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A trader in the poly market earned nearly a million dollars through trend predictions.
Google search.
The portfolio achieved a success rate of 22 out of 23, raising suspicions about online insider trading.
The platform handled a trading volume of 3.7 billion dollars in November as it continued its relaunch in the United States.
A trader on Polymarket made profits nearing a million dollars through suspiciously accurate bets on Google’s rankings for 2025 in search. The wallet address “0xafEe”, previously known as “AlphaRaccoon”, predicted nearly all outcomes in Google search trends markets correctly.
The trader bought shares of “Yes” on d4vd, a 20-year-old singer, and the odds of him becoming the most searched person in 2025 were only 0.2%. This bet turned $10,647 into nearly $200,000. Additional profits came from betting “no” on favored candidates, including Pope Leo XIV, Bianca Sensori, and Donald Trump.
An engineer revealed an unusual profit pattern
Meta engineer Jung Haijo revealed the situation on platform X, confirming that the trader achieved a success rate of 22 out of 23 in Google search predictions. Public blockchain data shows that the wallet deposited $3 million in Polymarket last Friday before immediately placing large bets.
By accurately predicting the release date of Gemini 3.0 Flash, the same account previously won nearly $150,000. Haijo stated that the pattern indicates the trader is an insider at Google using Polymarket for quick profits and not a series of successes.
However, there is no confirmation that the trader actually works at Google. These claims remain mere community speculation based on an unusual winning record in many Google-related markets.
This incident sparked a divide in the cryptocurrency community over whether insider trading is a feature or a flaw in prediction markets. Some argue that prediction markets specifically enable insider trading by creating financial incentives to share confidential information with the market.
An X user, WiiMee, stated that the reason for prediction markets is insider trading. He noted that while insider trading is prohibited in the stock market, prediction markets intentionally endorse this practice.
This controversy comes with the official relaunch of Polymarket in the United States this week after the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) approved it. The platform announced on Wednesday the rollout of its iOS app for users on the waiting list, starting with sports betting markets.
Polymarket processed over $3.7 billion in trading volume during November 2025. The platform gained momentum when Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, invested up to $2 billion in October. This valued Polymarket at around $9 billion.$SOL
