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美联储降息

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🚨 Federal Reserve rate cut expectations drive crypto rebound: This week's interest rate decision may reshape risk appetite 🚨 On December 8, 2025, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is highly anticipated, with the market expecting a 87% probability of a third rate cut, which could inject liquidity and drive a rebound in the crypto market. Bitcoin (BTC) has rebounded from its lows to above $91,000, with the CoinDesk 20 index rising 8%. Analysis shows that if the rate cut occurs, BTC could test resistance at $95,000 in the short term. Suggested entry point: Buy near the $90,000 support, targeting a $95,000 rebound, with a stop loss set at $89,000 to guard against volatility. #美联储降息 #BTC $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
🚨 Federal Reserve rate cut expectations drive crypto rebound: This week's interest rate decision may reshape risk appetite 🚨
On December 8, 2025, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is highly anticipated, with the market expecting a 87% probability of a third rate cut, which could inject liquidity and drive a rebound in the crypto market.
Bitcoin (BTC) has rebounded from its lows to above $91,000, with the CoinDesk 20 index rising 8%. Analysis shows that if the rate cut occurs, BTC could test resistance at $95,000 in the short term. Suggested entry point: Buy near the $90,000 support, targeting a $95,000 rebound, with a stop loss set at $89,000 to guard against volatility.
#美联储降息 #BTC $BTC
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Brothers, the opportunity has come again! Let's take a look at today's major events: The Federal Reserve is highly likely to cut interest rates by 0.25% in December, and the liquidity is easing again. CEOs of Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup are going to talk to senators about cryptocurrency legislation; the market is about to move. The UK is relaxing retail investment rules, providing more opportunities for retail investors. Argentina is considering allowing banks to engage in cryptocurrency trading, and the global trend is becoming clearer. Dubai Customs and Binance are collaborating to promote cryptocurrency payments, making it more convenient. Trump announced that Nvidia can sell H200 chips to China; tech stocks and cryptocurrencies are linked. In summary: The overall environment is slowly opening up, and there are opportunities every day, but only for those who understand! The market won't wait for you; those who dare to get on board are reaping the rewards, while those who hesitate can only watch. #美联储降息 #美联储重启降息步伐
Brothers, the opportunity has come again! Let's take a look at today's major events:

The Federal Reserve is highly likely to cut interest rates by 0.25% in December, and the liquidity is easing again.

CEOs of Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup are going to talk to senators about cryptocurrency legislation; the market is about to move.

The UK is relaxing retail investment rules, providing more opportunities for retail investors.

Argentina is considering allowing banks to engage in cryptocurrency trading, and the global trend is becoming clearer.

Dubai Customs and Binance are collaborating to promote cryptocurrency payments, making it more convenient.

Trump announced that Nvidia can sell H200 chips to China; tech stocks and cryptocurrencies are linked.

In summary: The overall environment is slowly opening up, and there are opportunities every day, but only for those who understand!

The market won't wait for you; those who dare to get on board are reaping the rewards, while those who hesitate can only watch.
#美联储降息 #美联储重启降息步伐
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$ETH $ZEC $DOGE The global financial system is splitting open, and hot money has caught the wind! 🚀 This week, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is almost a foregone conclusion, but what might be more intense is the subsequent "invisible easing"—restarting bond purchases and wildly injecting liquidity into the market. Once the floodgates are opened, the cryptocurrency space will be the first stop! Ethereum (ETH) has become a clear choice for institutions: Big Brother is betting 5000 ETH with 25x leverage, with the liquidation line set at 3062, clearly determined to fight for the bull market. Coupled with an upgraded narrative and deflationary mechanism, once it breaks through the fluctuation range, the space will be fully opened. Dogecoin (DOGE) has once again received the divine power of Musk—Tesla's official store in the U.S. now supports DOGE payments! The classic MEME has solidified its role in the "out-of-circle payment" scene, igniting both popularity and practicality. Zcash (ZEC) is experiencing extreme volatility; while bears shout "it will never return to 700," there are hidden opportunities for a comeback in the privacy track amid the compliance wave. High volatility + high divergence = high opportunity, but be sure to set stop losses. In the current market, never let a single piece of news dictate the rhythm. The interest rate cut is an "expectation," and Powell's speech may lean hawkish, making it highly likely that the market will follow the pattern of "buy the expectation, sell the fact." Hold onto spot positions and be cautious with high leverage, focusing on assets with narrative and liquidity—such as the Ethereum ecosystem and its early hot targets. Please pay attention to Musk's p u p p i e s launching at ten thousand times. The bull is on the road, but the pit is also underfoot. Will you choose to chase the rise or wait for a pullback? Let’s discuss in the comments: which coin do you think this wave of liquidity will first rush to? 👇 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐 #巨鲸动向 #美联储降息
$ETH $ZEC $DOGE The global financial system is splitting open, and hot money has caught the wind! 🚀

This week, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is almost a foregone conclusion, but what might be more intense is the subsequent "invisible easing"—restarting bond purchases and wildly injecting liquidity into the market. Once the floodgates are opened, the cryptocurrency space will be the first stop!

Ethereum (ETH) has become a clear choice for institutions: Big Brother is betting 5000 ETH with 25x leverage, with the liquidation line set at 3062, clearly determined to fight for the bull market. Coupled with an upgraded narrative and deflationary mechanism, once it breaks through the fluctuation range, the space will be fully opened.

Dogecoin (DOGE) has once again received the divine power of Musk—Tesla's official store in the U.S. now supports DOGE payments! The classic MEME has solidified its role in the "out-of-circle payment" scene, igniting both popularity and practicality.

Zcash (ZEC) is experiencing extreme volatility; while bears shout "it will never return to 700," there are hidden opportunities for a comeback in the privacy track amid the compliance wave. High volatility + high divergence = high opportunity, but be sure to set stop losses.

In the current market, never let a single piece of news dictate the rhythm. The interest rate cut is an "expectation," and Powell's speech may lean hawkish, making it highly likely that the market will follow the pattern of "buy the expectation, sell the fact." Hold onto spot positions and be cautious with high leverage, focusing on assets with narrative and liquidity—such as the Ethereum ecosystem and its early hot targets.

Please pay attention to Musk's p u p p i e s launching at ten thousand times.

The bull is on the road, but the pit is also underfoot. Will you choose to chase the rise or wait for a pullback?

Let’s discuss in the comments: which coin do you think this wave of liquidity will first rush to? 👇
#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐 #巨鲸动向 #美联储降息
puppies 币翻身:
稳啊老哥
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$ZEC $ETH $BNB 🔥Emergency Warning: Interest Rate Cuts are a Smoke Screen! Powell's Hawkish Speech at 3:30 AM is the Main Event 🪙This interest rate cut is merely a passive compromise; Powell has been 'reluctant' throughout—economic cooling but stubborn inflation, under the dilemma of policy only able to follow the 'one step down, half step stop' routine! ⏰ Key Time Lock: Thursday 3 AM Fed Rate Decision (Expected Rate Cut of 25BP) Thursday 3:30 AM Powell Press Conference (Ultimate Direction Setting) Why are we certain Powell will 'hawk'? Three strong pieces of evidence: 1. Inflation Stickiness Exceeds Expectations: Core PCE remains at 2.8%, Core CPI hovers around 3.1%-3.3%, far from the 2% target, rash loosening would mean throwing past efforts away; 2. Rates are Nearing a Critical Point: After the cut, rates will likely fall within the 3.75%-4.0% range, further cuts would breach 'restrictive rates', Powell will not give inflation rebound any chance; 3. The Economy is Not at the Breaking Point: GDP still has a growth rate of 1.2%-1.6%, the job market remains stable, the Fed has enough capital to 'stay still'. 💥 Core Judgment: The implementation of interest rate cuts means 'bad news is fully priced in', the crypto market will likely spike then quickly reverse, initiating a deep correction—don't be confused by short-term liquidity surges, Powell's 'hawk claws' are already poised! 📌 Different Player Strategies: • Aggressive Faction: Position 2-5x long-term short orders at rebound peaks, closely monitor key resistance levels for stop-loss; • Cautious Faction: Cash is king, reduce positions to light holdings, refuse to chase highs, wait for corrections before adding; • Long-Term Faction: Ignore short-term fluctuations, focus on high-growth sectors, patiently wait for next year's major movements. ✨ Ultimate Logic: The present is a pit, next year is a wave! The second half of 2026 is the true 'liquidity feast': Trump returns to power → Fed policy shifts → Aggressive easing begins, combined with global capital reallocation, the crypto market will welcome a super bull market of 3-5 years. Current corrections are all about building energy for next year's wild waves—don't be fooled by the 'sugar coating' of rate cuts, Powell's hawkish stance will be the compass for the upcoming market trends! #美联储降息 #鲍威尔鹰派预警 #加密市场策略 #比特币VS代币化黄金 #宏观经济分析
$ZEC $ETH $BNB 🔥Emergency Warning: Interest Rate Cuts are a Smoke Screen! Powell's Hawkish Speech at 3:30 AM is the Main Event
🪙This interest rate cut is merely a passive compromise; Powell has been 'reluctant' throughout—economic cooling but stubborn inflation, under the dilemma of policy only able to follow the 'one step down, half step stop' routine!

⏰ Key Time Lock:
Thursday 3 AM Fed Rate Decision (Expected Rate Cut of 25BP)
Thursday 3:30 AM Powell Press Conference (Ultimate Direction Setting)

Why are we certain Powell will 'hawk'? Three strong pieces of evidence:

1. Inflation Stickiness Exceeds Expectations: Core PCE remains at 2.8%, Core CPI hovers around 3.1%-3.3%, far from the 2% target, rash loosening would mean throwing past efforts away;

2. Rates are Nearing a Critical Point: After the cut, rates will likely fall within the 3.75%-4.0% range, further cuts would breach 'restrictive rates', Powell will not give inflation rebound any chance;

3. The Economy is Not at the Breaking Point: GDP still has a growth rate of 1.2%-1.6%, the job market remains stable, the Fed has enough capital to 'stay still'.

💥 Core Judgment:
The implementation of interest rate cuts means 'bad news is fully priced in', the crypto market will likely spike then quickly reverse, initiating a deep correction—don't be confused by short-term liquidity surges, Powell's 'hawk claws' are already poised!

📌 Different Player Strategies:

• Aggressive Faction: Position 2-5x long-term short orders at rebound peaks, closely monitor key resistance levels for stop-loss;

• Cautious Faction: Cash is king, reduce positions to light holdings, refuse to chase highs, wait for corrections before adding;

• Long-Term Faction: Ignore short-term fluctuations, focus on high-growth sectors, patiently wait for next year's major movements.

✨ Ultimate Logic: The present is a pit, next year is a wave!
The second half of 2026 is the true 'liquidity feast': Trump returns to power → Fed policy shifts → Aggressive easing begins, combined with global capital reallocation, the crypto market will welcome a super bull market of 3-5 years.

Current corrections are all about building energy for next year's wild waves—don't be fooled by the 'sugar coating' of rate cuts, Powell's hawkish stance will be the compass for the upcoming market trends!

#美联储降息 #鲍威尔鹰派预警 #加密市场策略 #比特币VS代币化黄金 #宏观经济分析
Binance BiBi:
Hey there! An interesting framework for analyzing macro factors. My perspective is that the ecosystem's long-term trajectory is more a function of endogenous evolution—scalability, UX, and core protocol innovation—than a reaction to exogenous stimuli like central bank policies. The real signal comes from within.
--
Bullish
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🚨 Federal Reserve rate cut expectations drive crypto rebound: This week's interest rate decision may reshape risk appetite 🚨 On December 8, 2025, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is highly anticipated, with the market expecting a 87% probability of a third rate cut, which could inject liquidity and drive a rebound in the crypto market. Bitcoin (BTC) has rebounded from its lows to above $91,000, with the CoinDesk 20 index rising 8%. Analysis shows that if the rate cut occurs, BTC could test resistance at $95,000 in the short term. Suggested entry point: Buy near the $90,000 support, targeting a $95,000 rebound, with a stop loss set at $89,000 to guard against volatility. #美联储降息 #BTC
🚨 Federal Reserve rate cut expectations drive crypto rebound: This week's interest rate decision may reshape risk appetite 🚨

On December 8, 2025, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is highly anticipated, with the market expecting a 87% probability of a third rate cut, which could inject liquidity and drive a rebound in the crypto market.

Bitcoin (BTC) has rebounded from its lows to above $91,000, with the CoinDesk 20 index rising 8%. Analysis shows that if the rate cut occurs, BTC could test resistance at $95,000 in the short term. Suggested entry point: Buy near the $90,000 support, targeting a $95,000 rebound, with a stop loss set at $89,000 to guard against volatility.

#美联储降息 #BTC
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[LIVE] 🎙️ 牛还在ETH看8500,12月美联储降息+日本加息
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快看!机会又来了!快看看今天的大事件: 美联储12月大概率降息0.25%,资金面又松了 美银、富国、花旗CEO要去跟参议员聊加密立法,市场要动了 英国放松零售投资规则,散户机会更多 阿根廷考虑让银行做加密交易,全球趋势越来越明确 迪拜海关和币安联手,推进加密支付,便利直接上 特朗普宣布,英伟达可以向中国卖H200芯片,科技股和加密都有联动 一句话总结:大环境在慢慢打开,机会天天都有,但只给懂的人!抓住行情,观望只能干等着 #美联储降息 #美联储重启降息步伐
快看!机会又来了!快看看今天的大事件:
美联储12月大概率降息0.25%,资金面又松了
美银、富国、花旗CEO要去跟参议员聊加密立法,市场要动了
英国放松零售投资规则,散户机会更多
阿根廷考虑让银行做加密交易,全球趋势越来越明确
迪拜海关和币安联手,推进加密支付,便利直接上
特朗普宣布,英伟达可以向中国卖H200芯片,科技股和加密都有联动
一句话总结:大环境在慢慢打开,机会天天都有,但只给懂的人!抓住行情,观望只能干等着
#美联储降息 #美联储重启降息步伐
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🚨 Year-end financial nuclear explosion! The Federal Reserve + Bank of Japan reverse operations, the crypto market faces a life-and-death test! 🔥 💥 50 trillion yen arbitrage trading collapsed! The 20-year lying profit myth comes to an end! In the past, borrowing zero-interest yen to buy Bitcoin and US stocks for price differences, now Japan raises interest rates → financing costs skyrocket, the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates → returns shrink, global giants collectively close positions and escape! Bitcoin dropped over 20% this month, $XRP , $LUNC , $WIN all plummeted simultaneously, the crypto market lost 1 billion dollars in 24 hours, 270,000 people were wiped out 📉! 🌍 Capital flight begins! Emerging markets + crypto markets are double-hit! Funds are flowing back to Japan wildly, the Thai baht and Vietnamese dong exchange rates collapsed, the Vietnamese stock market fell over 5% in a single week; countries with massive yen-denominated debts see debt explode, default risks hit the ceiling! Cryptocurrencies, as high-risk assets, are the first to bear the brunt, with volatility directly doubling 💸! ⚠️ 260% debt bomb countdown! Is Japan about to blow up the world? Japanese bond yields soar to a new high since 2008, "triple kill" in stocks, bonds, and currencies begins; the scale of Japanese government bonds reaches 260% of GDP, and after the interest rate hike, they can't even pay the interest, once this bomb detonates, the global financial system will shake violently 💣! ✅ Survival rules in chaotic times: Quickly reduce high leverage! Will the US-Japan reverse operations trigger a financial tsunami? No one knows, but high volatility is inevitable! For those holding crypto assets, don’t blindly bottom-fish, defense is king 🛡️! 🔥 Soul-searching question: Where is the biggest thunder point this time? Is it Japan's debt collapse, or will the emerging markets explode first? Can cryptocurrencies turn the tide against the trend? ⬇️ Share your predictions in the comments! Keep an eye on Ethereum chain 🐶P U P P I E S🐶, there may be new opportunities in chaos~ #美联储降息 #日本加息 #金融风暴 #日元套利交易 #投资攻略
🚨 Year-end financial nuclear explosion! The Federal Reserve + Bank of Japan reverse operations, the crypto market faces a life-and-death test! 🔥

💥 50 trillion yen arbitrage trading collapsed! The 20-year lying profit myth comes to an end!
In the past, borrowing zero-interest yen to buy Bitcoin and US stocks for price differences, now Japan raises interest rates → financing costs skyrocket, the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates → returns shrink, global giants collectively close positions and escape! Bitcoin dropped over 20% this month, $XRP , $LUNC , $WIN all plummeted simultaneously, the crypto market lost 1 billion dollars in 24 hours, 270,000 people were wiped out 📉!

🌍 Capital flight begins! Emerging markets + crypto markets are double-hit!
Funds are flowing back to Japan wildly, the Thai baht and Vietnamese dong exchange rates collapsed, the Vietnamese stock market fell over 5% in a single week; countries with massive yen-denominated debts see debt explode, default risks hit the ceiling! Cryptocurrencies, as high-risk assets, are the first to bear the brunt, with volatility directly doubling 💸!

⚠️ 260% debt bomb countdown! Is Japan about to blow up the world?
Japanese bond yields soar to a new high since 2008, "triple kill" in stocks, bonds, and currencies begins; the scale of Japanese government bonds reaches 260% of GDP, and after the interest rate hike, they can't even pay the interest, once this bomb detonates, the global financial system will shake violently 💣!

✅ Survival rules in chaotic times: Quickly reduce high leverage!
Will the US-Japan reverse operations trigger a financial tsunami? No one knows, but high volatility is inevitable! For those holding crypto assets, don’t blindly bottom-fish, defense is king 🛡️!

🔥 Soul-searching question: Where is the biggest thunder point this time?
Is it Japan's debt collapse, or will the emerging markets explode first? Can cryptocurrencies turn the tide against the trend? ⬇️ Share your predictions in the comments! Keep an eye on Ethereum chain 🐶P U P P I E S🐶, there may be new opportunities in chaos~

#美联储降息 #日本加息 #金融风暴 #日元套利交易 #投资攻略
Binance BiBi:
好的,这个话题信息量确实很大,让我来帮你核查一下! 根据最新的市场信息,你提到的美联储可能降息与日本央行可能加息的“反向操作”,确实是当前全球金融市场关注的焦点。这种政策分歧正在加剧外汇和高风险资产的波动。 这种宏观环境的变化确实给加密市场带来了压力,我查到的数据显示 BTC、XRP、LUNC 和 WIN 在过去24小时内价格确有波动。在这样的时期,你帖子中提到的降低杠杆、谨慎防守的策略是相当稳妥的建议。 对于文中提到的PUPPIES,请务必在参与前做足自己的研究(DYOR)。市场动荡时,新机遇也伴随着高风险。希望这些信息对你有帮助!
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Does the Federal Reserve slap and then give a candy? Brother Yi breaks down hawkish rate cuts, and retail investors in the crypto circle respond this way This week, the Federal Reserve's dramatic maneuvers have escalated directly, with rate cuts basically set in stone, but Powell is very likely to start playing the bad cop—this is what is often referred to in Wall Street circles as hawkish rate cuts. What are hawkish rate cuts? Simply put, it’s a typical slap-and-candy scenario: on one hand, providing the market with rate cut benefits, while on the other hand, maintaining a stern face and delivering harsh words that it won’t be a precedent. After all, there's been a lot of internal conflict within the Federal Reserve; one faction wants to continue easing to save the market, while another insists on tightening to prevent inflation. Old Powell's operation here is about finding a balance, first cutting rates and then hinting that there won’t be sustained easing in the future, to appease the opposition. From an asset impact perspective, rate cuts are essentially a signal of liquidity injection, which is absolutely beneficial for assets like Bitcoin in the long term, but hawkish statements will splash cold water on the market, and short-term volatility will definitely increase. Don’t expect a continuous surge. However, since the faucet has already been turned on, the general direction isn’t bad. How should retail investors respond? Brother Yi teaches you three tricks: don’t chase highs or panic sell; the market tends to jump around easily before and after news, and acting rashly can lead to losses. Keep your focus on the core of liquidity injection; interest rates are indeed falling, and money will always find a place to go, so hold on to core assets and ignore the noise. Set aside enough cash; if hawkish speeches create deep pits in the market, it’s just the right time to buy in batches. With rate cut expectations fully in play, you can’t enter the financial door in a hurry! Making money in the crypto circle relies on strategy and patience. Follow Brother Yi for real-time signals on when to enter the market, and don’t get lost on the road to wealth! #加密市场观察 #美联储降息
Does the Federal Reserve slap and then give a candy? Brother Yi breaks down hawkish rate cuts, and retail investors in the crypto circle respond this way
This week, the Federal Reserve's dramatic maneuvers have escalated directly, with rate cuts basically set in stone, but Powell is very likely to start playing the bad cop—this is what is often referred to in Wall Street circles as hawkish rate cuts.

What are hawkish rate cuts? Simply put, it’s a typical slap-and-candy scenario: on one hand, providing the market with rate cut benefits, while on the other hand, maintaining a stern face and delivering harsh words that it won’t be a precedent.

After all, there's been a lot of internal conflict within the Federal Reserve; one faction wants to continue easing to save the market, while another insists on tightening to prevent inflation. Old Powell's operation here is about finding a balance, first cutting rates and then hinting that there won’t be sustained easing in the future, to appease the opposition.

From an asset impact perspective, rate cuts are essentially a signal of liquidity injection, which is absolutely beneficial for assets like Bitcoin in the long term, but hawkish statements will splash cold water on the market, and short-term volatility will definitely increase. Don’t expect a continuous surge.

However, since the faucet has already been turned on, the general direction isn’t bad.

How should retail investors respond? Brother Yi teaches you three tricks: don’t chase highs or panic sell; the market tends to jump around easily before and after news, and acting rashly can lead to losses.

Keep your focus on the core of liquidity injection; interest rates are indeed falling, and money will always find a place to go, so hold on to core assets and ignore the noise.

Set aside enough cash; if hawkish speeches create deep pits in the market, it’s just the right time to buy in batches.

With rate cut expectations fully in play, you can’t enter the financial door in a hurry!

Making money in the crypto circle relies on strategy and patience. Follow Brother Yi for real-time signals on when to enter the market, and don’t get lost on the road to wealth!

#加密市场观察

#美联储降息
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#美联储降息 $ETH This week, the Federal Reserve's last interest rate meeting of the year is approaching, and it will announce the interest rate decision at 3:00 AM (UTC+8) on Thursday, followed by a monetary policy press conference held by Fed Chairman Powell at 3:30 AM (UTC+8). According to CME FedWatch, the likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut is 84%. This week's Fed meeting is expected to be one of the most controversial meetings in recent years, with investors focusing on the divergence among policymakers regarding the outlook for rate cuts and the signals sent by Fed Chairman Powell about the future direction of policy. Among the 12 voting members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), 5 have expressed opposition or skepticism toward further easing of monetary policy, while 3 members of the board support a rate cut. Since 2019, there have not been three or more dissenting votes at any FOMC meeting, and the divergence has drawn close attention from dissenters. Important macro data and events are as follows: Tuesday: The Reserve Bank of Australia announces the interest rate decision, and RBA Governor Lowe holds a monetary policy press conference; Wednesday: U.S. 3rd quarter labor cost index quarterly rate; the Bank of Canada announces the interest rate decision; Thursday: The Fed FOMC releases the interest rate decision and economic projections summary, and Fed Chairman Powell holds a monetary policy press conference; U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending December 6; Friday: The Fed releases data on the financial health of U.S. households from the 2025 Q3 flow of funds report; 2026 FOMC voter, Philadelphia Fed President Harker speaks on economic outlook; 2026 FOMC voter, Cleveland Fed President Mester speaks; Chicago Fed President Evans participates in a dialogue with the host before the 39th Annual Economic Outlook Symposium at the Chicago Fed. Market closure reminder: On Wednesday, U.S. stocks on the New York Stock Exchange will close early at 2:00 AM Beijing time; on Thursday, U.S. stocks, stock markets in multiple European countries, South Korea, and Australia will all be closed, and trading of precious metals, U.S. oil, foreign exchange, and stock index futures contracts under CME will be suspended all day, as well as trading of Brent crude oil futures contracts under ICE. {future}(ETHUSDT)
#美联储降息 $ETH This week, the Federal Reserve's last interest rate meeting of the year is approaching, and it will announce the interest rate decision at 3:00 AM (UTC+8) on Thursday, followed by a monetary policy press conference held by Fed Chairman Powell at 3:30 AM (UTC+8). According to CME FedWatch, the likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut is 84%. This week's Fed meeting is expected to be one of the most controversial meetings in recent years, with investors focusing on the divergence among policymakers regarding the outlook for rate cuts and the signals sent by Fed Chairman Powell about the future direction of policy. Among the 12 voting members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), 5 have expressed opposition or skepticism toward further easing of monetary policy, while 3 members of the board support a rate cut. Since 2019, there have not been three or more dissenting votes at any FOMC meeting, and the divergence has drawn close attention from dissenters. Important macro data and events are as follows:

Tuesday:
The Reserve Bank of Australia announces the interest rate decision, and RBA Governor Lowe holds a monetary policy press conference;

Wednesday:
U.S. 3rd quarter labor cost index quarterly rate; the Bank of Canada announces the interest rate decision;

Thursday:
The Fed FOMC releases the interest rate decision and economic projections summary, and Fed Chairman Powell holds a monetary policy press conference;
U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending December 6;

Friday:
The Fed releases data on the financial health of U.S. households from the 2025 Q3 flow of funds report;
2026 FOMC voter, Philadelphia Fed President Harker speaks on economic outlook;
2026 FOMC voter, Cleveland Fed President Mester speaks;
Chicago Fed President Evans participates in a dialogue with the host before the 39th Annual Economic Outlook Symposium at the Chicago Fed.

Market closure reminder: On Wednesday, U.S. stocks on the New York Stock Exchange will close early at 2:00 AM Beijing time; on Thursday, U.S. stocks, stock markets in multiple European countries, South Korea, and Australia will all be closed, and trading of precious metals, U.S. oil, foreign exchange, and stock index futures contracts under CME will be suspended all day, as well as trading of Brent crude oil futures contracts under ICE.
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Interest rate cuts are about to begin, is Powell being coerced? The strategy for tonight’s operation with Bitcoin at 12.7 At the beginning of the month, the bottom-picking strategy met expectations, with Bitcoin easily surpassing 10,000 points, and Ethereum could also gain two to three hundred points. The shorting strategy at the rebound to 94,000 also met expectations. Although the PCE price index announced on Friday was below expectations, with interest rate cuts imminent, since the former president took office last year, there has only been a one-time cut of 50 basis points that boosted the market. However, this round of White House shutdown has led to a deep pullback in cryptocurrency prices. Conan believes this interest rate cut will boost the market, so the bullish outlook remains unchanged! From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is likely to form a doji star on the weekly chart. The KDJ indicator is turning up from a low position, and the MACD volume is also decreasing, along with the spot ETF seeing a net inflow for two consecutive weeks. Although the volume is not large, it is enough to show that market confidence has been boosted, so the strategy of buying on dips remains unchanged! Long position strategy for the evening of 12.7 and early the next day: Bitcoin pullback to 89,500-90,000 for one lot, cautious traders enter at 88,500-89,000, with a stop-loss below 88,000, targeting around 91,000-92,000, and if broken, aiming for around 93,000-94,000, continue to adjust the stop-loss based on the situation! Ethereum pullback to 2,970-3,000 to enter long, cautious traders enter at 2,900-2,930, with a stop-loss near 2,850, targeting around 3,050-3,100, if broken, aiming for around 3,150-3,200-3,250, continue to adjust the stop-loss based on the situation! Short position strategy for the evening of 12.7 and early the next day: Bitcoin rebound to 94,000-94,500 to short one lot, with a stop-loss near 95,500, targeting around 93,000-92,000, if broken, aiming for around 91,000-90,500-90,000, continue to adjust the stop-loss based on the situation! Ethereum rebound to 3,230-3,250 to short one lot, with a stop-loss near 3,280, targeting around 3,200-3,150, if broken, aiming for around 3,100-3,070-3,050, continue to adjust the stop-loss based on the situation! Previously, market rumors suggested that Powell would soon resign as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, although no specific time has been confirmed. However, the former president has also publicly stated the candidates for the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve. Whether this will cause adverse reactions remains to be seen, so let's wait and see! #美联储降息 {future}(ETHUSDT) {future}(BTCUSDT)
Interest rate cuts are about to begin, is Powell being coerced? The strategy for tonight’s operation with Bitcoin at 12.7

At the beginning of the month, the bottom-picking strategy met expectations, with Bitcoin easily surpassing 10,000 points, and Ethereum could also gain two to three hundred points. The shorting strategy at the rebound to 94,000 also met expectations. Although the PCE price index announced on Friday was below expectations, with interest rate cuts imminent, since the former president took office last year, there has only been a one-time cut of 50 basis points that boosted the market. However, this round of White House shutdown has led to a deep pullback in cryptocurrency prices. Conan believes this interest rate cut will boost the market, so the bullish outlook remains unchanged!

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is likely to form a doji star on the weekly chart. The KDJ indicator is turning up from a low position, and the MACD volume is also decreasing, along with the spot ETF seeing a net inflow for two consecutive weeks. Although the volume is not large, it is enough to show that market confidence has been boosted, so the strategy of buying on dips remains unchanged!

Long position strategy for the evening of 12.7 and early the next day:

Bitcoin pullback to 89,500-90,000 for one lot, cautious traders enter at 88,500-89,000, with a stop-loss below 88,000, targeting around 91,000-92,000, and if broken, aiming for around 93,000-94,000, continue to adjust the stop-loss based on the situation!

Ethereum pullback to 2,970-3,000 to enter long, cautious traders enter at 2,900-2,930, with a stop-loss near 2,850, targeting around 3,050-3,100, if broken, aiming for around 3,150-3,200-3,250, continue to adjust the stop-loss based on the situation!

Short position strategy for the evening of 12.7 and early the next day:

Bitcoin rebound to 94,000-94,500 to short one lot, with a stop-loss near 95,500, targeting around 93,000-92,000, if broken, aiming for around 91,000-90,500-90,000, continue to adjust the stop-loss based on the situation!

Ethereum rebound to 3,230-3,250 to short one lot, with a stop-loss near 3,280, targeting around 3,200-3,150, if broken, aiming for around 3,100-3,070-3,050, continue to adjust the stop-loss based on the situation!

Previously, market rumors suggested that Powell would soon resign as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, although no specific time has been confirmed. However, the former president has also publicly stated the candidates for the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve. Whether this will cause adverse reactions remains to be seen, so let's wait and see! #美联储降息
Irvin Parris pMML:
准备好子弹
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Is the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut next week a done deal? Crypto players, don't be foolishly waiting! These 3 hidden lines are the key to price movements ⚠️Hey guys! The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is coming up next week 📅 The market is shouting "definitely a 25 basis point cut", probability skyrocketed to 84%, but seasoned traders know — the real market dynamics are never in the "consensus", but in the "expectation gap"! To get a taste in the crypto market, just focusing on interest rate cut actions is far from enough; these points are the deadly key 👇 1️⃣ 84% consensus on interest rate cuts = "clear signal", the internal divisions within the FOMC are the "hidden risks" ⚡ Don't be fooled by high probabilities! This time, 5 big shots within the FOMC clearly oppose/suspect further interest rate cuts, a split like this hasn’t happened since 2019!

Is the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut next week a done deal? Crypto players, don't be foolishly waiting! These 3 hidden lines are the key to price movements ⚠️

Hey guys! The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is coming up next week 📅 The market is shouting "definitely a 25 basis point cut", probability skyrocketed to 84%, but seasoned traders know — the real market dynamics are never in the "consensus", but in the "expectation gap"! To get a taste in the crypto market, just focusing on interest rate cut actions is far from enough; these points are the deadly key 👇
1️⃣ 84% consensus on interest rate cuts = "clear signal", the internal divisions within the FOMC are the "hidden risks" ⚡
Don't be fooled by high probabilities! This time, 5 big shots within the FOMC clearly oppose/suspect further interest rate cuts, a split like this hasn’t happened since 2019!
Parbata:
666
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#ETH走势分析 $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) $BNB {future}(BNBUSDT) $Binance Life {alpha}(560x924fa68a0fc644485b8df8abfa0a41c2e7744444) 🚨 Will the US economy迎来 a 'golden year' in 2026? A major prediction has arrived! The Director of the US National Economic Council, Hassett, has recently stated: unless a 'black swan'🐦‍⬛ flies out, the economy will迎来 a highlight moment! He predicts that growth in the first and second quarters of next year could reach 3%, and he boldly forecasts that the Federal Reserve will soon cut interest rates, believing that 'now is a good time for cautious interest rate cuts'⏰. 📊 The market is also making crazy bets! According to CME's 'Federal Reserve Watch' latest data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December has soared to 86.2%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is only 13.8%. Everything will soon be revealed—— 🕒 At 3:00 AM Beijing time on December 11 (Thursday), the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision; then at 3:30, Chairman Powell will hold a press conference. The market currently expects interest rates to drop from 4.00% to 3.75%. The global market is holding its breath! Do you think Hassett's optimistic prediction can come true? 💬 Will the Federal Reserve really cut interest rates this time? Come to the comments section to share your views and let's discuss the direction of the economy!👇 #US Economy #美联储降息 #黄金一年 #Financial Predictions #Market Hotspots
#ETH走势分析 $ETH

$BNB

$Binance Life


🚨 Will the US economy迎来 a 'golden year' in 2026? A major prediction has arrived!

The Director of the US National Economic Council, Hassett, has recently stated: unless a 'black swan'🐦‍⬛ flies out, the economy will迎来 a highlight moment! He predicts that growth in the first and second quarters of next year could reach 3%, and he boldly forecasts that the Federal Reserve will soon cut interest rates, believing that 'now is a good time for cautious interest rate cuts'⏰.

📊 The market is also making crazy bets! According to CME's 'Federal Reserve Watch' latest data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December has soared to 86.2%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is only 13.8%. Everything will soon be revealed——

🕒 At 3:00 AM Beijing time on December 11 (Thursday), the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision; then at 3:30, Chairman Powell will hold a press conference. The market currently expects interest rates to drop from 4.00% to 3.75%. The global market is holding its breath!

Do you think Hassett's optimistic prediction can come true? 💬 Will the Federal Reserve really cut interest rates this time? Come to the comments section to share your views and let's discuss the direction of the economy!👇

#US Economy #美联储降息 #黄金一年 #Financial Predictions #Market Hotspots
Binance BiBi:
嘿!我看到您对宏观经济和市场走向有很深入的分析!就像您提到的,市场正密切关注本周美联储的利率决议,普遍预期可能会降息,这无疑是市场的焦点。目前ETH价格约$3007,BNB约$889。宏观事件影响复杂,让我们一起保持关注吧!请记得要做好自己的研究哦。
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🚨 Shocking! The traditional financial Zhejiang Gold Center has collapsed, while on the other side, the crypto market's meme coins are experiencing a crazy roller coaster! Today's comparison is just magical!\n\n🔥 According to multiple financial media reports, the Zhejiang Gold Center is experiencing severe redemption issues, with products overdue and the app unable to withdraw funds. The amount involved exceeds 20 billion, impacting nearly ten thousand investors. This platform is deeply tied to the liquidity crisis of the Xiangyuan Holding Group. The Zhejiang Gold Center gained trust in its early years due to its state-owned background, but its financial qualifications were revoked last year, and the shareholder structure has changed. Three related listed companies have urgently issued announcements in an attempt to distance themselves from the incident.\n\n⚡️ Meanwhile, another drama is unfolding in the crypto world: The value of $PIPPIN has surged over 150% within a day, becoming the market focus. However, data shows that its capital inflow is slowing down, and the sentiment in the derivatives market has turned bearish. This extreme volatility and contrast reveal the same essence of different market bubbles: when the carnival is built on weak narratives and liquidity, the party may end in an instant.\n\n💡 What does this mean for us?\n\n1. Break the "background superstition": Whether it's the traditional "state-owned halo" or the crypto world's "celebrity endorsements," they do not equate to asset safety. Penetrating the underlying layers and seeing where the money actually goes is the only reliable principle.\n2. Beware of "high-yield traps": The annualized return on Zhejiang Gold Center products is only 4%-5%, yet it still cannot escape the explosion. The risks behind the crypto world’s often doubled returns increase exponentially.\n3. Liquidity is the lifeline: The closure of withdrawal functions on wealth management apps, just like the "pulling out" of cryptocurrencies and contract liquidations, essentially reflects instant liquidity depletion. Never put all your assets in one basket, and certainly do not stake your entire fortune on it.\n\n💎 In such a rapidly changing narrative environment, funds will swing violently between panic and greed. Attention should be focused on mainstream assets and those early targets that possess strong community consensus and cultural resonance (e.g., Doge, the little puppy of Musk).\n\n⚠️ The market is volatile; investment requires rationality.\n\n👉 Are you more afraid of the traditional world’s "steady thunder," or can you accept the crypto world’s "clear gamble"?\n#加密市场观察 #美联储降息 #BTC #ETH #ETH走势分析 \n{future}(PIPPINUSDT)
🚨 Shocking! The traditional financial Zhejiang Gold Center has collapsed, while on the other side, the crypto market's meme coins are experiencing a crazy roller coaster! Today's comparison is just magical!\n\n🔥 According to multiple financial media reports, the Zhejiang Gold Center is experiencing severe redemption issues, with products overdue and the app unable to withdraw funds. The amount involved exceeds 20 billion, impacting nearly ten thousand investors. This platform is deeply tied to the liquidity crisis of the Xiangyuan Holding Group. The Zhejiang Gold Center gained trust in its early years due to its state-owned background, but its financial qualifications were revoked last year, and the shareholder structure has changed. Three related listed companies have urgently issued announcements in an attempt to distance themselves from the incident.\n\n⚡️ Meanwhile, another drama is unfolding in the crypto world: The value of $PIPPIN has surged over 150% within a day, becoming the market focus. However, data shows that its capital inflow is slowing down, and the sentiment in the derivatives market has turned bearish. This extreme volatility and contrast reveal the same essence of different market bubbles: when the carnival is built on weak narratives and liquidity, the party may end in an instant.\n\n💡 What does this mean for us?\n\n1. Break the "background superstition": Whether it's the traditional "state-owned halo" or the crypto world's "celebrity endorsements," they do not equate to asset safety. Penetrating the underlying layers and seeing where the money actually goes is the only reliable principle.\n2. Beware of "high-yield traps": The annualized return on Zhejiang Gold Center products is only 4%-5%, yet it still cannot escape the explosion. The risks behind the crypto world’s often doubled returns increase exponentially.\n3. Liquidity is the lifeline: The closure of withdrawal functions on wealth management apps, just like the "pulling out" of cryptocurrencies and contract liquidations, essentially reflects instant liquidity depletion. Never put all your assets in one basket, and certainly do not stake your entire fortune on it.\n\n💎 In such a rapidly changing narrative environment, funds will swing violently between panic and greed. Attention should be focused on mainstream assets and those early targets that possess strong community consensus and cultural resonance (e.g., Doge, the little puppy of Musk).\n\n⚠️ The market is volatile; investment requires rationality.\n\n👉 Are you more afraid of the traditional world’s "steady thunder," or can you accept the crypto world’s "clear gamble"?\n#加密市场观察 #美联储降息 #BTC #ETH #ETH走势分析 \n
Binance BiBi:
哈喽!我来帮你看看你提到的币种。对于像PUPPIES和PIPPIN这样的Meme币,它们的热度通常和社区讨论紧密相关,价格波动也可能很大。在关注任何币种时,深入了解其项目背景和风险非常重要。请务必自己做好研究(DYOR),并以官方公告为准来获取币安的上币信息哦。
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USDT has obtained official certification in Abu Dhabi! Is the crypto market about to change? I am Qi He! I just came across a big piece of news that I must share with you: On December 9th, USDT received the certification of 'fiat reference token' in the global market of Abu Dhabi! Simply put, regulators have given USDT an official stamp of approval, allowing institutions to trade and custody USDT openly within the framework. What impact does this have on the crypto community? I think it's a significant positive! USDT was already stable, and now it’s even more trustworthy, potentially attracting more institutional funds. Once cross-border settlement and payment scenarios open up, the crypto market might welcome a new wave of liquidity. But don’t get too excited; the market is always volatile, and this news is a long-term boost, not a short-term explosive growth trigger. What should players do? My view is: seize the opportunity, but keep a clear mind. Pay more attention to the USDT-related ecosystem, such as compliant DeFi or payment projects, but never go all in. Do your homework before investing, allocate assets reasonably, and don’t get carried away by FOMO emotions. Remember, being steady is the secret to longevity in the crypto space! In short, regulatory progress is a good thing, but we players need to follow up calmly. I am Qi He, what do you think? Let’s chat in the comments! Follow Qi He, + chat room to help you avoid pitfalls, and get the first-hand breakdown of subsequent capital movements, catching every money-making window! #美联储降息 #加密市场观察
USDT has obtained official certification in Abu Dhabi! Is the crypto market about to change?

I am Qi He! I just came across a big piece of news that I must share with you: On December 9th, USDT received the certification of 'fiat reference token' in the global market of Abu Dhabi! Simply put, regulators have given USDT an official stamp of approval, allowing institutions to trade and custody USDT openly within the framework.

What impact does this have on the crypto community? I think it's a significant positive! USDT was already stable, and now it’s even more trustworthy, potentially attracting more institutional funds. Once cross-border settlement and payment scenarios open up, the crypto market might welcome a new wave of liquidity. But don’t get too excited; the market is always volatile, and this news is a long-term boost, not a short-term explosive growth trigger.

What should players do? My view is: seize the opportunity, but keep a clear mind. Pay more attention to the USDT-related ecosystem, such as compliant DeFi or payment projects, but never go all in. Do your homework before investing, allocate assets reasonably, and don’t get carried away by FOMO emotions. Remember, being steady is the secret to longevity in the crypto space!

In short, regulatory progress is a good thing, but we players need to follow up calmly. I am Qi He, what do you think? Let’s chat in the comments!
Follow Qi He, + chat room to help you avoid pitfalls, and get the first-hand breakdown of subsequent capital movements, catching every money-making window!
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察
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💥Explosive💥! Tesla officially accepts Dogecoin payments, and Musk's promise comes true again. American owners can now directly use $DOGE to purchase certain Tesla products, marking the first time a mainstream automaker has embraced meme coins. Previously, a poll initiated by Musk received support from nearly 80% of netizens, and it has now been rapidly implemented, causing the price of DOGE to rise in response. It is important to be cautious, as each instance of market frenzy is accompanied by significant volatility. The true key is not to chase every trend but to strictly manage positions and risks—only by living long can one witness the finale. A historic step has already been taken. Will you use Dogecoin to vote for this future? #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #美联储降息 $ZEC $GIGGLE
💥Explosive💥! Tesla officially accepts Dogecoin payments, and Musk's promise comes true again.

American owners can now directly use $DOGE to purchase certain Tesla products, marking the first time a mainstream automaker has embraced meme coins. Previously, a poll initiated by Musk received support from nearly 80% of netizens, and it has now been rapidly implemented, causing the price of DOGE to rise in response.

It is important to be cautious, as each instance of market frenzy is accompanied by significant volatility. The true key is not to chase every trend but to strictly manage positions and risks—only by living long can one witness the finale.

A historic step has already been taken. Will you use Dogecoin to vote for this future?
#美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #美联储降息
$ZEC $GIGGLE
puppies法甬哥1413:
真的吗?
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Friends with small capital, please pause for a moment and listen to me. The cryptocurrency market is not a casino; it's a battlefield of strategies. With small capital, one must be steady and patient. Last year, I mentored a beginner whose account had 900U. At first, he was so nervous he could barely place an order, fearing he would lose everything in one go. I told him, "Follow my lead, and you can gradually improve."​ Four months later, his account surpassed 24,000U; Six months later, it shot up to 31,000U without a single liquidation throughout. Some ask if it was luck? Absolutely not; it was the result of strict discipline. These three iron rules of "survival and profit" helped him grow from 900U to now:​ First rule: Divide your capital into three parts and keep a safety net. Split the principal into three portions: 300U for day trading, focusing only on Bitcoin and Ethereum, taking profits when fluctuations hit 2%-4%; 300U for swing trading, wait for clear opportunities to act, holding positions for 2-4 days for stability; 300U as a reserve, do not act in extreme market conditions; this is the confidence that can turn things around. Have you seen those who go all-in with a few thousand U? When prices rise, they get euphoric; when they fall, they panic, and they won't go far. True winners know to keep some money on the sidelines. ​ Second rule: Only follow trends, do not exhaust yourself in sideways markets. Eighty percent of the time, the market is in a range, and frequent trading just pays fees to the platform. Stay put when there's no signal; act decisively when there is. Withdraw half of profits at 12% to secure gains; it’s reliable to take some off the table. A professional’s rhythm is "do nothing unless you must, and when you act, ensure success." When his account doubled, I watched him steadily collect money, remaining calm and not chasing prices. ​ Third rule: Prioritize rules, control emotions. A single position loss should never exceed 1.2%; exit when it hits the stop; If profits exceed 2.5%, reduce the position by half, let the remaining profits run; Do not average down on losses; don’t let emotions drag you down. You don’t need to perfectly time every market move, but you must adhere to the rules every time. Making money relies on a system that controls the urge to make erratic moves. ​ Having little capital is not scary; what's scary is always thinking about "a big win." Turning 900U into 31,000U relies not on luck but on rules, patience, and discipline. Opportunities exist in the cryptocurrency market, but there are more traps. Very few can truly make money; follow Uncle Nan, and let him help you turn things around in this market! #中美贸易谈判 #美国讨论BTC战略储备 #美联储降息
Friends with small capital, please pause for a moment and listen to me.

The cryptocurrency market is not a casino; it's a battlefield of strategies.

With small capital, one must be steady and patient. Last year, I mentored a beginner whose account had 900U. At first, he was so nervous he could barely place an order, fearing he would lose everything in one go.

I told him, "Follow my lead, and you can gradually improve."​
Four months later, his account surpassed 24,000U;
Six months later, it shot up to 31,000U without a single liquidation throughout.

Some ask if it was luck? Absolutely not; it was the result of strict discipline.
These three iron rules of "survival and profit" helped him grow from 900U to now:​
First rule: Divide your capital into three parts and keep a safety net.

Split the principal into three portions: 300U for day trading, focusing only on Bitcoin and Ethereum, taking profits when fluctuations hit 2%-4%;

300U for swing trading, wait for clear opportunities to act, holding positions for 2-4 days for stability;

300U as a reserve, do not act in extreme market conditions; this is the confidence that can turn things around. Have you seen those who go all-in with a few thousand U?

When prices rise, they get euphoric; when they fall, they panic, and they won't go far. True winners know to keep some money on the sidelines. ​

Second rule: Only follow trends, do not exhaust yourself in sideways markets.
Eighty percent of the time, the market is in a range, and frequent trading just pays fees to the platform.
Stay put when there's no signal; act decisively when there is.
Withdraw half of profits at 12% to secure gains; it’s reliable to take some off the table. A professional’s rhythm is "do nothing unless you must, and when you act, ensure success."

When his account doubled, I watched him steadily collect money, remaining calm and not chasing prices. ​

Third rule: Prioritize rules, control emotions. A single position loss should never exceed 1.2%; exit when it hits the stop;

If profits exceed 2.5%, reduce the position by half, let the remaining profits run;
Do not average down on losses; don’t let emotions drag you down. You don’t need to perfectly time every market move, but you must adhere to the rules every time.

Making money relies on a system that controls the urge to make erratic moves. ​

Having little capital is not scary; what's scary is always thinking about "a big win." Turning 900U into 31,000U relies not on luck but on rules, patience, and discipline.

Opportunities exist in the cryptocurrency market, but there are more traps. Very few can truly make money; follow Uncle Nan, and let him help you turn things around in this market!

#中美贸易谈判 #美国讨论BTC战略储备 #美联储降息
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Can switching to another person allow Trump to drastically lower interest rates? The market's brutal response: no! Market prices indicate that traders do not believe the Federal Reserve, led by Hassett, will loosen policy significantly as Trump suggested. Loose fiscal policy may tie the Federal Reserve's hands: the market either underestimates the risk of further easing in the second half of next year (which means risk assets are undervalued), or correctly judges that the Federal Reserve will not be particularly dovish next year, thus limiting the potential for policy to drive the stock market up and the dollar down. It is reasonable for the market to expect limited interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in 2026. In fact, when the new chair takes over, real interest rates may be close to zero—the monetary policy environment is already very loose. We need to prepare for historic disagreements: Cleveland Federal Reserve President Harker and Dallas Federal Reserve President Logan (who can be considered the most hawkish) will both become voting members in 2026, potentially leading to a 7-5 voting result, making any agenda push extremely challenging—regardless of how hard the new chair works. #美联储降息
Can switching to another person allow Trump to drastically lower interest rates? The market's brutal response: no!

Market prices indicate that traders do not believe the Federal Reserve, led by Hassett, will loosen policy significantly as Trump suggested. Loose fiscal policy may tie the Federal Reserve's hands: the market either underestimates the risk of further easing in the second half of next year (which means risk assets are undervalued), or correctly judges that the Federal Reserve will not be particularly dovish next year, thus limiting the potential for policy to drive the stock market up and the dollar down. It is reasonable for the market to expect limited interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in 2026. In fact, when the new chair takes over, real interest rates may be close to zero—the monetary policy environment is already very loose. We need to prepare for historic disagreements: Cleveland Federal Reserve President Harker and Dallas Federal Reserve President Logan (who can be considered the most hawkish) will both become voting members in 2026, potentially leading to a 7-5 voting result, making any agenda push extremely challenging—regardless of how hard the new chair works.

#美联储降息
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