$ZEC
I only focus on three types of markets; I don’t mess with anything else.
Over the years trading $ETH and tracking $BTC, my greatest gain has not been how much technique I learned, but the courage to eliminate all the markets that I "cannot understand."
Trading is not about who analyzes more, but about who can persist in only doing that small segment they understand.
I personally only engage in three types of markets, keeping everything else in cash—
It’s not that I can’t, but that it’s unnecessary.
The first type: Confirmation of pullback after a trend breakout
After a clear upward movement, the price may drop but does not break the core structure, with volume converging, approaching previous highs or key support to stop the decline, and then it starts again.
This is the safest segment:
No chasing up, no betting on breakouts; wait for confirmation of the pullback before taking "safe profits."
The real trouble is not missing out, but rushing in before confirming.
The second type: False breakdown with increased volume at the lower edge of a range
Suddenly breaking down with increased volume at the lower edge of a sideways range, panic in sentiment, and unusual market activity, but quickly pulled back into the range, forming a “false breakout to shake off traders.”
I only follow up on the breakout after the pullback confirmation; I’m not afraid of missing out.
What I fear most is—
You think it’s the bottom, but instead of picking up U, you’re directly catching a falling knife.
The third type: Strong push after a washout in the mid-trend
The trend is already clear, after a period of rise, it goes sideways or has a small pullback, during which there are multiple false short signals, but the key support holds firm.
I will increase my position once stability + short-term breakout is confirmed.
Even if my judgment is wrong, I can still exit because the position is right.
I don’t touch the top, don’t guess the bottom, and don’t chase the flying.
I only engage in these three scenarios—
Because the system has validated that these three can survive, can run, and can earn.
Some say this approach will cause missed opportunities.
I admit it.
But I have never come to “trade more,” but to survive longer.
The outcome of trading is not about how many waves you catch,
but about how much you lose less, how many mistakes you make less,
and whether you can make it to the end.
