hinting that "there is no guarantee of further cuts in the future," that could become a short-term bearish signal
• So the market may not react with "a direct surge after the cut," but more like "first rise then drop or directionally confirm repeatedly"

📊2) The short-term may see a "stop sweep market"

This situation is very common:
• A wave of buying occurs instantly after the decision, sweeping up the stop losses above
• Then it reverses and drops down
• The true direction often appears after the speech ends, not at the moment of the decision

🧠3) Suggested operational logic
• Do not go all-in betting on the meeting results
• Avoid new positions before the decision
• After the decision, look at the 15m K and speech sentiment before entering the market
• Wait for the market to give signals, do not act as a prophet

💬Overall View

The rate cut itself is somewhat favorable, but if the speech leans hawkish, the market's short-term sentiment will converge, and there is also considerable downside potential.
Tonight, no directional predictions will be made, only reactions.
#ETH #ETH走势分析 #美联储会议

The potential Christmas rebound of Bitcoin depends on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision!

The year-end rebound is often referred to as the 'Christmas rally.' In previous years, there have indeed been rebound increases during the Christmas month. Currently, due to improved liquidity conditions and the likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates reaching 90% in early December, the crypto market may be preparing for a rebound.

Despite the positive macro factors, overall market sentiment is still dominated by fear. Institutional and retail investors remain hesitant and have not injected capital, leaving the market in a stalemate until ETF inflows and other institutional signals confirm stability. Therefore, the upcoming interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve will be crucial. If the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates on December 10 and ends quantitative tightening, Bitcoin may experience a short-term rise in the 'Christmas rally,' provided there are no major geopolitical shocks.

Additionally, speculation about Hassett being appointed as the next Federal Reserve Chair may introduce a more dovish stance, which could positively impact the cryptocurrency market to some extent.

There is a variable: the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike in December can already be said to be a done deal, and at that time, the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut and the yen's rate hike may further reduce the overall volatility of the cryptocurrency market. #比特币上涨
#美联储会议

I have been trading coins for eight years, and the most unforgettable crazy experience happened during the legendary wave of altcoins in 2017. $ADA

At that time, I focused on ADA, gradually building my position from $0.03, and who would have thought that in just three months, it soared to $1.2—my account skyrocketed nearly 40 times.

Every day, the first thing I did upon waking was to check the market, watching the zeros behind the numbers continuously rise, and I even began to consider buying a house outright.

But the most fatal thing was that slight greed—I didn’t take profits.

Later, ADA plummeted back to $0.2, with profits evaporating by 80%, and the house I was so close to buying was gone.

That experience taught me a powerful lesson:

A good buyer is a student, but a good seller is a master.

After eight years, I have summarized a set of profit-taking and stop-loss methods that ordinary people can use, allowing them to maintain a steady rhythm without having to watch the market all day:

✅ Profit-taking: I use the "stair-step profit-taking method"

Taking $1 as the buying price:

When it rises to $2: first sell 30% to recover the cost

When it rises to $3: sell another 30% to lock in most of the profits

Set a "trailing stop loss" for the remaining 40%: as long as it falls back 15% from the highest point, automatically liquidate

This way, you can ride the main upward wave without being wiped out by a single bearish candle.

✅ Stop-loss: I have only one ironclad rule

Single trade losses are not allowed to exceed 5% of the principal.

Immediately setting a conditional stop-loss at -10% after buying is like buying insurance for the trade.

Don’t be afraid of missing market opportunities—there are always chances in the crypto world, but if you lose your principal, you really have lost everything.

In eight years, I have seen too many people get rich overnight, and even more who went bankrupt during the wild fluctuations.

Those who truly survive until the end are not the prediction kings or geniuses, but—the ones who strictly adhere to discipline.

I once had to stop-loss on a trade, and then that coin doubled shortly after; my friends laughed at me for being conservative.

But three months later, it went straight to zero.

At that moment, I truly understood:

In the crypto world, making money quickly is not a skill; staying alive is the hard truth.
#ETH走势分析 #美联储会议 $ETH $SOL $XRP

Recently, there has been a growing rumor: the Federal Reserve may be changing leadership. This is not gossip; even China International Capital Corporation has started analyzing, saying that if Trump comes to power, he is likely to promote Hassett.

This candidate is crucial. If he takes office in the first quarter of next year and immediately 'doves', the dollar may weaken in the short term, and the hot money looking for opportunities worldwide could easily flow into the cryptocurrency market, which is high in volatility and liquidity. The market may be ignited very quickly.

But don’t get too excited just because you hear this. The enthusiasm brought about by policy expectations often comes quickly and goes just as quickly. Once subsequent economic data fluctuates or inflation rises again, the direction can change. By that time, the speed at which funds withdraw could be much faster than you imagine, and market volatility will only become more intense.

So what should ordinary players do?
First, don’t treat news as operational instructions. Hearing 'doves' and jumping in with a full position is like handing your fate over to news headlines. The transmission of policy is curved, not linear, and there are too many variables in between.

Second, focus on two key things. One is the first public speech of the new chairman after taking office; his tone—hawkish or dovish—will determine short-term sentiment. The second is several core U.S. data points—employment and inflation—these are the real guiding indicators of fund flows.

Third, always remember that strategy is more important than betting. Don’t gamble on a one-sided bet. Use logic that you can understand, hold onto your main position that you can manage. Keep a portion of your funds in reserve; if the market experiences irrational sell-offs due to chaotic expectations, that would be the time for you to act.

The current phase can be understood as: the wind is already on the way, but whether you can benefit from it depends on whether you are still at the table and whether you have chips in hand.

When it’s dark, having a light helps you see the changes in macro winds; when it rains, having an umbrella means you always have your principal and clear position management in the market. Stay steady, see you next step. #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储会议

$ETH $BTC $ZEC Will interest rate cuts lead to an immediate surge?
The interest rate meeting on December 11 is approaching.
However, the short-term performance after the last three rate cuts doesn't seem promising.
There are repeated fluctuations, raising concerns about the future market 😔#山寨现货布局如何布局 #meme板块关注热点 #美联储会议 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

$ETH Dear friends, how do we say that the Ethereum long position has been successfully secured!!!!

Yesterday, I brought fans into a long position around 3032, and after a night of torment, it has been successfully secured. However, it was also a thrilling success with a gain of 800u, a 300% space.

During the day, Sister Yue will bring fans into the mainstream again, expecting a base of 200-300%.
Get ready to keep up with the speed!!
#美联储何时降息？ #美联储会议 $SOL $BTC

I am still bearish this December with #美联储会议 . I have been holding this long position, and if it rises to my opening price, I will add to my short position. I will wait for interest rates to drop, including BTC and SOL, before I short them. However, I advise everyone to take small positions because the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and it's important to manage your positions to ensure a reasonable liquidation price.

This year lost 20,000, is there still hope???

Just now, a new fan found Sister Yue, hoping to see if they can recover the previous losses. When Sister Yue asked, it turned out that this year they lost a total of 20,000 and they are still a newcomer to the circle.

However, the market this year is indeed unfriendly for newcomers. The wave of black swans at the beginning of the year and the event on 10.11 can be considered a once-in-a-century black swan. Not to mention newcomers, even seasoned investors have been significantly affected.

For newcomers, it is essential to learn first. Because in this market, without certain knowledge and understanding, it is difficult to survive. If you are relying solely on luck to make profits, you will eventually give it all back to the market.

Currently, this fan has 3000u left. Will there still be a chance to recover? Sister Yue can only help them recover as much as she can based on her abilities. Everyone must remember, if you don't have the most basic knowledge, it's best not to operate blindly in contracts. Learn first, then practice; this will increase your chances of surviving in this market.
#美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储会议 $ETH $SOL $XRP

Bescent launched three "deep water bombs", the market needs to tighten up!💣

1️⃣ The Federal Reserve's "power reduction" drama begins
The Treasury Secretary publicly calls out: Don't treat the Federal Reserve Chairman as the "rate emperor"!👑 He emphasized that the chairman is just one of the voting members, and the real decision-making power lies with the board and regional reserves. This clearly paves the way for Trump's intervention in monetary policy, and the candidate for the next chairman may be revealed after Christmas. The global market needs to buckle up!🎢

2️⃣ Local Fed to implement a "household registration system"
A tough move has arrived! Bescent requires that future regional Fed chairs must have lived in their jurisdiction for 3 years🏠, directly naming 3 current chairs as "unqualified". This means that the local influence of the Federal Reserve may be reshuffled, and the traditional Wall Street parachuting model may come to an end? The Atlanta Fed chair has already resigned, and the chain reaction has begun!🃏

3️⃣ Tariff arsenal "unlimited refills"
The most explosive statement is this: "Even if the Supreme Court rules against us, we can use other clauses to rebuild the same tariffs!"🛡️ Bescent reveals multiple trump cards like Clause 301 and Clause 232, claiming that the tariff measures will become "permanent". The global trade system may face upheaval again; will Bitcoin become a winner in risk aversion once more?📈

4️⃣ Private credit faces a "death warning"
Bescent is frantically warning about private credit: "It will explode first during economic downturns!"💥 He accuses excessive regulation of pushing credit into gray areas. This suggests that bank regulation may be relaxed, but beware of risk transfer—next crisis may erupt from shadow banking!🌪️

Cryptocurrency market impact radar:

· Federal Reserve power struggle → Rising policy uncertainty → Volatile asset benefits
· Expectations of tariff permanence → Traditional market risk aversion sentiment → Strengthened narrative of digital gold
· Credit market warning → Changes in liquidity structure → Increased demand for alternative investments in cryptocurrency

(Insights compiled from Bescent's latest speech, market impact continues to ferment) #美联储会议 $BTC
$ETH
$ZEC

#美联储会议 2026 The Federal Reserve is going completely crazy! Trump's confidant wants to cut interest rates to the "floor price"?

The Federal Reserve in 2026 is likely to be entirely "replaced" by Trump—this power shift is turning the logic of global assets upside down.

Trump's appointed "insider" Hassett now has a 71% chance of taking over the Federal Reserve. This White House Council of Economic Advisers chair is a "growth fanatic": he criticizes the Federal Reserve for not cutting interest rates as a "bias against Trump," claims "three rate cuts are just the beginning," and even declares, "interest rates can go much lower." On the dove-hawk scale, he is rated a "2"—meaning that if he takes office, cutting rates will be more frequent than drinking water.

Even more aggressive is this round of "power reshuffling": Hassett will first serve as a board member in January, then take the chairman position in May, with Powell likely resigning to make way; Trump also wants to bring in former board member Warsh, and together these two will easily form a stable dovish bloc, potentially securing 6 votes from moderates while hawks are left with only 2 votes. The only variable is whether Powell will refuse to leave, but that would be an "unprecedented historical event."

Hassett's strategy is clear: he believes that the current high interest rates are a "political stubbornness," and he thinks that the prosperity of AI productivity will lead to deflation—inflation will drop on its own, and the Federal Reserve not cutting rates is just "passive tightening." Currently, the market expects interest rates to be 3% by the end of 2026, but his target is 2.6%, and he even wants to slash it into the 2% range.

This directly rewrites the asset script: the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield is expected to plummet, while the 10-year yield is rising due to inflation expectations; growth stock valuations are set to soar, and gold becomes the "hard asset savior"; even Bitcoin could make a comeback thanks to this wave of easing.

But the risks are also laid out: the Federal Reserve chair doesn’t have a "deciding vote," and Hassett must win the majority in every rate cut debate. If there’s a 7:5 split or even a 6:6 deadlock, the market will explode—this is not an "independent central bank," but clearly a "political operator."

Do you think this "Trump-style Federal Reserve" is saving the economy or planting a bomb for the world?

Last night, news came out that the new chairman of the Federal Reserve, #美联储会议 , is almost confirmed, and the biggest market reaction was #BTC . The US stock market and other markets reacted moderately.

It seems that Bitcoin is no longer correlated with any market; the only strong correlation is liquidity.
#加密市场观察

#日本央行加息 A Japanese phrase caused a stir in the global market: Will US Treasuries be 'bled dry' and will the Fed's rate cuts fail?

On December 2, the Governor of the Bank of Japan, Kazuo Ueda, suddenly made a tough statement: "An interest rate hike may happen this month"—this "bombshell" left the global financial community stunned.

Who would have thought? Everyone thought Japan would continue its easy monetary policy, but this surprise attack pushed Japan's 10-year government bond yield to 1.879%, the highest since June 2008. Even more shockingly, this fire spread directly to the United States: the yield on US 10-year Treasuries soared to 4.095%, having just dipped below 4% last week, now rebounding to slap the market.

Why is the US so anxious? Because Japan is the largest "overseas creditor" of US Treasuries—holding $1.2 trillion in US debt! If Japan truly raises interest rates, domestic bond yields will rise, and Japan's money will definitely flow back from US Treasuries, effectively "bleeding" the US market dry.

Wall Street is now worried: previously, as US Treasury yields fell, mortgage rates dropped, and the stock market rose, which also supported the Fed's plans to cut rates. But now with Japan's actions, US Treasury yields are on the rise, making borrowing more expensive for businesses and increasing mortgage costs for ordinary people, disrupting the Fed's rate cut strategy.

This situation is like a butterfly flapping its wings—one statement from Japan causes the global market to tremble. Now everyone is betting: will the "funding anchor" of US Treasuries loosen? Are the Fed's rate cuts doomed?

What do you think the market will do next? Let's chat in the comments! #美联储会议 #加密市场观察

ZEC is a support that has broken down, brothers. I told you a long time ago to short at the 700 position and at least look for the 250 position. This aligns with the strategies of both the project party and the market manipulators; 250 is what fits their pattern.
#美联储会议

President Trump stated that he has selected the next Federal Reserve Chairperson and added that 'we will announce' #美联储会议

👀Why is everyone now more inclined towards Kevin Hassett$BTC $ETH
• Recently, several media outlets have reported that within the White House and among Trump supporters, Kevin Hassett is widely viewed as the "most likely nominee." #美联储会议
• He has previously had a close relationship with the president and openly supports a swift interest rate cut — this aligns with the current preferences of Trump and his team regarding monetary policy. #美联储重启降息步伐
• The Federal Reserve is currently facing slowed economic growth and inflationary pressures, and there are voices hoping that the new chairman can push for looser policies. Hassett's stance aligns with this expectation.

If I were a bettor, I would now lean more towards Kevin Hassett — because his policy inclinations, political background, and the current expectations of the Federal Reserve and the White House regarding monetary policy all make his chances of election the greatest.

However, this "relay race" is not over yet — the actual nominee may have to wait until the president officially nominates and secures Senate approval before being finalized.

Who do you think it will be?

Cointime news, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that the constantly 'changing' economic risks have given the Federal Reserve more ample reasons to cut interest rates. This statement indicates that Powell has aligned himself with the 'dovish' faction within the Federal Open Market Committee that sets interest rates, also signaling that he may support a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed's next meeting in September. Although Powell acknowledged that the impact of the government's trade war on consumer prices is now 'clear to see,' he suggested that this impact is unlikely to be persistent and may merely be a one-time shock that the central bank can ignore. He stated, 'Given that the labor market is not particularly tight and is facing increasing downside risks, (the outcome of sustained inflation) seems unlikely.' He also added, 'Inflation faces upside risks, while employment faces downside risks, which is quite a challenging situation.' #美联储 #美联储会议