$BTC /USDT Strategy Assessment (SMC View)
Bias
Bearish after price formed clear MSS (market structure shift) on the 15m and returned to the premium zone.
Zone Logic
OB (Order Block) in Premium: Price retraced into a well-defined supply OB, which aligns with optimal short conditions.
Price wicked into the extreme OB, showing rejection – a valid confirmation of bearish intent.
Entry
Entry taken inside the supply OB, after rejection candles.
Good execution: the entry aligns with institutional premium mitigation.
Stop-Loss
SL placed above 92,813 (above OB high).
Correct placement: breaking this invalidates the supply OB and the bearish thesis.
Targets
TP1: 91,000 zone (reaction level and micro-demand).
TP2: 88,923 (your target) – aligns with deeper imbalance fill + IDM sweep.
Confluences
1. Price filled imbalance before reversing.
2. IDM (internal draw on liquidity) identified below – logical target.
3. OB located at premium pricing of the swing – high-probability zone.
4. Bearish displacement after the top created confirmation.
Logic
Price grabbed liquidity above the OB → shifted structure → returned to mitigate the OB → expects continuation downward into discount IDM.
