I'm back, everyone. Future trend judgment and key point suggestions. The price of ETH has dropped significantly from the previous 3,099 to the 2,849-2,856 range, a decline of about 5.19%, and market sentiment has clearly turned bearish. In-depth analysis of technical indicators, key observations: the price has fallen below the lower Bollinger Band, is in an extreme oversold state, and breaking below the lower band usually indicates short-term rebound opportunities, but the medium-term trend has turned bearish.
2. MACD indicator - Strong bearish signal
3. RSI indicator - Severe oversold trend judgment
Short-term trend (1-3 days) strong oversold rebound expectation,
· Multiple indicators show extreme oversold, high probability of technical rebound
· Expected rebound target: 2,900-2,950 range
Mid-term trend (1-2 weeks)
· Bearish pattern established
· MACD death cross and negative values expanding, Bollinger Bands opening downward
· Key support has been lost, forming a mid-term adjustment trend
Long-term trend (over 1 month)
· Need to observe the defense situation of the support range at 2,800-2,850
· If effectively breaking below 2,800, it may initiate deeper adjustment trading strategies.
Short-term rebound strategy (cautious operation)
Specific operations:
Position level: 2,840-2,850 (light position)
Stop loss level: 2,820 (strict stop loss)
Target Position:
· First target: 2,880-2,890
· Second target: 2,920-2,940
· Holding Time: 1-2 days
Short-selling strategy at highs (main strategy)
Entry Conditions: Price rebounds to the resistance range of 2,900-2,950
Specific operations:
· Position level: 2,920-2,950 (in batches)
· Stop loss level: 3,000 (above the middle track of the Bollinger Bands)
· Target Position:
· First target: 2,850-2,860
· Second target: 2,800-2,820
· Holding Time: 3-7 days
Breakout short-selling strategy (aggressive strategy)
Entry Conditions: Price effectively breaks below 2,830 support, with increased volume confirming the breakout. Specific operations:
Position level: 2,820-2,830
· Stop loss level: 2,850
· Target Position: 2,780-2,800
· Holding Time: 2-5 days
Risk level and position management
· Current market risk: High ★★★★☆
· Recommended Position: Extremely light positions (not exceeding 10% of total capital)
· Core recommendation: Mainly observe, waiting for clear signals.
Summary recommendation: Currently, ETH is in a contradictory stage of technical oversold and trend bearishness.
1. Short-term: Can take small positions to bet on rebounds, but must strictly set stop losses
2. Mid-term: Wait for a rebound to resistance levels before short-selling at highs
3. Long-term: Observe the critical support at 2,800 to determine the subsequent major direction. The market is highly volatile, please control positions, strictly set stop losses, and trade rationally. It is advisable to wait for clearer directional signals before making significant operations.
