⚠️ Be careful: there are more chances of a dump than a rise 📉
Many traders believe that the market "has already hit the bottom" because they see some green candles, but what we are really seeing could be a technical trap in the middle of a distribution phase.
👉 In weekly frames, the structure remains bearish, with lower highs and weakened momentum.
👉 Sentiment indicators show early euphoria and false breakouts at key levels.
👉 At the liquidity level, there are clusters of orders concentrated below the current range: a cleaning towards those levels is more likely before any sustained rally.
💡 Technically, we remain in a phase of reacquisition or redistribution, but the volumes do not yet confirm a real institutional buying intention.
The RSI barely rebounds from mid zones, the MACD has not yet crossed upwards strongly, and the Open Interest is overloaded in leveraged longs… a perfect cocktail for a sweep.
📊 Meanwhile, macroeconomic data (GDP, inflation, and monetary policy) still do not align an expansive environment that supports a solid rise. In other words: the fundamentals do not accompany the hype.
🚨 Conclusion:
This is not a time to trade with emotion.
Prioritize risk management, maintain liquidity, adjust dynamic stop-losses, and avoid overexposure.
Remember: in distribution phases, the market rises to make you believe it will not go down, and drops just when the majority feels confident.
🧠 The market does not reward hope, it rewards patience and strategy.
