laisuat

Thuan just took a nap and had the opportunity to catch up on some news.
Regarding the meeting of #FED , although the FED kept interest rates unchanged, the statements made were somewhat positive.
The FED Chair announced that they will slow down the quantitative tightening process starting on April 1. This means the FED will sell fewer bonds, helping to increase market liquidity.
The median forecast indicates a 0.5% rate cut by 2025.
The FED has sharply lowered its economic growth forecast for 2025.
The FED has also adjusted upward its inflation forecast for 2025.
FED Chair Jerome Powell stated that part of the inflation we are seeing is due to President Trump's tariffs.
President Trump is posting on Truth Social that the impact of the tariffs will gradually permeate the economy, and there will be additional tariffs on April 2. This means the FED has even more reason to cut interest rates to stimulate the economy.
It could be an image of the text stating 'Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump The Fed would be MUCH better off CUTTING RATES as J.S.Tariffs start to transition (ease!) their way into the economy. Do the right thing. April 2nd is Liberation Day in America!!!'
#LaiSuat

#Laisuat The entire market seems to be holding its breath waiting for a rate move from the Fed on September 17-18. The market could react positively or negatively in general, prices may adjust or surge but only in the short term. In the long term, even if the Fed lowers interest rates, the market will need some time to absorb the cheap money, in my opinion about 1-2 years. And what if they do not lower interest rates? Then a recession will still have to occur, it is uncertain which year, but that is the cycle of the economy, and it will 100% happen. And at that time, whether the Fed wants to or not, it will have to lower interest rates to stimulate the economy, and so it goes, the market goes down and then reaches a new peak again! So you may be at the peak today, but if you are patient enough, time will bring you to the top!
$BTC $ETH $SOL

📉 🔥Fed September: Rate Cut – Certain or Still Hesitant?
The FOMC meeting on September 16-17 is the focus of global attention. After several months of cooling inflation but still not reaching the 2% target, along with signs of a weakening labor market, most analysts believe that the Fed will cut by 25 basis points.
🔎 Key points:
1. Growth pressure: The U.S. economy shows signs of slowing down, with many companies reporting reduced hiring and weakened consumption.
2. Persistent inflation: CPI remains around 2.9-3%, higher than the target, making it difficult for the Fed to cut too deeply.
3. Market expectations: Futures contracts have reflected over 90% likelihood of the Fed reducing interest rates in September.

⚠️ Risks: If the newly released inflation data is hotter than expected, or if global financial markets experience significant volatility, the Fed may choose to adopt a “soft talk – slow action” approach, meaning a slight reduction but maintaining a cautious tone.
🎯 Expected impact:
• Stocks & Crypto: Money flows may continue to pour into risk assets, creating a short-term euphoria.
• USD & Gold: A weaker USD will support rising gold prices.
• Crypto mid-cap & altcoin: May benefit the most from expectations of rate cuts.
#Fed #fomc #LaiSuat #CryptoMarket #BinanceSquare

⏰ 1 AM tomorrow (18/9) – EXTREMELY TIGHT 50/50 BET!

The Fed will announce the interest rate, and the crypto market will surely dance with every number:

1️⃣ Keep the interest rate unchanged → possibility of "short-term sell-off" due to market disappointment.
2️⃣ Decrease by 0.25% → "safe" scenario, capital may continue to flow into altcoins.
3️⃣ Decrease by 0.5% → a strong boost, widespread FOMO, crypto soaring like a rocket 🚀.

👉 Prepare yourselves, because just one word from the Fed can turn the market 180° overnight.

#Fed #LaiSuat #crypto #BinanceSquare

BTC is recovering slightly after hitting a low of 106.3k, currently around 109.3k.
MA7 has just crossed above MA25, MACD is green, RSI still has room — quite a solid short-term signal.
However, the strong resistance zone of 110.8-112.5k has not been broken yet, so there is a possibility of sideways movement or retest.

Notable macro news: The Fed has just cut interest rates by 0.25% down to about 3.75-4.0%, but Powell said "no timeline for the next cut" → meaning they are still cautious.
Lower interest rates are good news for the risk market, but it doesn't necessarily mean an immediate bull run.

🟢 Positive: The Fed is easing, and money may flow back into crypto.
🔴 Cautious: If U.S. economic data is bad → the Fed may hesitate, and BTC could easily adjust.
#LaiSuat #CryptoNews #PhanTichKyThuat #BinanceSquare #BTCUSDT $BTC

Fed Governor Stephen Miran noted that the current interest rates are 'too tight', which could pose unnecessary risks to the U.S. economy. He mentioned that he is likely to support a rate cut in the December meeting, with the federal funds rate currently at 3.75%–4%.

The ADP jobs report for October, with 42,000 new jobs, is seen as a positive signal, helping to bolster expectations for a rate cut. However, the lack of official economic data due to the government shutdown has made the Fed more cautious.

Mr. Miran also warned about the risks from President Trump's tariff policy, which could become a drag on economic growth.

👉 Investors are expecting the Fed to loosen policy in December, opening up positive signals for the U.S. financial market.
$BTC #Fed #LaiSuat #usd #Macro

📌 The Fed decided to keep interest rates in the range of 4.25% - 4.5%.
This move reflects a cautious stance as the U.S. economy sends mixed signals and the risk of stagnation increases due to high inflation combined with weak growth.
The Fed also warned of risks from trade instability and stated it would continue to closely monitor economic developments.
#FED #LaiSuat

📊 US Economic Data: Inflation Still High, GDP Remains Strong – Is the Fed Unlikely to Cut Interest Rates?
• PCE (Fed's preferred inflation measure): 2.7% 📈 | Expected: 2.7% | Previous: 2.6%
• Core PCE (Excluding energy & food): 2.9% 📌 | Expected: 2.9% | Previous: 2.9%

👉 The data shows inflation is not decreasing 🔥, remaining high around 3%.
👉 Meanwhile, US GDP continues to grow strongly 🚀, proving the economy is still very "resilient".

⚠️ This means:
• The Fed will have little reason to cut interest rates soon 💵.
• The "higher for longer" monetary policy may continue, aimed at keeping inflation at the 2% target.

💡 Market Impact:
• Short-term sentiment is slightly negative 📉 due to reduced expectations of interest rate cuts.
• However, if the inflation trend continues to gradually decrease, the Fed will still ease – just more slowly than expected.

🔥 Conclusion: High inflation + Strong GDP = Fed cautious, the market needs to prepare for a scenario of high interest rates lasting longer.

⸻

#PCEInflationWatch #LaiSuat #crypto #Binance #FOMC

The likelihood of the FED (Federal Reserve of the United States) deciding to cut interest rates in July has increased to 22.7% after two FED Governors, Waller and Bowman, publicly supported this. This signals a shift in market perception regarding interest rate adjustments, which could influence the FED's decisions in upcoming meetings.

Additionally, the desire of many to hold the position of FED Chair may lead them to voice support for interest rate cuts. These individuals may hope that expressing this viewpoint will create a positive impression with President Trump, thereby increasing their chances of being nominated for this position in the future.

The chart mentioned shows the percentage probabilities of the following possibilities:
- Likelihood of interest rate cut (400-425 bps): 22.7%
- No change in interest rates (425-450 bps): 77.3%
- Increase in interest rates (above 450 bps): 0.0%

This indicates that the current market primarily predicts that interest rates will remain unchanged, but is also considering the possibility of a rate cut, especially in the context of pressure from FED Governors and changes in the economy.
#LaiSuat

Fed Chair Powell will give a speech at Jackson Hole, Wyoming on Friday at 7 AM California time / 9 PM Vietnam time.
"Today, the Fed Chair will not say 'good afternoon' anymore, but will blow a 'good morning' breeze to both California and Vietnam!"
Poor him, at the age of 72, he still has to 'make himself suffer' with the burden of global financial issues on his shoulders. While the whole world is holding its breath waiting for his every word😅
This year he is 72 years old... why does he have to make himself suffer, he just needs to stand up, cough once, and then briefly say: 'Okay, everything is fine!' and the whole family, the whole street, the whole stock market will throw a celebration party! Why struggle so much, Mr. Chairman!😂
#PowellWatch #JacksonHole #Fed #LaiSuat

The Bank of England (BoE) is preparing for the November meeting amid a divided market over the possibility of keeping the interest rate at 4% or cutting it further. New data shows inflation has decreased to 3.8%, lower than expected, while wage growth is slowing, making the upcoming decision hard to predict.
• Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, and Macquarie are leaning towards the scenario of maintaining the interest rate, waiting for clearer signals regarding the Autumn Budget (26/11).
• Analysts believe that BoE will be cautious, waiting for further signals from inflation and fiscal policy before making cuts in December.
• The market currently prices in a 30% chance that BoE will cut in November, reflecting a high level of uncertainty.

👉 The current focus is on the Autumn Budget – a factor that could shape the direction of UK interest rates in the near future.

$BTC #LaiSuat #kinhte #BinanceSquare

The area $117k is extremely important. If #BTC maintains stability here, the upcoming trend will be very #BULLISH 🚀

However, there is still a possibility of dropping to $107k, killing a larger part of the tens of billions $ Long Orders.

ALWAYS BE CAREFUL ⚠ & DON'T FOMO TOO MUCH!! ESPECIALLY WITH THE NEWS CUTTING INTEREST RATES 📉 AT 1 AM TOMORROW 🕐

#LAISUAT #BTC #BULLISH