🔮 What could happen after the verdict for Do Kwon
There are three scenarios, and the market usually reacts very emotionally.
✅ 1. If Do Kwon receives a light sentence or probation
This is the best scenario for the market.
What will happen:
LUNC may sharply rise (short-term): +20%…+60% or even more — purely on emotions.
Some trust will return, people will say:
"Since he wasn't actually closed down — it means not everything is that bad."
Belief in the revival of the ecosystem will strengthen.
Why?
The market loves positive uncertainty. A light sentence = hope.
⚖️ 2. If a medium sentence is given (for example, 3–7 years)
This is a neutral or moderately negative scenario.
What will happen:
LUNC may drop by 10–30% → briefly, and then stabilize again.
The community will continue to develop without Do Kwon — just like now.
The price will return in a few days to where it was (the market forgets quickly).
Why?
The main ecosystem has been functioning without him for a long time, which is why the impact will be limited.
❌ 3. If a long sentence is received (8–20 years)
This is the worst scenario.
What will happen:
Panic is possible → a drop of 25–50%.
Trust may temporarily decline.
Some exchanges may reduce activity on LUNC.
