announcement this week that the "myth" Jair Bolsonaro, of the PL, had chosen his son, Flavio Bolsonaro, the 01, to inherit his political legacy. Among the Bolsonaros, he then became the "official" candidate. Good? Bad? Will the senator from São Paulo be competitive to face the left front's candidacy in 2026, which apparently is Luis Ignácio Lula da Silva, especially since there are no other options.

Given this, many already consider Lula's election, the fourth, at nearly 80 years old, as "a done deal," and it would not be surprising if it happens in the first round in 2026.

It might happen, it might not. One point to note is Lula's weariness, from the left front, including PSOL, PDT, PSB, Podemos, and others. All polls indicate that Lula is not the clear favorite in 2026. Even more so. There is high rejection (also for Bolsonaro), and if the opposing candidate is Tarcísio de Freitas, things may change.

The fact is that Flavio Bolsonaro does not have the experience to face a major election against the PT, against the public machine, etc. This could leave Tarcísio de Freitas on the brink of withdrawal, preferring the re-election of the state government and leaving a possible national clash for 2030. Bad, very bad for the markets, which on the 05 operated in strong realization, Ibovespa dropping more than 4% and the dollar close to R$ 5.45.

On the other hand, it is important to say that the "famiglia" Bolsonaro, in its habitual incompetence, managed to hand over the rings to this mob now in power, but the underlying elections, in the states, Chamber, Senate, may show the opposite. In the last two elections, we had an avalanche of votes from the center-right.

There is an "anti-PT" sentiment in Brazilian society. A fatigue from a worn-out and repetitive rhetoric. A management model that only repeats itself in incompetence and corruption, given the many schemes. I do not shy away from signaling that in 2026, the presidential election #BinanceBlockchainWeek $BTC $BNB .