Recently, more and more people have realized one thing:
After the tightening of capital inflow and outflow, it has instead given altcoins a chance for a "big cycle level" explosion.
Why do I say this? It’s not an emotional judgment, but rather structural factors are stacking up.
First of all, the decline that altcoins have experienced over the past two years is unprecedented.
Withdrawals of twenty times, thirty times, fifty times are common; many retail investors doing spot trading have long been washed numb, with funds nearly exhausted, leaving them with almost no interest in the market.
This state implies a key point:
Insufficient incremental funds, but extremely light existing chips.
Under the premise that off-site funds cannot come in, if the big players want to push the price up, the resistance is much smaller than before.
Secondly, if the entire altcoin sector undergoes a collective recovery of 50 times or 100 times, it would mean a lot for market confidence.
Many old players who are deeply stuck will become active again due to this wave of increase, which will also make those "remaining at the table" believe — the crypto circle is not a dead end.
This is precisely the way to stabilize the market during a period of tightening regulation.
Looking deeper, there is another logic that is easily overlooked:
If regulation is stricter and the market is falling, public opinion can easily form a narrative of "policies protect retail investors," which is not beneficial for the market.
But if in a high-pressure environment the market instead surges, social sentiment will shift in another direction —
People will question: "Why do ordinary people's opportunities always get blocked?"
The discussion will quickly shift from "risk prevention" to "blocking development."
In other words, a strong surge is not only a market choice but also an emotional battle.
As for whether the big players will do this? It depends on two words:
Pattern.
For old coins that have already halved by thirty or fifty times, continuing to dump is not very meaningful;
But if they choose to lift the market with full force, they can ignite a new narrative cycle with minimal cost.
Ultimately, whether it strengthens or not still depends on whether the main force is willing to give the market a chance to breathe again.
But from the current environment, it seems:
High-pressure capital environment + deeply undervalued chips + existing game structure
Indeed possesses all the conditions for altcoins to suddenly start.
