【Risk Warning】U has fallen below 6.95, yet the price of coins is rising? This dangerous signal you must understand!
Today the market has shown a strange combination: the USDT to RMB exchange rate continues to decline, having fallen below the 6.95 mark, but mainstream coins like BTC and ETH are rising against the trend. Many people are starting to cheer: "The bull market is back!"
But I want to remind you: this divergence may be one of the most dangerous signals.
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🔍 What might be the true logic of the current market?
1. Funds have not entered on a large scale
The rise in coin prices does not necessarily represent new funds entering the market; it may be more likely that users holding U are changing their positions—exchanging their stablecoins for mainstream coins, pushing up the coin prices, while simultaneously increasing the selling pressure on U.
2. The main force may be conducting a "hard pull to induce more buying"
In the absence of substantial positive news in the market, concentrated funds raise coin prices to attract retail investors to follow suit, creating the illusion that "it can't fall any further, the bull market has started."
3. U's decline does not equal an increase in the demand for capital outflow
The decline in U's price more reflects changes in domestic off-exchange supply and demand, possibly related to recent tightening of regulations and restrictions on capital outflow, and does not directly represent international dollar capital flooding into cryptocurrency.
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⚠️ Why is it said that "coin rise + U decline = false rise"?
History has repeatedly proven that rises lacking real incremental funds are often difficult to sustain. Once the position changes are complete, or the main force stops defending the market, it is easy for the market to quickly decline, commonly known as a "power cut crash."
The current divergence is more like:
· Passive position changes under the anxiety of funds in the market
· Technically driven rebounds due to short-term emotions
· Rather than a trend reversal brought about by fundamental improvements
