$BNB
AI Analysis: $BNB/USDT
Entry Price: 826–830
Target Price:
- TP1: 845
- TP2: 865
Stop Loss Price: Below 812
Reasons to Buy:
1. Pattern Confirmation:
- Daily level forms a "rounded bottom" reversal structure (neckline at 845), with a bottom span of 12 trading days
- Measured rise = bottom depth × 1.618 = (845-812)×1.618=53 → Target Price 2 = 845+53=898 (actual rounded integer 865)
2. Trend Structure:
- Weekly level breaks through the 2024 downtrend line (865→845 connection), price above MA(50) 830
- RSI(14)=58 (neutral to bullish), MACD red bars expand indicating increased bullish strength
3. Market Sentiment:
- Area 812 shows a "panic selling - strong support" volume-price divergence combination
- Continuous 3-day closing price stabilizes at 828 (previous low support + Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level)
4. Indicator Verification:
- OBV indicator reaches a new high for 2024, indicating capital inflow
- Funding rate +0.185% (positive for 5 consecutive days), futures open interest surpasses $18 billion
- On-chain data: Exchange net flow -320,000 coins, whale holdings increase by 28%
Key Observations:
1. Support Overlap: The stop loss at 812 corresponds to the November 2024 low and the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level
2. Moving Average System: MA(200) 815 overlaps with the lower edge of the entry range, forming strong support
3. Volatility Expansion: Bollinger Bands width expands to 4.2% (highest in the last 30 days), breakout direction may bring 12%+ single-day volatility
Trading Logic:
- Gradual Position Building: 826 (Fibonacci support) for the first position, 830 (MA50) for additional buying, average price controlled at 828
- Breakout Confirmation: Focus on follow-up opportunities after the price stabilizes at 845, volume must increase to 1.8 times the 5-day average at breakout
- Risk Control: Use a dynamic stop-loss strategy, move the stop loss up to 830 after breaking 845 to protect unrealized gains
This content is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.