As a decisive week marked by the FOMC opens and Bitcoin rebounds, are we on the verge of a new explosive ATH? The man with the highest IQ in the world believes it firmly!
A Bitcoin ATH before Sunday?
For the Korean analyst YoungHoon Kim, the recent decline in BTC prices would only be a temporary drop caused by a phase of market manipulation, and is expected to disappear in the coming days. He believes that once this artificial pressure is lifted, the price could quickly re-accelerate towards a new ATH, with a window as soon as this week to trigger this bullish movement.
K33 Research goes in the same direction by highlighting that the current correction looks more like a bottoming phase than the beginning of a crash, with low leverage, solid supports, and a bullish potential judged to be greater than the risk of a prolonged drop.
This week is nonetheless dominated by the FOMC meeting, where the market is watching for a possible signal of rate cuts from the FED, a key catalyst for risk assets like BTC. The CryptoQuant study reminds us that during the last two rate cuts, Bitcoin tended to rise a few days before the announcement, slightly rebound right after... before dropping more violently afterwards. This pattern opens the door to a strong rebound towards a new ATH, but it also strengthens the risk of a bullish trap followed by a brutal correction.
On the on-chain front, spot buyers are acting aggressively. The buyer/seller ratio (0-20% spot) has risen to +0.31, its highest level since April 2025. This level of imbalance on the buyer side often marks a local bottom or signals trend reversals.
On the technical side, Bitcoin has climbed back above $90,000 after two unsuccessful attempts, but the confirmation of a continuation of the rise in the short term clearly depends on a clean break above $94,000. Michaël van de Poppe notes that, under the effect of strong buying pressure, a hold above $92,000 in the coming days is anticipated, which he believes is a prelude to a rally towards $100,000 before 2026.
The picture remains far from univocal. Peter Brandt believes that the BTC price is in the process of retesting a megaphone pattern, a pattern often associated with a return of the bearish trend.
For his part, CryptoPatel considers the macro bias to still be bearish: according to him, even a rally towards $100,000 could be just a short rise before a more significant drop, with a risk of returning to $50,000 on a one-year horizon as long as no HTF close above $107,500 invalidates this scenario.
The moral of the story: at every ATH Bitcoin has its skeptic.
