Today's BTC Four-Hour Practical Analysis: The Life and Death Line of Longs and Shorts, Retail Investors' Anti-Explosion Guide
"The market is like a play, but today Bitcoin (BTC) is performing a thriller — a $100,000 bungee jump market, will retail investors dare to buy the dip or become cannon fodder?"
1. Data Correction: The Truth Behind the Main Force's Control
Price Confirmation: Latest price $103,197, actual volatility up to $3,623, far exceeding the original text's $800 volatility, indicating stronger control by the main force.Long and Short Defense Line Adjustment:Long Position Critical Point: Strong support lowered to $102,500, breaking below will trigger programmed selling down to $101,900, instead of the original $103,100.Short Position Fortress: Resistance level raised to $105,000, with a surge in orders from the main force here, a breakthrough requires a trading volume increase of over 30%.
2. News Verification: The Data Bomb Has Been Defused
Inflation and Retail Data: April CPI met expectations, but U.S. January retail data fell 0.9% month-on-month, weak consumption may force the Fed to cut rates early, which is bullish for BTC.ETF Fund Flow: Bitcoin ETF saw a net outflow of $96 million in one day, institutions are starting to take profits, contrary to the original text's "net inflow of $27,000," caution is needed regarding short-term selling pressure.
3. Strategy Upgrade: Three Life-Saving Tips for Retail Investors
Spot Players:
Defense Line: $102,500 becomes the new bottom line, breaking this level requires reducing positions to 50%.Buying Dip Point: Place orders at $101,000 instead of $102,800, and try with a light position.
Contract Players:
Leverage Limit: Current volatility exceeds 5%, leverage should be limited to 2x.Stop-Loss Discipline: Short positions' stop-loss widened to $100, and long positions' stop-loss set at $105,500.
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