美联储利率决议即将公布

#美联储利率决议即将公布
Brothers, something big is coming tonight!
The U.S. employment data for November is being released, and a rate cut is almost a certainty!

Key time points to note:
20:30 → November Challenger Job Cuts
21:30 → Initial Jobless Claims (expected 220,000, previous value 215,000)
23:00 → Factory Orders + Global Supply Chain Pressure Index Now the entire market is going crazy:

The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in December on Polymarket has surged to 94%!
Almost no one believes there won't be a cut; the only uncertainty is—will tonight's data be a “direct takeoff” or “a slight pullback before taking off”?

In simple terms: Better than expected data → Slight cooling of rate cut expectations, short-term may see a slight pullback Data meets or slightly misses expectations → Rate cuts completely locked in!

#美联储利率决议即将公布 Tonight's Big Event! The US is about to release employment data, and the interest rate cut probability has skyrocketed to 94%?

Family, tonight the US stock market and cryptocurrency market may be about to "make a big deal"!

On the evening of December 4th, the US is set to release a bunch of economic data: at 20:30, the number of layoffs in November will be released, at 21:30 we will look at the initial jobless claims (expected to be 220,000), and at 23:00, there will be more indicators on supply chain pressures and factory orders.

But right now, the market is not worried about the data at all—Polymarket shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in December has already reached 94%! This is practically cementing the expectation of a "rate cut".

What impact will this have on the market we care about?
If the rate is really cut, tech stocks and growth stocks will likely soar (after all, lower interest rates make borrowing money for stocks more cost-effective), while those high-dividend "stable stocks" might be abandoned by funds; even if tonight's employment data is stronger than expected, the market will probably stubbornly say: "This is the last strong data, it will definitely cool down later," and the pullback may not be deep.

The cryptocurrency market is more direct; Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other "high-risk toys" are hoping for more liquidity from the US dollar—once the rate cut comes, money will flow into risk assets, and cryptocurrency prices will likely jump up; even if the data comes in weak and shakes the rate cut expectations, after the drop, it will probably still rise back following the easing trend.

Now we are just waiting for tonight's data to "check the goods": weak data will directly hammer down the rate cut; strong data will at most splash a little water.

What do you think, is tonight's move an "early reveal" or a "reverse explosion"? Place your bets in the comments! #加密市场观察

The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on December 10, 202#美联储利率决议即将公布 is a key variable affecting the short-term trend of Bitcoin, and its impact depends on the implementation of interest rate cuts, the tone of policy statements, and future guidance on interest rate paths. Different scenarios will bring differentiated market reactions. The specific impacts are as follows:

1. If the interest rate is cut by 25 basis points as expected and a dovish signal is released: If the rate cut is based on a decline in inflation and stability in the labor market, and the dot plot suggests continuing rate cuts in 2026, Bitcoin may rise by 10%-15% within a week, hitting the range of $95,000 to $100,000, and may even aim for $120,000. Loose liquidity will reduce the opportunity cost of holding Bitcoin while boosting institutional investors' risk appetite, driving funds into the crypto market.
2. If there is no change but a future rate cut signal is released: This "dovish wait-and-see" state will allow Bitcoin to rebound moderately, but the increase will be limited, likely oscillating around $85,000, with specific trends depending on the clarity of future rate cut guidance.
3. If the rate cut is delayed or a hawkish signal is released: If the Federal Reserve delays the rate cut due to sticky inflation, Bitcoin will face selling pressure, potentially dropping to $80,000 or even $75,000, and may enter a prolonged consolidation phase. The market's expectations for loose policies will be disappointed, triggering high-leverage long positions to liquidate, exacerbating the price decline.

Epic market warning in the cryptocurrency circle! 87.4% interest rate cut probability ignites a liquidity frenzy🚀

CME Federal Reserve observation data explodes! The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December has soared to 87.4%, while the probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged is only 12.6%; the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January next year is 67.5%, and there is even a 23.2% chance of a direct 50 basis point rate cut, with easing signals fully raised!

Powell shifts to dovish + New York Fed President Williams supports easing, the Fed's policy shift has become a foregone conclusion! The implementation of the rate cut will release massive market liquidity, and history has repeatedly verified that during easing cycles, risk assets are bound to experience explosive growth! Currently, Bitcoin ETF funds continue to see net inflows, leverage risks are fully released, BTC is leading the rise, with funds and sentiment in place, a new round of bull market in the cryptocurrency circle is just around the corner!

Now the core suspense is left with "how much to cut, how fast to cut", the trend dividend window has opened! If you are afraid of missing out, being disturbed by market noise, or want to accurately grasp the timing of entry, feel free to join the chat room to analyze the market in real-time with a professional team and lock in profit opportunities!#Cryptocurrency Market Observation #特朗普加密新政 #美联储利率决议即将公布 $BTC $ETH $SOL

The Federal Reserve suddenly hit the brakes, and this is quite interesting.
Starting from December 1st, they officially paused the balance sheet reduction. That 'money printing machine' that was running at full throttle during the pandemic has dramatically pulled water from the pool for years, and now it's saying stop.

Many people haven't reacted yet: what does this mean?
In fact, the timing is very subtle. Inflation is still hanging above 3%, but economic growth has visibly weakened, and the job market isn't as hot.

The Federal Reserve is now a bit like walking a tightrope - if they continue to tighten, they're afraid of directly stalling the economy; if they don't tighten, they're worried inflation won't be contained. In a dilemma, stopping to take a look is also a way forward.

But there is a more tangible pressure behind it: fiscal.
A few years ago, the Federal Reserve was buying a lot of government bonds, essentially helping the government digest its deficit. Now, if they continue to sell off on a large scale, pulling government bond yields too high, the government's borrowing costs will become unbearable.

So pausing the balance sheet reduction is, to some extent, also giving fiscal a breather. Monetary and fiscal policy have always been tied together.

For our market, this is definitely a short-term positive.
The most tense moment of liquidity may have passed, and risk assets will catch their breath. But don't celebrate too early - the balance sheet size is still nearly two trillion higher than before the pandemic, and there's not much less money. In this environment, the market is more likely to differentiate: the strong get stronger, and the weak get weaker.

There's also a detail worth pondering: some key economic data from the U.S. in October have been delayed for various reasons.

Now it just happens to coincide with the policy 'quiet period,' where the market lacks direction, and emotions can easily become chaotic. Recently, the cryptocurrency and stock markets have been fluctuating wildly, which is mostly related to this.

So what does this step really mean?
My understanding is that the Federal Reserve has already sensed the signs of economic downturn and is beginning to make preparations in advance.

As for whether a new round of easing will really come, it still depends on the inflation and employment data in the coming months. But at least, that hardline stance of 'raising interest rates at all costs' has quietly changed.

The market always reacts before policy does. Going forward, funds will choose their destinations more wisely. If you are also looking for direction, it might be worth stopping to see where the wind and money are blowing. #美联储重启降息步伐 #美联储利率决议即将公布 #美联储暂停缩表

📣📣📣The important thing about interest rate cuts is worth saying three times❗️❗️❗️

🤔What are your thoughts? Brothers

Currently, the market has strong expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in December. CME's "FedWatch" data shows that the probability of a 25 basis point cut in December has risen to 86.9%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 13.1%. The Federal Reserve will hold a monetary policy meeting from December 9 to 10, and institutions such as JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs predict a 25 basis point cut in December, with some institutions also expecting another 25 basis point cut in January next year. However, there are internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve regarding the rate cut in December, and delayed economic data may affect the decision, making the rate cut not entirely certain.
#美联储利率决议即将公布

Brothers, pay attention! Waking up from a sleep, the U.S. election has changed again.

In 7 swing states, Trump has won 4! This includes Pennsylvania, according to unofficial data. In past presidential elections (whoever wins Pennsylvania wins the U.S.?), this is basically secure!

All you handsome guys who need to get on board, the secondary market is focusing on Dogecoin.
You can place high-frequency low-amount orders now, the big boss predicts there will be a crazy spike before it starts. 😹😹😹

Voting has officially begun, preliminary results will be available by this time tomorrow. The final results will probably take another 2 days, everyone must remember the timing.

The mainstream view believes that the Federal Reserve will at least cut rates by 25 basis points. I think that under the leadership of Trump, there will be a crazy cut of 100 basis points that will ignite a bull market. 🤩🤩🤩

Recently, the big boss has already laid out tenfold golden dogs in the primary market, waiting to take off. Those who like and follow, tonight will share the wealth code for free.
#美联储利率决议即将公布 #美国8月核心CPI超预期 $DOGE

"Super Central Bank Week" is coming, with the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, and others expected to remain on the sidelines.
The Federal Reserve (March 20) is likely to maintain interest rates at 4.25%-4.5%, with a focus on the dot plot and Powell's statements on inflation and tariff policies. The market is betting on three rate cuts this year, but the Federal Reserve may remain cautious.
The Bank of Japan (March 19) is expected to keep the interest rate at 0.5%, assessing the effects of the January rate hike, but high inflation and wage growth may push for another rate hike mid-year. #美联储利率决议即将公布

#微策略持续增持BTC
I think the current move is more like a "conspiracy". If you have low-level chips, you can also operate in this way. If not, I advise you to give up your fantasy.
In addition, the current response of the Federal Reserve tonight #美联储利率决议即将公布 is very objective. However, I still have an opposing relationship with King Understanding, emphasizing that I will not be affected by politics, that is, King Understanding does not count, I will go my own way, and at the same time emphasize that if inflation rises in the future, it is King Understanding's fault for raising taxes, not mine.

For the future trend of $BTC , I think that if the price will be higher, it needs to be fully consolidated sideways, otherwise it is not a good choice.
For short-term operations, the cost-effectiveness of high altitude is higher than chasing more now.
I wish you all a happy new year, and 2025 coins must win

2024 Fed rate cut 50 basis points? Traders predict!

2024 Fed rate cut 50 basis points: traders' bold expectations

Interest rate options market traders expect the Fed to cut interest rates sharply, by about 75 basis points by the first quarter of 2025, in stark contrast to Fed officials' forecast of a 25 basis point cut by the end of 2024 and a total of 125 basis points by the end of 2025. The article also analyzes the factors driving the Fed's expectations of a sharp rate cut, including the situation in the bond market, economic data, statements by Fed officials, and key market indicators. In addition, the article explores the impact of the Fed's sharp rate cut on the economy and investors.

1. Traders expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points by the end of 2024 and about 75 basis points by the first quarter of 2025.

2. Fed officials predict a 25 basis point cut by the end of 2024 and a total of 125 basis points by the end of 2025.

3. Factors driving the Fed's expectations of a sharp rate cut include the situation in the bond market, economic data, statements from Fed officials, and key market indicators.

4. The impact of the Fed's sharp rate cut on the economy and investors includes possible signals of a weakening economy, possible pressure on the Fed, and possible reconsideration of asset allocation by investors.

#美联储利率决议即将公布 #美联储何时降息？ #美联储基准利率
$FET $AGIX $LDO
Follow me if you don't have a direction. If you don't know what to choose, just click on my avatar and follow me. We share spot passwords every day, free of charge.

Yesterday, the empty alchemy was arranged to take off, and a total of 6,000 points were scored. The empty alchemy was arranged to take off again during the day, with 3,400 points and more than 900 points respectively, and a total of 4,300 points. We are still waiting and watching, waiting for the fundamentals to come out before making arrangements. The understanding of the market is explained in the night video screen. If you are interested, you can check it out. It is also synchronized with the strategy, and it also talks about Cao’s methods of doing things. As for how much you can understand, it varies from person to person. In short, this kind of navigation situation can be said to be white. The trend structure is already very obvious. It’s boring to say too much. Just get the point.

From the market point of view, the short-term market continues to weaken. The support below is broken again and again, but it is tested first. A small rebound will then break the position strongly and continue. There is no one-time direct breakthrough. This trend is to induce bullishness. The front As I said before, when the bulls enter the market, the short sellers will begin to increase their volume. Although it has reached the vicinity of the Zhouxian boll, the short trend is still strong, and the Zhouxian boll has also tightened, so it will be easier to break the position. To break the position, the previous high will form a top-bottom transition as a new low support. , then there is still room below, and you can continue to follow the short trend.

At midnight, it is recommended to go short around 57400 to 57800, look at 55500, and look at 53000 if the position is broken. #香港加密货币ETF #Megadrop #美联储利率决议即将公布 #以太坊ETF批准预期 #BTC下跌分析

U.S. policymakers poll shows tens of thousands of people overwhelmingly support abolishing the Fed

On May 15, Thomas Massie, a Republican member of the U.S. House of Representatives, asked whether legislation should be enacted to abolish the Federal Reserve. The poll received more than 115,000 votes, with a majority of 86% choosing "end the Fed."

The poll offered three options: "end the Fed," "keep the Fed," and "show only the poll results." The survey ended on Thursday with more than 115,000 votes. Of the respondents, 10.6% chose to simply look at the results, only 2.8% voted for "keep the Fed," and 86.6% supported "end the Fed." The most popular choice in the poll and post comments was to abolish the Fed.

In addition, the Fed is considered a "moral hazard" because it enables banks to engage in speculative and risky lending practices because they know the Fed will intervene to prevent banks from failing. This happened several times during the financial crisis when the Fed bailed out troubled banks. Ambush potential coins in advance, click my avatar to find me. Welcome to like, follow, collect and forward. Ambush potential coins in advance, click my avatar to find me. Welcome to like, follow, collect and forward. #美联储利率决议即将公布

Is this round of bull market over?

If the bull market starts, will you be in the car?

#5月市场关键事件 #香港加密货币ETF #美联储利率决议即将公布

The answer is: the bull market is there, but the original people may have been replaced!

Today, the overall market fell.

Led by Bitcoin, it fell below 57, and Ethereum also hit a new low of 28 since last month.

If it cannot be recovered as soon as possible, it can be regarded as an effective break. The next step is more dangerous.

Key point: The car is too heavy now, so it needs to be washed.

New friends must hold on to the spot and don't be scared to get off the car!

Observation: cos, bnx, doge, wif.....
In the bull market, you must survive.
At the same time, you must be bolder.
Of course this is not an investment advice*

Specifically, follow me to join Junyang🌹 
After the 51 holiday
I will arrange a spot
There is a high probability of doubling in the short term, and a 3-6 times increase in the long term,
Again, if you take the initiative to find me, I will take you ashore, you just lie down,
Fans who want to follow can see my personal pinned
Comment area deduct 6 to take you to my club for free Junyang!
Jiu Ge will not let my fans miss out in this bull market! This is the truth👈
#W #PRDI

The Fed slowed down its rate cuts! The next few months may be the "decisive moment"
The latest minutes of the Fed meeting simply dropped a "blockbuster bomb" on the market! It seems to be a simple sentence, but it hides a mystery: inflation has not been controlled, and the effect of Trump's policy is still unclear, so in the next stage, the Fed decided to "slow down the pace of rate cuts"! To put it bluntly, the current interest rate is about the same, and a too fast cut may cause inflation to rebound and make a mess.
However, at this time, a "bargainer" appeared-Waller, who actually didn't believe in evil! On January 8, he said that inflation would continue to fall and go straight to the 2% target, and supported continued rate cuts this year. He also confidently stated that the US economy is stable and the job market is super healthy, and tariffs will not affect anything at all.
Most officials think that it is time to slow down. Although inflation pressure is a bit high, it is estimated that it will not return to the 2% target so quickly. The problem is that there are many external risks, such as trade, immigration policy changes, geopolitical crises, loose financial environment, and even rising housing prices may be "time bombs"! These factors may disrupt the market situation at any time.
The job market seems to be quite stable, but we still have to keep an eye on the labor data, because no one knows when it will suddenly fall apart.
In short, the future monetary policy still depends on the data, and there is no fixed timetable - do you think the policy direction is predictable? That's not necessarily the case!
Is the market making you a little confused? Can't find the direction? Then quickly follow us, Mr. Zhao will help you unlock the big market opportunities! #美联储何时降息？ #美联储利率决议即将公布 #特朗普上台概念币有哪些？ #DeFAI热点 #晒交易赢奖励 $BTC $GAS $D

If it can't effectively break through 3700

Just short it

As long as you keep up with Brother Qiang's pace, you can make money

Many fans asked me why it fell so badly?

Why do you want to short? Isn't the bull market coming? Isn't it said that Trump is about to take office?

The exit of profit-taking, institutional selling, and the uncertainty of interest rate cut expectations are the main reasons for this decline

#美联储利率决议即将公布
#美联储
#特朗普概念币

Many troops follow me to charge, I have a premonition, this is the last time below 4500 before the interest rate cut #美联储利率决议即将公布 #ETH

(2/2) Global attention: At 2:00 a.m. Beijing time on August 1 (Thursday), the "trailer" of the Fed's interest rate cut will be released.

2. Currency market tone and suggestions

1. $BTC : Technically, the daily line forms a bearish engulfing. Before breaking through 68253, the correction has not ended, and the possibility of a sharp drop is small. Tonight's interest rate meeting may surge, but there is no signal for further rise. Further rise still needs to wait for positive catalysts.
The callback support range is 64000~65000, which can be intervened in batches.

2. $ETH : Grayscale sold nearly 2 billion US dollars. Although it slowed down, there is still selling pressure. The trend follows the big cake to surge, but the amplitude is limited. Wait patiently for Grayscale's selling pressure to ease and intervene at lows.
The first support range is 3250~3100, which can be intervened in batches.

#以太坊和美国证券交易SEC #BTC走勢分析 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #MtGox钱包动态 #美联储利率决议即将公布

🌟【This Week's Global Financial Storm Eye】🔥
⏰【Key Event Alert】
✅ Tonight 02:00 Fed Interest Rate Decision + 02:30 Powell Monetary Policy Speech
✅ Wednesday 15:00 China Ministry of Commerce Press Conference
✅ Wednesday 16:00 ECB President Lagarde Parliament Speech
✅ Wednesday 16:30 Swiss National Bank Interest Rate Decision
✅ Wednesday 20:00 Bank of England Interest Rate Announcement
🎯 Welcome to get exclusive interpretations:
Real-time updates, accurately capturing cryptocurrency market fluctuations! 🚀
Brothers who want to join, comment 666 for free sharing
#加密货币 #美联储利率决议即将公布 $BTC