🚨 BREAKING: Some Fed officials are floating the idea of a larger easing move — but Chair Jerome Powell has not backed a 50 bp December cut. The situation is more nuanced than the viral headline. ✨📉
A handful of Fed members and outside commentators have argued that cooling economic data and rising market stress could justify a 50 bp reduction — that’s where the chatter originated.
Powell, meanwhile, has emphasized that a December cut is “far from certain” and reminded markets the Fed is not on a preset path. He pushed back against expectations for an aggressive move.
Right now, markets see a higher likelihood of a 25 bp cut at the December meeting. Some traders assign a small probability to a 50 bp cut, but it remains a minority view.
Bottom line: Claims that Powell supports a 50 bp cut exaggerate the reality. The Fed is divided, the debate is active, and Powell continues to stress caution — meaning incoming data could spark real volatility before the December decision.
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