I. Market Overview
The current price of ETH/USDT is approximately 3240 USD. Technical analysis shows: - The daily trend remains bearish, with consecutive bearish candles; - RSI is in the 24-30 range, indicating short-term overselling; - MACD is still below the zero line, and bearish momentum has not fully released; - Trading volume has increased, with panic selling occurring, and a technical rebound may happen in the short term.
II. Macroeconomic and Industry Environment
1. The Federal Reserve maintains an accommodative stance, and market liquidity is abundant. 2. Continuous inflow into ETH ETFs, with increased institutional allocation. 3. Active L2 and the upcoming EIP upgrade are beneficial for medium to long-term development. 4. Risk factors: If global liquidity tightens or regulation becomes stricter, ETH may test lower levels again.
Three, Key support and resistance
Type Price (USD) Description
Strong resistance 3,320～3,400 Previous dense trading area, near MA7
Next resistance 3,500 Psychological level and upper shadow area
Support 3,050 Short-term low point area
Strong support 2,950 If it breaks, it may trigger panic selling
Four, Practical Contract Strategy Suggestions
✅ Strategy A: Rebound short position (short-term)
- Entry range: 3,300～3,350- Take profit target: First target 3,100, second target 3,050- Stop loss: 3,420- Position suggestion: 20%～30%, leverage 3～5x- Strategy logic: Rebound and short in the direction, conforming to the current bearish main trend.
✅ Strategy B: Low position long position (rebound wave)
- Entry range: 3,050～3,100- Take profit target: First target 3,300, second target 3,500- Stop loss: 2,950- Position suggestion: 30%～40%, leverage 3x- Strategy logic: Short-term oversold rebound + medium-term funding bias.
✅ Strategy C: Bilateral hedge (range oscillation strategy)
- Short position limit order: Around 3,300- Long position limit order: Around 3,050- Position on each side: 25%, only retain the direction after breaking the range- Applicable scenario: High volatility and consolidation period.
Five, Executable Operation Plan
Strategy Direction Entry price range Take profit target Stop loss Suggested position Leverage
A Short 3,300～3,350 3,050～3,100 3,420 20%～30% 3～5x
B Long 3,050～3,100 3,300～3,500 2,950 30%～40% 3x
C Bilateral Long: 3,050 Short: 3,300 Consolidation range high and low Range breakout reverse stop loss Each 25% ≤3x
Six, Risk and Risk Control Suggestions
1. Control leverage: Short-term ≤5x, medium-term ≤3x. 2. Single position not exceeding 30% of total account holdings. 3. Avoid chasing highs and killing lows, use batch building and take profit strategy. 4. Retain 20% stablecoins or cash on hand to guard against extreme volatility.
Seven, Trend Summary
Short-term: ETH is in a bearish structure, rebound can still short. Medium-term: Mainly consolidating and bottoming, low position long positions can be tested. Long-term: Institutional funds continue to flow in, ecological expansion, trend is biased towards long.
