⚖️ Fed’s Balancing Act: Inflation vs. Jobs 💵👷♂️
The Federal Reserve is split on whether to cut rates—prioritizing inflation control or rescuing a weakening labor market.
- Inflation Still Sticky: At 3%, above the Fed’s 2% target, hawks warn against premature cuts.
- Jobs Weakness: Payroll revisions show a 911,000 job drop in March 2025, fueling doves’ push for easing.
- December Cut Odds Collapse: Market expectations plunged from 93.7% → 42.9% after October meeting minutes revealed sharp divisions.
- Governor Jefferson’s Signal: Urged the Fed to “proceed slowly”, reinforcing inflation-first caution.
- Fiscal Chaos Fallout: A 42-day government shutdown delayed key data, forcing reliance on anecdotal Beige Book reports.
- Liquidity Boost: A $54B spending surge post-shutdown temporarily lifted markets, but labor fragility remains.
#USJobsData #TrumpTariffs #writetoearn #CPIWatch #StrategyBTCPurchase
