Veterans in the crypto world understand a principle: history does not simply repeat itself, but the rhythm often resembles it.
Just like before each rate cut by the Federal Reserve, the market always falls into this 'boringly yawning' period of calm—this market is exactly the same.
BTC is rubbing back and forth in a narrow range, ETH is almost lying flat and not moving, major coins are collectively 'playing dead', with fluctuations so small that even short-term traders are too lazy to watch the market.
This calm is not the absence of market activity, but rather the unique suppression before the storm.
Why is it so quiet?
Because everyone is waiting for a gunshot to ring out—a clear signal of the Federal Reserve's rate cut.
Bulls are afraid of catching the last dip before the rate cut and dare not enter; bears are afraid of a sharp rise after the policy is implemented and dare not short. Both sides are holding back, and naturally, the market has gone silent.
But behind the silence is the buildup of energy.
A rate cut means lower capital costs, and liquidity will seek a place to go. The cryptocurrency market, being a high-volatility, high-growth asset pool, is likely to become one of the directions for capital inflow.
Historical data shows that periods of loose liquidity are often accompanied by an active crypto market.
The silent period is precisely a good time for observation.
Does on-chain data show concentrated chips?
Is the market cap of stablecoins slowly growing?
Are there any signs of new ETF capital inflows?
These details often have more predictive significance than the candlestick charts themselves.
The longer the sideways movement lasts, the more intense the subsequent fluctuations may be.
If you are also watching from the sidelines, it’s better to shift your focus from short-term fluctuations to macro dynamics and on-chain signals. Silence is waiting for the wind to come; when the wind rises, you will know who was prepared in advance.
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