$USDT
📉 Reasons for the decline of digital currencies 2024-2025 and analysts' forecasts for recovery
In the second half of 2024, Bitcoin and Ethereum experienced declines exceeding 30%. These fluctuations are not random but the result of economic, regulatory, and technical factors. Understanding them helps investors plan for the expected recovery in 2025.
🗂️ Main reasons:
1️⃣ **Regulatory pressures**: SEC is cracking down on CEXs and DeFi.
2️⃣ **Inflation and interest rate hikes**: Flow of funds into bonds.
3️⃣ **Decline of DeFi/NFTs**: TVL dropped from $200B to $120B.
4️⃣ **Security incidents**: Poloniex hack ($100M).
5️⃣ **Liquidation of futures contracts**: BTC Futures in the hundreds of millions.
📊 Impact of factors:
| Factor | BTC | ETH |
|------|-----|-----|
| Interest rate hikes | -15% | -20% |
| SEC tightening | -8% | -12% |
| Hacks | -5% | -7% |
🔮 2025 Predictions:
- **BTC $80k** (Bernstein) with ETF approvals.
- **ETH $44.5k** (VanEck) after Proto-Danksharding.
- **AI Coins (FET, RNDR)**: 2× growth.
- **Layer-2 (MATIC, ARB)**: TVL $20B.
🖼️ [BTC/USD 2Y chart from TradingView]
💬 Do you expect a recovery soon?
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