降息
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🔥 #FOMC Alert — Sudden spike in markets! Is the spring river warm enough for the ducks to know first? 🦆💹
$BNB
$ETH
are moving… could the Fed restart rate cuts soon?
Follow Nabiha Noor for real-time updates and insights! 🚀
#美联储 #降息 #CryptoWatch
$BNB
$ETH
are moving… could the Fed restart rate cuts soon?
Follow Nabiha Noor for real-time updates and insights! 🚀
#美联储 #降息 #CryptoWatch
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92000 The prices here have been pressed down hard, the whole market has quieted down, with only an arrow pointing at the 91800 order above, and there is no liquidity below.
The interest rate will be lowered tomorrow, please prepare in advance.
#降息
The interest rate will be lowered tomorrow, please prepare in advance.
#降息
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The Federal Reserve is only lowering interest rates once. Can your bull market dream still hold up? Soul-searching question! ❓
Family, it's time for some soul-searching! The Federal Reserve Chairman has said it himself, there may only be one rate cut this year! Just one! Think about it, really think about it! This is a world apart from the three cuts that the market previously expected! 📉
Now, those brothers who shout 'the bull market is here' and 'let's go all in,' do you still have faith? Can your bull market logic still hold up? When global liquidity expectations take a hit, and hot money no longer floods in like a beast, how much truth is left in your 'epic bull market'? 🤔
Stop deceiving yourselves! The market doesn't rise just because of wishful thinking. If you don't face reality now, when the market teaches you a lesson, don't say I didn't warn you! 💸
The Federal Reserve is only lowering interest rates once. Can your bull market dream still hold up? In the comments, do you dare to speak the truth? Tell me, is your wallet green or red right now? 💔
#BitcoinBullMarket #SoulSearching #降息
Family, it's time for some soul-searching! The Federal Reserve Chairman has said it himself, there may only be one rate cut this year! Just one! Think about it, really think about it! This is a world apart from the three cuts that the market previously expected! 📉
Now, those brothers who shout 'the bull market is here' and 'let's go all in,' do you still have faith? Can your bull market logic still hold up? When global liquidity expectations take a hit, and hot money no longer floods in like a beast, how much truth is left in your 'epic bull market'? 🤔
Stop deceiving yourselves! The market doesn't rise just because of wishful thinking. If you don't face reality now, when the market teaches you a lesson, don't say I didn't warn you! 💸
The Federal Reserve is only lowering interest rates once. Can your bull market dream still hold up? In the comments, do you dare to speak the truth? Tell me, is your wallet green or red right now? 💔
#BitcoinBullMarket #SoulSearching #降息
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This Thursday, there is a high probability of an interest rate cut, with the probability reaching 89%.
$BTC #降息 #Federal Reserve
$BTC #降息 #Federal Reserve
The biggest event this week is the FOMC interest rate meeting early Thursday morning. A rate cut is already a "done deal," with a probability of 89% for a cut of around 25 basis points.
My short-term inclination is that there may be a significant rebound from the end of December to mid-January. Due to Christmas, there will be no decision to crash the market. What we are now looking forward to is a strong rebound after the Federal Reserve meeting to welcome Christmas!
$BTC #rate cut #美联储 #圣诞节
My short-term inclination is that there may be a significant rebound from the end of December to mid-January. Due to Christmas, there will be no decision to crash the market. What we are now looking forward to is a strong rebound after the Federal Reserve meeting to welcome Christmas!
$BTC #rate cut #美联储 #圣诞节
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Reuters Survey: Over 80% of Economists Bet on Rate Cut in December, But Significant Disagreement Among Federal Reserve Officials
According to the latest economist poll released by Reuters on December 4, there is an overwhelming consensus in the market that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in December.
Among the 108 economists surveyed, as many as 82% (89 economists) expect the Federal Reserve to announce a 25 basis point rate cut at this month's monetary policy meeting, a figure that is largely consistent with the results from November's survey and closely aligns with the 87% probability of a rate cut reflected in the current interest rate futures market.
However, this strong market consensus starkly contrasts with the growing divergence of opinions among Federal Reserve policymakers. The survey pointed out that there is a dispute among Fed officials about whether further easing of the global economy is needed in 2026.
This internal uncertainty also directly reflects that economists have uncertainties regarding their interest rate forecasts for 2026.
Although Goldman Sachs research predicts that the Federal Reserve will implement two more rate cuts in 2026, bringing the target range for the federal funds rate down to 3.00%-3.25% by the end of next year, there has been no consensus on the specific interest rate path for the quarters ahead.
In summary, the results of this survey clearly reflect that the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates in December and views it as a predetermined action to respond to the cooling labor market;
However, there is a lack of clear consensus on the longer-term direction of interest rates, both within the Federal Reserve and among economists.
This also suggests that the policy path for 2026 will be filled with uncertainty and may become a new factor that triggers market volatility.
#美联储 #降息
According to the latest economist poll released by Reuters on December 4, there is an overwhelming consensus in the market that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in December.
Among the 108 economists surveyed, as many as 82% (89 economists) expect the Federal Reserve to announce a 25 basis point rate cut at this month's monetary policy meeting, a figure that is largely consistent with the results from November's survey and closely aligns with the 87% probability of a rate cut reflected in the current interest rate futures market.
However, this strong market consensus starkly contrasts with the growing divergence of opinions among Federal Reserve policymakers. The survey pointed out that there is a dispute among Fed officials about whether further easing of the global economy is needed in 2026.
This internal uncertainty also directly reflects that economists have uncertainties regarding their interest rate forecasts for 2026.
Although Goldman Sachs research predicts that the Federal Reserve will implement two more rate cuts in 2026, bringing the target range for the federal funds rate down to 3.00%-3.25% by the end of next year, there has been no consensus on the specific interest rate path for the quarters ahead.
In summary, the results of this survey clearly reflect that the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates in December and views it as a predetermined action to respond to the cooling labor market;
However, there is a lack of clear consensus on the longer-term direction of interest rates, both within the Federal Reserve and among economists.
This also suggests that the policy path for 2026 will be filled with uncertainty and may become a new factor that triggers market volatility.
#美联储 #降息
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💥💥💥💥Is the interest rate cut confirmed?
🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨Internal division!
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥The Federal Reserve stands at a critical crossroads
Latest data shows that the market is almost "certain" that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points in December, with the probability soaring to nearly 90%. However, behind this seemingly unanimous expectation, the internal disputes within the Federal Reserve have reached unprecedented levels.
A Song of Ice and Fire: Dovish Signals vs. Strong Warnings
Recently, core officials led by New York Fed President Williams have released clear dovish signals, directly boosting market bets. However, the opposing voices are equally loud: within just one week, half (6 out of 12) of the regional Fed presidents publicly warned that inflation remains too high, advocating for a pause on rate cuts. This pattern of "half flames, half seawater" is extremely rare.
Major Banks' Predictions Shift Collectively, Where Will It End?
Bank of America has just revised its forecast, joining the ranks of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase, all expecting a rate cut to commence in December. BofA more foresightedly pointed out that the rate cut process may be unrelated to economic data, but rather stem from "leadership changes," and predicts that the final rate will drop to 3%-3.25%.
The Fog of "Neutral Rate": The Real Key to the Future
While the market debates the next meeting, the true determinant of the long-term path is that elusive "neutral rate," which is as difficult to grasp as dark matter. OECD analysis indicates that by 2027, most developed countries' rates will remain at a "new normal" above pre-pandemic levels, primarily due to persistently high public debt levels. This means that the Federal Reserve's future rate cut room may be more limited and cautious than the market imagines.
What is the market betting on?
Futures pricing indicates that the market is already betting on an additional rate cut of about 65-70 basis points after January next year. However, when internal consensus breaks down, any policy path could be bumpier than expected. Consensus expectations are often the most dangerous times; will this time be different? $BTC $ETH $BNB
#美联储 #降息
🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨Internal division!
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥The Federal Reserve stands at a critical crossroads
Latest data shows that the market is almost "certain" that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points in December, with the probability soaring to nearly 90%. However, behind this seemingly unanimous expectation, the internal disputes within the Federal Reserve have reached unprecedented levels.
A Song of Ice and Fire: Dovish Signals vs. Strong Warnings
Recently, core officials led by New York Fed President Williams have released clear dovish signals, directly boosting market bets. However, the opposing voices are equally loud: within just one week, half (6 out of 12) of the regional Fed presidents publicly warned that inflation remains too high, advocating for a pause on rate cuts. This pattern of "half flames, half seawater" is extremely rare.
Major Banks' Predictions Shift Collectively, Where Will It End?
Bank of America has just revised its forecast, joining the ranks of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase, all expecting a rate cut to commence in December. BofA more foresightedly pointed out that the rate cut process may be unrelated to economic data, but rather stem from "leadership changes," and predicts that the final rate will drop to 3%-3.25%.
The Fog of "Neutral Rate": The Real Key to the Future
While the market debates the next meeting, the true determinant of the long-term path is that elusive "neutral rate," which is as difficult to grasp as dark matter. OECD analysis indicates that by 2027, most developed countries' rates will remain at a "new normal" above pre-pandemic levels, primarily due to persistently high public debt levels. This means that the Federal Reserve's future rate cut room may be more limited and cautious than the market imagines.
What is the market betting on?
Futures pricing indicates that the market is already betting on an additional rate cut of about 65-70 basis points after January next year. However, when internal consensus breaks down, any policy path could be bumpier than expected. Consensus expectations are often the most dangerous times; will this time be different? $BTC $ETH $BNB
#美联储 #降息
puppies 币翻身:
稳😁😁
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Powell speaks, the cryptocurrency world is shaking!!
Powell's statement, the cryptocurrency world's expectations of interest rate cuts are dashed?
After the Fed's interest rate decision in June, it said that this year's inflation data was insufficient for it to cut interest rates, and it would make decisions based on more data, economic outlook, etc. Monetary policy is restrictive, and it will focus on labor and inflation when affecting demand. The current possibility of interest rate cuts is small, which makes the cryptocurrency world and investors more cautious.
#非农就业数据即将公布 #ASI代币合并计划 #美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率增幅创2021年3月以来新低 #降息 #降息期待
$BNX $PEPE $SOL
Powell's statement, the cryptocurrency world's expectations of interest rate cuts are dashed?
After the Fed's interest rate decision in June, it said that this year's inflation data was insufficient for it to cut interest rates, and it would make decisions based on more data, economic outlook, etc. Monetary policy is restrictive, and it will focus on labor and inflation when affecting demand. The current possibility of interest rate cuts is small, which makes the cryptocurrency world and investors more cautious.
#非农就业数据即将公布 #ASI代币合并计划 #美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率增幅创2021年3月以来新低 #降息 #降息期待
$BNX $PEPE $SOL
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#美联储 #降息
Fed officials expect to wait longer to cut rates as inflation progress falters: Fed officials concluded at their most recent meeting that they need to keep interest rates at current levels longer than previously expected.
U.S. inflation data disappointed for the third straight month last month. While officials still believe rates are high enough to dampen economic activity and reduce inflation, they signaled they are less certain about how restrictive policy will be, according to the latest minutes.
An unknown number of officials mentioned they are willing to tighten policy further if inflation risks make it justifiable. Price pressures slowed noticeably in the second half of last year, and Fed officials hinted in March that they might be ready to start cutting rates if there was another month or two of tame inflation.
But a slew of first-quarter data showed price pressures in the economy were heating up, and the Fed has been forced to shelve any considerations of starting to cut rates in the coming months unless the job market weakens unexpectedly.
Fed officials expect to wait longer to cut rates as inflation progress falters: Fed officials concluded at their most recent meeting that they need to keep interest rates at current levels longer than previously expected.
U.S. inflation data disappointed for the third straight month last month. While officials still believe rates are high enough to dampen economic activity and reduce inflation, they signaled they are less certain about how restrictive policy will be, according to the latest minutes.
An unknown number of officials mentioned they are willing to tighten policy further if inflation risks make it justifiable. Price pressures slowed noticeably in the second half of last year, and Fed officials hinted in March that they might be ready to start cutting rates if there was another month or two of tame inflation.
But a slew of first-quarter data showed price pressures in the economy were heating up, and the Fed has been forced to shelve any considerations of starting to cut rates in the coming months unless the job market weakens unexpectedly.
#BTC 🈳Dan has added a cabin 👀
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The interest rate has been cut by 50 basis points, and the next cycle is coming! Buy the bottom of 4 altcoins that have increased by 100 times!
At 2 a.m. last night, after the U.S. interest rate was announced, I believe everyone has already known that the U.S. cut interest rates by 50BP. At the same time, the market trend also surged. However, many currencies have not yet caught up. I personally think that they will catch up in the next few days.
Secondly, with each interest rate cut, it is a good period for the entire financial sector. Those who have not bought can build positions on dips. For those who have already bought or are trapped, just increase your positions and continue to hold on. You have held on for so long, so it doesn’t matter if you hold on for a while longer.
The first rate cut will not have a big reaction from BTC. As the rate cuts continue, big funds will rush to buy risky assets at low prices after they smell the signal. So I think that smart money will rush into the market in the fourth quarter of this year, and traditional funds that react in the first quarter of next year will accelerate their sprint. #降息
Secondly, with each interest rate cut, it is a good period for the entire financial sector. Those who have not bought can build positions on dips. For those who have already bought or are trapped, just increase your positions and continue to hold on. You have held on for so long, so it doesn’t matter if you hold on for a while longer.
The first rate cut will not have a big reaction from BTC. As the rate cuts continue, big funds will rush to buy risky assets at low prices after they smell the signal. So I think that smart money will rush into the market in the fourth quarter of this year, and traditional funds that react in the first quarter of next year will accelerate their sprint. #降息
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Non-farm payrolls are higher than expected. Whether the US will cut interest rates in September will determine the trend of the cryptocurrency market in the second half of the year!
The seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls in the United States in May were 272,000, expected to be 185,000, and the previous value was 175,000. The unemployment rate in the United States in May was 4%, expected to be 3.90%, and the previous value was 3.90%.
The data results are higher than market expectations. Previously, many people believed that the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September was 77%. After the release of non-agricultural data, the probability was 55%.
It reminds me of the Ethereum ETF that was approved some time ago. The market was almost convinced that it would not be approved. The result was obvious.
I often share the topic of interest rate hikes in 2023
Shared on June 15, 2023, Bitcoin stopped falling from 26,000 to 30,000 US dollars
The data results are higher than market expectations. Previously, many people believed that the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September was 77%. After the release of non-agricultural data, the probability was 55%.
It reminds me of the Ethereum ETF that was approved some time ago. The market was almost convinced that it would not be approved. The result was obvious.
I often share the topic of interest rate hikes in 2023
Shared on June 15, 2023, Bitcoin stopped falling from 26,000 to 30,000 US dollars
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With the European Central Bank looking set to begin full rate cuts ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve,
credit spreads denominated in euros are likely to tighten, Bank of America analysts said in a note.
European credit is cheaper relative to U.S. credit, and expectations of ECB rate cuts should boost euro credit, Bank of America said. The ECB is widely expected to begin cutting rates at its meeting next week,
while the first rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve looks months away. #降息 #MegadropLista #新币挖矿 $BTC
credit spreads denominated in euros are likely to tighten, Bank of America analysts said in a note.
European credit is cheaper relative to U.S. credit, and expectations of ECB rate cuts should boost euro credit, Bank of America said. The ECB is widely expected to begin cutting rates at its meeting next week,
while the first rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve looks months away. #降息 #MegadropLista #新币挖矿 $BTC
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In the early morning of the 18th, Fed Chairman Powell's words blew up more than 200,000 people, and the contract liquidation exceeded 4.4 billion. Powell said that the agency had no intention of participating in any government plan to hoard a large amount of cryptocurrency. As soon as the news came out, the crypto market plummeted. Counting the previous two declines, this is the third time. And the previous two sharp declines have consumed a lot of buying. So after this sharp drop, no obvious funds entered, resulting in a weak rebound. It is equivalent to burying another wave of funds for bottom-fishing. In the short term, if you want to strengthen again, new policies are needed to stimulate the market. Those who have experienced it know that before the violent pull of the cottage market, the leverage and contract will be removed. Therefore, the market is likely to borrow Powell's knife to carry out a fierce wash of the cottage market before the bull market. If there is still money, now is the best time for you to enter the market. The bull market is still there. The projects previously deployed: ondo, ena, ave, link, eth, are all projects that the Trump family is optimistic about and has entered the market. Of course, the Trump family cannot only ambush these four projects, right?
Next, we will deploy three more projects that Trump is optimistic about this week. Friends who need to keep up with the operation, hurry up
Institutional layout, institutional news, the same increase, the same opportunity, fan groups are given priority
#特朗普上台
#降息
Next, we will deploy three more projects that Trump is optimistic about this week. Friends who need to keep up with the operation, hurry up
Institutional layout, institutional news, the same increase, the same opportunity, fan groups are given priority
#特朗普上台
#降息
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Anticipated once again! Please pay attention to our real-time information, which will be of great benefit to the operation! Regarding the pin, several previous articles have repeatedly mentioned that the position of 6.9 needs to be repeatedly impacted and tested. After it officially stabilizes, there will be no upward pressure, and the first pressure after the breakthrough is 8.2. In addition, it is no longer important to insert the pin. The upside space is opened. If you insert the pin, you will take the pin. This is looking out for you and I will pick you up later!
#BTC #非农数据 #降息 $BTC
#BTC #非农数据 #降息 $BTC
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Overview of the key points of the Fed's September interest rate decision
Policy shifts to easing: The Fed announced a 50 basis point rate cut and adjusted the dot plot, indicating that there is still room for rate cuts in the future, marking the beginning of the monetary policy cycle turning to easing.
Adjustment of economic expectations: Although the GDP growth forecast for this year was slightly lowered and the unemployment rate forecast was raised, the Fed remained confident that inflation would return to the 2% target and the economy would softly land.
Employment market focus: Powell emphasized at the press conference that the labor market was stable, but attention should be paid to downside risks, which shows the Fed's attention to employment issues.
Future rate cut rhythm: The Fed said it would gradually determine the rate cut rhythm based on economic conditions, and the market needs to pay attention to changes in economic data.
Asset allocation strategy: In a limited easing environment, investors need to re-evaluate asset allocation and consider interest rate normalization and possible QE scale restrictions.
$BTC $ETH $SOL #token2049 #降息预期 #降息 #点滴财经
Policy shifts to easing: The Fed announced a 50 basis point rate cut and adjusted the dot plot, indicating that there is still room for rate cuts in the future, marking the beginning of the monetary policy cycle turning to easing.
Adjustment of economic expectations: Although the GDP growth forecast for this year was slightly lowered and the unemployment rate forecast was raised, the Fed remained confident that inflation would return to the 2% target and the economy would softly land.
Employment market focus: Powell emphasized at the press conference that the labor market was stable, but attention should be paid to downside risks, which shows the Fed's attention to employment issues.
Future rate cut rhythm: The Fed said it would gradually determine the rate cut rhythm based on economic conditions, and the market needs to pay attention to changes in economic data.
Asset allocation strategy: In a limited easing environment, investors need to re-evaluate asset allocation and consider interest rate normalization and possible QE scale restrictions.
$BTC $ETH $SOL #token2049 #降息预期 #降息 #点滴财经
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Europe cuts interest rates
Bitcoin returns to 71,000
BNB breaks through 700
The market is optimistic
Then the next US election and interest rate cuts
Will start a real bull market!
In June, we continue to deploy fresh goods Mima
Observe wif, bome, floki, ena, pepe...
Don't worry, there is more....
If you take the initiative to flirt with me, I will take you ashore, you just lie down (no intestines)
Will not let fans miss out in this bull market! ! !
#bnb历史新高 #降息 #ORDI #BTC
Bitcoin returns to 71,000
BNB breaks through 700
The market is optimistic
Then the next US election and interest rate cuts
Will start a real bull market!
In June, we continue to deploy fresh goods Mima
Observe wif, bome, floki, ena, pepe...
Don't worry, there is more....
If you take the initiative to flirt with me, I will take you ashore, you just lie down (no intestines)
Will not let fans miss out in this bull market! ! !
#bnb历史新高 #降息 #ORDI #BTC
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Today the market feels like it was too tired last night and has already laid flat.
Thanks to guide @乂一 for leading us to take every right step. Last night, I personally made over 400 points out of 600.
Compared to making money, I am happier to have found a big shot who genuinely helps me make profits. #降息 #比特币巨鲸换仓以太坊
Thanks to guide @乂一 for leading us to take every right step. Last night, I personally made over 400 points out of 600.
Compared to making money, I am happier to have found a big shot who genuinely helps me make profits. #降息 #比特币巨鲸换仓以太坊
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