$BTC $ETH PCE data will be revealed tonight! How will the last piece of the policy puzzle ignite the crypto market?
At 23:00 tonight, the U.S. September core PCE price index will be announced. This is not only the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation indicator but also the last key data before the December interest rate meeting. Due to the previous government shutdown causing delays in data release, the market has accumulated a lot of uncertainty, and is now holding its breath for this 'delayed economic check-up.'
For the crypto market, the performance of the PCE data will directly impact the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision-making path, which in turn will influence market liquidity expectations.
If the data meets or falls below expectations, it will strengthen the market's confidence in a rate cut in December, potentially putting pressure on the dollar, while risk assets like cryptocurrencies could see a boost.
Conversely, if the data significantly exceeds expectations, it may weaken rate cut expectations, potentially triggering market volatility in the short term.
For retail investors, it is advised to remain calm before and after the data release, avoiding emotional trading. It is advisable to check positions in advance to ensure that risks are manageable, and to reserve flexible funds to respond to potential market opportunities.
In the medium to long term, a shift towards looser macro policies remains a high probability event, and during pullbacks, the allocation value of mainstream assets can be focused on.
Tonight's PCE is not just an inflation report but a key verification of market direction. Keep observing, respond rationally, and you can capture trends amidst volatility.
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